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‘Anything can happen’: Aussie journo on Wallabies’ World Cup chances

Eddie Jones, Head Coach of Australia, gestures a thumbs-up ahead of the 2023 Summer International match between France and Australia at Stade de France on August 27, 2023 in Paris, France. (Photo by David Rogers/Getty Images)

Australian rugby scribe and broadcaster Brett McKay has weighed in on the Wallabies’ chances at the upcoming Rugby World Cup, saying “the quarter-finals needs to be the goal.”

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The Wallabies have had a simply disastrous run of form under coach Eddie Jones this year. They have had five different captains across as many Tests, and they’re yet to win a match.

Playing against World Cup hosts France at Stade de France last Sunday, the Aussies showed plenty of promise, fight and character throughout the 41-17 defeat.

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They’re getting better, but wins continued to elude the men in gold – and rugby is, after all, a result-driven business. You can’t win a World Cup without winning some Tests.

“I’ve always maintained, mate, that the quarter-finals needs to be the goal first and foremost, and then anything after that you can worry about once you actually get there,” scribe Brett McKay said on Weekend Sport with Jason Pine.

“I’m not buying into this whole, ‘Australia’s guaranteed a semi-final spot.’ I get it’s an easier side of the draw but anything can happen in a knockout stage as we all know.

“As long as they can get through the quarter-final stage, then they can actually have a bit of a reset and have a good, hard crack after that.

Team Form

Last 5 Games

2
Wins
2
2
Streak
1
16
Tries Scored
13
0
Points Difference
-15
3/5
First Try
3/5
4/5
First Points
3/5
3/5
Race To 10 Points
2/5

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“To get to the quarter-finals they’re still gonna have to be playing a hell of a lot better rugby than they’ve shown so far. That’s got to be the first priority.”

The young Wallabies will open their World Cup account against Georgia in Paris in about one week’s time. Australia are expected to win, but The Lelos are a team on the rise – they could cause an upset.

Australia will also come up against Wales, Fiji and Portugal in a tough pool.

While they’ve been picked on the perceived “easier side of the draw,” the Wallabies will need to bring their A-game to progress through to the knockout rounds.

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“There has been a gradual progression, though. If they can take another step against Georgia… and they can get things sorted for Wales and Fiji to follow, then hopefully things take care of themselves,” McKay added.

“If they can get to a quarter-final that would mean they’ve won a few games so hopefully there’s a bit of confidence and momentum behind them.

“A semi-final would mark a good tournament. A dream scenario would absolutely be getting through to that.”

Australia are ranked ninth on World Rugby’s rankings, which is the second-best placing in Pool C. Wales are one spot back in 10th, and Georgia are just behind them at 11th.

The form team of the group, though, is Pacific Island powerhouse Fiji. The Flying Fijians have been good – very good – recently, and are tipped to “absolutely” move on to “the knockout stage.”

“A couple of weeks when Wales knocked off England I went, ‘Okay, they might be coming into some form here,’ but it feels they might have stagnated a bit over the last couple of weeks.

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“Fiji have won, what is it, four of their last five which is hard to argue with. They were absolutely sensational against England at Twickenham.

“There’s probably an argument that they’re favourites to get through first, to get through top of the pool on current form.

“They’re a lot more than a banana skin, Fiji, I’m not going to say they’re a genuine contender but they are absolutely going to go into the knockout stage, I’m quite sure about that.”

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2 Comments
K
KiwiSteve 475 days ago

All they have to do is beat Wales or Fiji and they are through. It's a dream pool.

f
frandinand 475 days ago

How confident would we be if we were some of the other groups.

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JW 2 hours ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

I rated Lowe well enough to be an AB. Remember we were picking the likes of George Bridge above such players so theres no disputing a lot of bad decisions have been made by those last two coaches. Does a team like the ABs need a finicky winger who you have to adapt and change a lot of your style with to get benefit from? No, not really. But he still would have been a basic improvement on players like even Savea at the tail of his career, Bridge, and could even have converted into the answer of replacing Beauden at the back. Instead we persisted with NMS, Naholo, Havili, Reece, all players we would have cared even less about losing and all because Rieko had Lowe's number 11 jersey nailed down.


He was of course only 23 when he decided to leave, it was back in the beggining of the period they had started retaining players (from 2018 onwards I think, they came out saying theyre going to be more aggressive at some point). So he might, all of them, only just missed out.


The main point that Ed made is that situations like Lowe's, Aki's, JGP's, aren't going to happen in future. That's a bit of a "NZ" only problem, because those players need to reach such a high standard to be chosen by the All Blacks, were as a country like Ireland wants them a lot earlier like that. This is basically the 'ready in 3 years' concept Ireland relied on, versus the '5 years and they've left' concept' were that player is now ready to be chosen by the All Blacks (given a contract to play Super, ala SBW, and hopefully Manu).


The 'mercenary' thing that will take longer to expire, and which I was referring to, is the grandparents rule. The new kids coming through now aren't going to have as many gp born overseas, so the amount of players that can leave with a prospect of International rugby offer are going to drop dramatically at some point. All these kiwi fellas playing for a PI, is going to stop sadly.


The new era problem that will replace those old concerns is now French and Japanese clubs (doing the same as NRL teams have done for decades by) picking kids out of school. The problem here is not so much a national identity one, than it is a farm system where 9 in 10 players are left with nothing. A stunted education and no support in a foreign country (well they'll get kicked out of those countries were they don't in Australia).


It's the same sort of situation were NZ would be the big guy, but there weren't many downsides with it. The only one I can think was brought up but a poster on this site, I can't recall who it was, but he seemed to know a lot of kids coming from the Islands weren't really given the capability to fly back home during school xms holidays etc. That is probably something that should be fixed by the union. Otherwise getting someone like Fakatava over here for his last year of school definitely results in NZ being able to pick the cherries off the top but it also allows that player to develop and be able to represent Tonga and under age and possibly even later in his career. Where as a kid being taken from NZ is arguably going to be worse off in every respect other than perhaps money. Not going to develop as a person, not going to develop as a player as much, so I have a lotof sympathy for NZs case that I don't include them in that group but I certainly see where you're coming from and it encourages other countries to think they can do the same while not realising they're making a much worse experience/situation.

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