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Analysis: What Harlequins need to do to maximise their most valuable asset, Marcus Smith

Marcus Smith for England?

The Gallagher Premiership’s brightest young star is in the midst of a puzzling second-year slump.

The 19-year-old flyhalf ignited Harlequins last season with electric play, proving himself more than capable at the professional level straight out of high school but was benched early into the second half of a Week 3 loss against Bath, losing his starting spot to James Lang for the next two weeks before being recalled against Saracens.

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They rode a four-game skid with Smith in-and-out of the starting lineup before a crucial bench cameo helped secure an away win against Gloucester. So, what is going on with one of the most exciting talents in the Premiership?

An imperfect match

There is no doubt that Harlequins are potentially a better team with Smith’s talent on the field – his game-breaking ability is capable of changing a match even though there are still growing pains with the young flyhalf. However, in this current system, the unique skills he brings to the table are largely underutilised.

This is the perfect example of the player’s skill set and team system conflicting, or at the very least, offering an imperfect match.

The Harlequins run a two-pod system (1-3-3-1) which dictates a heavy load of forward-carries. Play tends to be ‘9 dominant’, with the halfback responsible for the direction of the side and most phases.

That is certainly true at Quins, with the experienced Danny Care controlling proceedings in phase play. Often they will just run both pods directly off Care, with Smith unable to be involved until the third phase. Here are Harlequins typical first two phases from the edge.

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Smith does present a backdoor option, but the forwards just choose to carry most of the time. The halfback can also switch phases back to the short side, further starving Smith of touches.

This leads to the young 10 being out of the game for extended periods, and sometimes he tries to do too much when he does get involved. This was the case against Bath, which led to turnovers and his subsequent benching.

The forward pack they have built to play this style of game has size at the expense of mobility and extra ball skills. Joe Marler, Kyle Sinckler, James Horwill, Chris Robshaw and Renaldo Bothma are all big men who can carry strongly and can bash their way over the defence, but lack footwork, positional speed, agility and ball skills.

Danny Care also takes most of the out-of-hand kicking duties for the side. The box kick is used anywhere up to, and sometimes past, halfway by Harlequins to play a territory pressure game with less intent to use possession.

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It’s old-fashioned rugby suited for inclement weather, using a pack to bully sides and kicking to dictate terms. This might be most effective during December and January but the season is much longer than that.

When you give most your ball to the forwards to take one-out carries, or kick it away to the opposition, the attack is going to suffer. Harlequins have only created 35 line breaks, less than half that of Exeter (70) and Saracens (73).

Less line breaks means less scoring opportunities, which equals fewer points on the board. All while their most dangerous attacking player is sitting away from the action, waiting to get involved.

The Answer

Both Exeter and Saracens, the two most successful clubs over the last two seasons in the Premiership, play a one-pod system and a possession-based game. Saracens in particularly have managed to find an effective balance between having a big pack and being able to play expansively, allowing Owen Farrell to take control.

Moving to a one-pod pattern requires the 10 to step up and take more responsibility and become the glue that holds it all together. This creates an expansive game and increases the passes per phase, but requires totally different personnel with different skills and fitness levels.

With the current Harlequins pack, it is uncertain whether this is possible. However, there are instances where Harlequins fall into this type of arrangement by default and find success. After securing a kick, they play one pod for a carry but then find Smith at first receiver with two forwards outside him.

This is exactly the scenario you will see with Owen Farrell and Gareth Steenson regularly. Except, they run this all the time, everywhere, not just haphazardly.

 

Smith takes it to the line and fires a flat ball putting his second forward runner into a hole, opening up Saracens for a big gain.

With Smith’s dazzling footwork, breakaway running game, and dual threat short-long passing ability, he must get the ball in his hands more regularly to be able to do things like above.

A one-pod system would do exactly that by more than doubling his current possessions. A change of territorial strategy at the same time (more intent to use and retain the ball outside their 22) would allow Smith’s best skills to flourish.

There will be teething issues but this would give Smith a commanding role to develop as a 10 and a leader, while at the same time making the Harlequins more of a threat.

The set-piece has either malfunctioned or won penalties this season, using their tight five at scrum time but failing to connect at lineout time. Either way, this has limited the back play at set piece time. A change of focus from set-piece to use the platform with an intention to run back plays with Smith as a focal point would open up big-play potential.

His running game is a real asset that plays can be designed around, in close channels and wide channels with sweep lines to get Smith’s speed out on the perimeters. Promising young backs Joe Marchant and Nathan Earle will be the beneficiaries.

Steps to the future

Harlequins already have the most sought-after piece required to make this work, with Smith locked under contract for the next four years.

If they continue down their current path with Smith, they will fail to see how good things could be. If they expand his role and put the pieces in place to move towards a more expansive structure, they will reap the benefits in the coming years.

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J
JW 4 hours ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

I rated Lowe well enough to be an AB. Remember we were picking the likes of George Bridge above such players so theres no disputing a lot of bad decisions have been made by those last two coaches. Does a team like the ABs need a finicky winger who you have to adapt and change a lot of your style with to get benefit from? No, not really. But he still would have been a basic improvement on players like even Savea at the tail of his career, Bridge, and could even have converted into the answer of replacing Beauden at the back. Instead we persisted with NMS, Naholo, Havili, Reece, all players we would have cared even less about losing and all because Rieko had Lowe's number 11 jersey nailed down.


He was of course only 23 when he decided to leave, it was back in the beggining of the period they had started retaining players (from 2018 onwards I think, they came out saying theyre going to be more aggressive at some point). So he might, all of them, only just missed out.


The main point that Ed made is that situations like Lowe's, Aki's, JGP's, aren't going to happen in future. That's a bit of a "NZ" only problem, because those players need to reach such a high standard to be chosen by the All Blacks, were as a country like Ireland wants them a lot earlier like that. This is basically the 'ready in 3 years' concept Ireland relied on, versus the '5 years and they've left' concept' were that player is now ready to be chosen by the All Blacks (given a contract to play Super, ala SBW, and hopefully Manu).


The 'mercenary' thing that will take longer to expire, and which I was referring to, is the grandparents rule. The new kids coming through now aren't going to have as many gp born overseas, so the amount of players that can leave with a prospect of International rugby offer are going to drop dramatically at some point. All these kiwi fellas playing for a PI, is going to stop sadly.


The new era problem that will replace those old concerns is now French and Japanese clubs (doing the same as NRL teams have done for decades by) picking kids out of school. The problem here is not so much a national identity one, than it is a farm system where 9 in 10 players are left with nothing. A stunted education and no support in a foreign country (well they'll get kicked out of those countries were they don't in Australia).


It's the same sort of situation were NZ would be the big guy, but there weren't many downsides with it. The only one I can think was brought up but a poster on this site, I can't recall who it was, but he seemed to know a lot of kids coming from the Islands weren't really given the capability to fly back home during school xms holidays etc. That is probably something that should be fixed by the union. Otherwise getting someone like Fakatava over here for his last year of school definitely results in NZ being able to pick the cherries off the top but it also allows that player to develop and be able to represent Tonga and under age and possibly even later in his career. Where as a kid being taken from NZ is arguably going to be worse off in every respect other than perhaps money. Not going to develop as a person, not going to develop as a player as much, so I have a lotof sympathy for NZs case that I don't include them in that group but I certainly see where you're coming from and it encourages other countries to think they can do the same while not realising they're making a much worse experience/situation.

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