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Any of 4 nations could be world No.1 after this weekend

Wales v New Zealand – Autumn International – Principality Stadium

Any one of four nations can end the weekend ranked number one – with Ireland, France, New Zealand and South Africa all able to grab the top spot.

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Les Bleus will assume top spot if they beat Japan and Ireland fail to beat Australia – unless the All Blacks also defeat England by more than 15 points. Such a scenario will see the All Blacks return to number one and Ireland drop down to third.

If New Zealand win by more than 15 points, they will still climb above a victorious France as Les Bleus cannot improve their rating with victory due to the 12.61 rating points between the two sides before home weighting is factored in.

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Ireland cannot improve their rating with victory over Australia due to the 9.99 points between the sides before home weighting is factored in.

The Boks can climb to second if they beat Italy by more than 15 points, Ireland lose by the same margin and France are also beaten.

South Africa must win by more than 15 points and hope that France, New Zealand and Ireland are all beaten – the latter by more than 15 points – to return to number one.

England will climb above South Africa – who they play the following weekend – if they beat NZ and the Boks lose to Italy with one of the margins being by more than 15 points.

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However, Eddie Jones’ side can drop to seventh if they lose by more than 15 points and Australia and Argentina win by the same margin in Dublin and Edinburgh.

Italy will return to the top ten for the first time since June 2013 if they beat South Africa and Japan lose to France. The Azzurri could equal their highest ever ranking of eighth – a position they last occupied briefly in August 2007 – if they win by more than 15 points and Australia, Scotland and Wales all lose by the same margin.

Gregor Townsend’s Scotland must beat Argentina by more than 15 points to be the higher ranked of the two nations as a smaller margin will leave them 0.05 rating points behind Los Pumas.

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J
JW 2 hours ago
Razor has an about turn on All Blacks eligibility rules

Yep, another problem!


I think he would have, in the instance I mentioned, which wasn’t changing anything other than correctly applying todays eligibility quidelines. Which is an arbitrary construct, as the deal likely would have played out completely differently, but I just ‘allowed’ him to have 1 year sabbatically for his ‘loyalty’, rather than having some arbitrary number like 70 caps required.


So if Richie had a 3 year deal, and the first year he was allowed to use him still, I don’t think he’d really not transition to Dmac being his main 10, as he’s obviously the only one he can use for the following two years, therefore likely his only real option for the WC (very hard for Richie to overtake him in such a short time). Richie would purely be a security net in a situation like I proposition where there are only small changes to the eligibility.


The system is not working well enough though, as we don’t have the Rugby Championship or World Cup trophies, do we? Well on that last question, that’s all I’m really saying but I would not believe a word this author says, so it’s entirely a ‘what if’ discussion, but if the author is right and now they are actually going to be more flexible, I think that’s great yeah. Ultimately thought I think those two players were an anomaly signing their contracts and futures up so far ahead, especially of when they were performing. Both jumped at the opportunity of good contracts when their All Black prospects weren’t looking that bright.

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