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All Blacks back in pole position unless Los Pumas can do the unthinkable

Aaron Smith, Marcos Kremer and Shannon Frizell. (Photo by Cameron Spencer/Getty Images)

Following back-to-back losses to Australia and Argentina, New Zealand were suddenly staring down the barrel of a second successive year without a title to their name. The dire draw played out by the Wallabies and Pumas on Saturday night, however, now leaves the All Blacks in pole position to take out the Tri-Nations.

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After kicking off the competition with a mammoth 43-5 win over the Wallabies in Sydney, Ian Foster’s reign as head coach started quickly unravelling. First, Australia re-grouped and secured a crucial 2-point win in Brisbane before Argentina banked their first-ever victory over New Zealand in Sydney last weekend.

The two losses on the trot left the All Blacks with just six competition points with three of their four matches already played. The Wallabies and Pumas, by contrast, were two competition points adrift of NZ but with two and three matches remaining, respectively.

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Michael Hooper and Dave Rennie spoke to the media following Australia’s draw with Argentina.

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Michael Hooper and Dave Rennie spoke to the media following Australia’s draw with Argentina.

Had either of New Zealand’s rivals been able to secure two wins from their remaining games, the title would have been theirs.

Australia, who had won 25 of their 32 matches played with Argentina prior to Saturday’s game, would have been licking their lips in anticipation.

Foster and his charges, meanwhile, would have hated tuning in for the match from their hotel rooms, knowing that their fate had been taken out of their hands following the surprise loss to Argentina.

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The try-less 15-all draw means the three Tri-Nations rivals are now all locked on six points. Australia, who were odds-on favourites to take out the competition two days ago, now have little hope of tasting glory this year.

Instead, NZ and Argentina are in pole positions. If Argentina can repeat their results against the All Blacks and Wallabies in the coming weeks, they’ll secure the Southern Hemisphere’s premier international competition for the first time since their introduction in 2012.

Of course, that would be dependent on the Pumas scoring a second successive win against New Zealand – something that no side has managed since 2009, when the Springboks dealt to the All Blacks on three occasions in one season.

Even a close loss to the men in black next weekend would leave Argentina with a reasonable chance of taking out the trophy – but they’d have to beat the Wallabies in Sydney a week later.

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Should two sides be tied on competition points at the end of the six matches, the team with the most wins (overall, then between the two tied nations) will be crowned champion. If that fails to decide a winner, then the team with the best points differential would take out the title.

Given that the All Blacks thumped the Wallabies by 38 points in the opening match of this year’s competition, it’s hard to envisage anything except another title for New Zealand in 2020 – unless the Pumas can do the unthinkable and nab a second victory over their Southern Hemisphere rivals.

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Tom 5 hours ago
Will Bristol's daredevil 'Bears-ball' deliver the trophy they crave?

Also a Bristol fan and echo your sentiments.


I love watching Bristol but their approach will only get them so far I think. Exeter played like this when they first got promoted to the prem and had intermittent success, it wasn't until they wised up and played a more balanced game that they became a consistently top side.


I really want Bristol to continue playing this brand of rugby and I don't mind them running it from under their posts but I don't think they need to do it every single time. They need to be just a little bit more selective about when and where on the pitch they play. Every game they put themselves under so much needless pressure by turning the ball over under their posts trying to do kamikaze moves when it's not required. By all means run it from your goal line if there is a chance for a counter attack, we all want to see Bristol running in 100m tries from under their posts but I think until they learn when to do it and when to be pragmatic, they are unlikely to win the premiership.


Defense has been a real positive from Bristol, they've shown a lot of improvement there... And I will say that I think this kamikaze strategy they employ is a very good one for a struggling side and could be employed by Newcastle. It's seems to have turned around Gloucester's fortunes. The big advantage is even if you don't have the biggest and best players, what you have is cohesion. This is why Scotland keep battering England. England have better individuals but they look muddled as a team, trying to play a mixed strategy under coaches who lack charisma, the team has no identity. Scotland come out and give it full throttle from 1-15 even if they struggle against the top sides, sides like England and Wales who lack that identity drown under the relentless will and synergy of the Scots. If Newcastle did the same they could really surprise some people, I know the weather is bad up there but it hasn't bothered the Scots. Bristol can learn from Scotland too, Pat is on to something when he says the following but Scotland don't play test matches like headless chickens. They still play with the same level of clarity and ambition Bristol do but they are much better at picking their moments. They needed to go back to this mad game to get their cohesion back after a couple of seasons struggling but I hope they get a bit wiser from matches like Leinster and La Rochelle.


“If there’s clarity on what you’re trying to do as a team you can win anything.”

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LONG READ Does the next Wallabies coach have to be an Australian? Does the next Wallabies coach have to be an Australian?
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