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A favourite emerges to replace England No.8 Billy Vunipola

Maro Itoje is tackled by team mate Billy Vunipola and forwards coach Steve Borthwick during the England captain's run at UCD Sports Complex on February 01, 2019 in Dublin, Ireland. (Photo by David Rogers/Getty Images)

England’s preparation for the upcoming Rugby World Cup has taken a second blow with the suspension of their first-choice No.8, Billy Vunipola.

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Vunipola was suspended following an incident during the Summer Nations Series fixture against Ireland in Dublin over the weekend, where he was shown a yellow card for a dangerous tackle on loosehead Andrew Porter. It was subsequently upgraded to a red card upon video review.

The suspension has meant he will be unavailable for England’s critical opening World Cup clash against Argentina, leaving head coach Steve Borthwick with a decision to make.

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With Vunipola set to miss the opening match, attention has now shifted to potential replacements, and a clear frontrunner has emerged.

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Sale Sharks’ versatile loose forward, Tom Curry, is the bookies’ preferred candidate to step into Vunipola’s shoes as England’s starting No.8 aginst Argentina. William Hill have Curry listed as the leading contender at odds of 5/4. His ability to transition between openside flanker and No.8 in the past has undoubtedly put him in a strong position to fill the void left by Vunipola’s suspension.

While Curry leads the pack, other contenders are vying for the spot. Ben Earl, Vunipola’s club teammate, is listed at 2/1, although it would mean England’s pack losing about 28kg of mass. The betting odds also include Lewis Ludlam and Tom Willis, both at 5/1.

Interestingly Zach Mercer, who was cut by Borthwick last month, is listed at 6/1, the same as Harlequins’ Alex Dombrandt, as a potential candidate to replace Vuniopla in the starting line-up.

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Callum Chick is listed at 7/1, while British & Irish Lions and former Exeter Chiefs No.8 Sam Simmonds is a long shot at 16/1. Simmonds is currently settling into life at Montpellier, so won’t have to go far if he does get a surprise call-up from Borthwick next month.

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4 Comments
e
edward 499 days ago

I think Dombrant is a lazy defender but I dont get how he can be the locked-in starter for the 6 Nations and then fall to a 16/1 outsider to make the team? How bad was the original selection if hes this far down the list?

K
KiwiSteve 499 days ago

Look at the Fra, NZ and SA 8's and tell me Earl has what it takes. Vunipola is overweight and has demonstrated he cannot break the gain line. He is slow and as he rumbles along that gives the Defence plenty of time to double tackle. Also his forearm has broken multiple times and held together with screws. Another big hit and it goes again. He knows it and holds back.

G
GrahamVF 499 days ago

The last time England were in such disarray they lost 32-0 to South Africa in the opening game but went on to make the final which they lost to SA.

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fl 23 minutes ago
The Fergus Burke test and rugby's free market

"So who were these 6 teams and circumstances of Marcus's loses?"


so in the 2023 six nations, England lost both games where Marcus started at 10, which was the games against Scotland and France. The scotland game was poor, but spirited, and the french game was maybe the worst math england have played in almost 30 years. In all 3 games where Marcus didn't start England were pretty good.


The next game he started after that was the loss against Wales in the RWC warmups, which is one of only three games Borthwick has lost against teams currently ranked lower than england.


The next game he's started have been the last 7, so that's two wins against Japan, three losses against NZ, a loss to SA, and a loss to Australia (again, one of borthwicks only losses to teams ranked lower than england).


"I think I understand were you're coming from, and you make a good observation that the 10 has a fair bit to do with how fast a side can play (though what you said was a 'Marcus neutral' statement)"


no, it wasn't a marcus neutral statement.


"Fin could be, but as you've said with Marcus, that would require a lot of change elsewhere in the team 2 years out of a WC"


how? what? why? Fin could slot in easily; its Marcus who requires the team to change around him.


"Marcus will get a 6N to prove himself so to speak"


yes, the 2022 six nations, which was a disaster, just as its been a disaster every other time he's been given the reigns.

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