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Aaron Cruden to make surprise Super Rugby return in 2020?

Aaron Cruden shows off his short-kicking game for the Chiefs against the Crusaders in Fiji in 2017. (Photo by Mark Kolbe/Getty Images)

The ongoing battle for first fives looks set to continue in New Zealand, with Aaron Cruden now reported to be close to signing a deal with the Chiefs.

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Stuff has reported that Cruden and the Chiefs are into the late stages of sussing out a contract which would see the former All Blacks return for the 2020 season.

It’s long been expected that Cruden will shift from the south of France to Japan in the coming year, after a number of injury-riddled seasons for Montpellier.

Supposedly, Cruden’s future contract with Kobe won’t commence until the 2021 Top League season – but his current deal with Montpellier will come to a conclusion at the end of the World Cup. That gives Cruden plenty of time to link up with his old Super Rugby franchise.

2020 is shaping up as an eventful season for the New Zealand Super sides.

Beauden Barrett will shift from the Hurricanes to the Blues but won’t be available until the end of the 2020 Top League season, which finishes on May 9. That means one of Harry Plummer, Otere Black or Stephen Perofeta will be handed the 10 jersey until at least the latter stages of the tournament.

Barrett’s move north means the Hurricanes are lacking an experienced option at first five – though both Jackson Gardon-Bachop and Fletcher Smith are still on the books. The Wellington-based team have been scouring the globe for a replacement for Barrett and it’s believed that Cruden, who made his Super Rugby debut for the Hurricanes, was high on their list of targets.

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It’s understood that Cruden would only be interested in making a return if it was for the Chiefs, however, who helped him cement his spot in the All Blacks.

The Chiefs currently have just Damian McKenzie signed on for next season with their other three first five options, Marty McKenzie, Jack Debreczeni and Tiaan Falcon, all off-contract. McKenzie, who spent most of the season on the sidelines thanks to an ACL injury, has spoken of his preference to play at fullback, however.

Warren Gatland, who will take over as head coach of the Chiefs from next year, will be on the lookout for a young first five who can spearhead the Waikato side’s attack for the coming years – but a seasoned pro will also be required. Cruden would fit the bill for that latter category and could help ease an up-and-comer into Super Rugby.

Rivez Reihana has shown plenty of promise for Waikato in this year’s Mitre 10 Cup but has been used exclusively at fullback. Other options include re-contracting Falcon – who is just 22 – or trying to lure one of the Blues’ trio south.

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Elsewhere around the country, Mitch Hunt will head to the Highlanders in search of more game time. He’s stuck behind Richie Mo’unga at the Crusaders and Brett Cameron is likely the next in line to the throne.

Hunt will compete with Josh Ioane for the starting role at the Highlanders but could find himself shifted to the back to cover for Ben Smith, who is heading to France next year.

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J
JW 1 hour ago
Why Les Kiss and Stuart Lancaster can lead Australia to glory

It is now 22 years since Michael Lewis published his groundbreaking treatise on winning against the odds

I’ve never bothered looking at it, though I have seen a move with Clint as a scout/producer. I’ve always just figured it was basic stuff for the age of statistics, is that right?

Following the Moneyball credo, the tailor has to cut his cloth to the material available

This is actually a great example of what I’m thinking of. This concept has abosolutely nothing to do with Moneyball, it is simple being able to realise how skillsets tie together and which ones are really revelant.


It sounds to me now like “moneyball” was just a necessity, it was like scienctest needing to come up with some random experiment to make all the other world scholars believe that Earth was round. The American sporting scene is very unique, I can totally imagine one of it’s problems is rich old owners not wanting to move with the times and understand how the game has changed. Some sort of mesiah was needed to convert the faithful.


While I’m at this point in the article I have to say, now the NRL is a sport were one would stand up and pay attention to the moneyball phenom. Like baseball, it’s a sport of hundreds of identical repetitions, and very easy to data point out.

the tailor has to cut his cloth to the material available and look to get ahead of an unfair game in the areas it has always been strong: predictive intelligence and rugby ‘smarts’

Actually while I’m still here, Opta Expected Points analysis is the one new tool I have found interesting in the age of data. Seen how the random plays out as either likely, or unlikely, in the data’s (and algorithms) has actually married very closely to how I saw a lot of contests pan out.


Engaging return article Nick. I wonder, how much of money ball is about strategy as apposed to picks, those young fella’s got ahead originally because they were picking players that played their way right? Often all you here about is in regards to players, quick phase ruck ball, one out or straight up, would be were I’d imagine the best gains are going to be for a data driven leap using an AI model of how to structure your phases. Then moving to tactically for each opposition.

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