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Assessing the five Kiwi teams ahead of the Super Rugby Pacific playoffs

(Photos by Hannah Peters/Getty Images and Kai Schwoerer/Getty Images)

With the Blues record 13th straight win of the season over the Waratahs, they have built Super Rugby Pacific’s best record and would have put together an undefeated regular season if not for Ardie Savea’s last second heroics in round two.

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They are without a doubt in the box seat to deliver a Super Rugby title with home ground advantage sewn up, but one wonders if getting a loss out of their system would have been ideal right here ahead of the playoffs.

With 13 straight wins, the Blues will now have to go 16 in a row to be crowned champions of Super Rugby Pacific. If they fail to do that, it will be one of the biggest choke jobs in Super Rugby history.

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They have the competition’s leading Most Valuable Player candidate in Beauden Barrett who has been instrumental in getting them home in big games against top opposition. They will need Barrett to keep producing the big plays down the stretch.

The Crusaders will put away the Reds for the second time next week in their quarterfinal. The Queenslanders have not beaten any of the five Kiwi teams this year and that likely won’t change now.

Scott Robertson’s men will bank a home semi-final and quietly go about their plans with one eye on a possible trip to Eden Park for the final the following week.

The third-placed Chiefs have questionable credentials, having narrowly escaped away losses to the Rebels in Melbourne and the fast-finishing Drua in Fiji, two sides parked at the bottom of the ladder.

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But it is the heavy home defeats to the Crusaders, Blues and Brumbies that brings into question just how valuable home ground advantage for their playoff game against the Waratahs will be.

The New South Welshmen are good enough to pull off an upset in Hamilton next week and expose the Chiefs for who they are: a good but inconsistent team that has gone 1-4 in their five games against the other top four sides.

If any side is going to be upset in the quarterfinals, the Chiefs are the most likely candidate as the competition’s counterfeit contender.

With their loss to the Force and other final round permutations, the Hurricanes will now have to travel to Canberra to face the Brumbies where they were demolished earlier in the year.

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Despite the Brumbies late season fade, the Canes up-and-down season deserves to be buried once and for all on the cold turf at GIO Stadium.

The Hurricanes could pull off something but in the long run they will be better off taking the loss. A semi-final berth will paper over the cracks of a team that should be in re-building mode and cleaning out some of the roster.

They have the worst scrum of any Kiwi side despite possessing a swathe of New Zealand age grade front row prospects and the experienced pair of Owen Franks and Dane Coles. The Brumbies pack should eat up the Hurricanes tight five at set-piece time and prove too much.

Tony Brown’s Highlanders just simply do not deserve to be anywhere near the playoffs and neither do the Force, but that is the nature of this poorly provisioned playoff system.

This is one of the major problems with the competition that has eight of the twelve teams qualifying. The incentives for sides to spend a few seasons building a genuine contender are not there.

You can plod your way through and still be in with a chance, just needing to get hot for a three-game streak. As a result, some of the New Zealand teams aren’t blooding younger combinations that need time to build for the future as they still hold out hope a title is on offer this year.

The Chiefs will be better off in three years time starting Cortez Ratima at halfback and Rivez Reihana at first five every week, building a 9-10 combination between the 21-year-old and 22-year-old that will give the franchise the foundation for a long title window in the future.

Instead they think they are half a chance now so Brad Weber and Bryn Gatland have the jobs. Weber is a genuine All Black halfback of course but at 31-years-old, the sun is setting. Gatland is an admirable performer but will not be in the picture for national selection.

It’s the same at the Hurricanes, who have flip flopped between Ruben Love, Jackson Garden-Bachop and Aidan Morgan throughout the season at 10 while veteran TJ Perenara holds the 9 jersey over Jamie Booth and Cam Roigard.

The Hurricanes need to find a top young halfback prospect and pair him with 20-year-old Aidan Morgan to start every week. In three years, they will have the halves combination they need to contend as both young players have the necessary experience while still possessing their peak athletic ability.

If Super Rugby teams had to put together a quality season to reach the top four instead of eight to make the playoffs, they would have to think longer term in getting there as mediocrity wouldn’t be good enough.

The also rans that are making it this year are chopping and changing combinations every week in search of the magic chemistry that could surprise everyone at the last hurdle. Long-term planning is taking a backseat in some cases.

The consequences of this are felt higher up with the All Blacks having shortages of specialist players in their prime athletic years that they can actually pick.

The All Blacks need international quality options ready under 25 years old, not a host of journeymen at the end of their careers. Marty Banks holding down a Super Rugby back-up job with the Highlanders is not what the All Blacks need at first five unfortunately.

New Zealand’s young blue chip players in key roles likely need to have at least 25-30 Super starts under their belts to be a genuine chance of being a test selection. That means they need starting jobs at 20 or 21-years-old to build the necessary experience. For forwards, they could start a little bit older.

If these careers are held up or delayed, or they are rotated in-and-out every other week, pushed into playing multiple positions, then what do the national selectors have to go off? There is often not enough.

Chiefs second five Quinn Tupaea debuted last year for the All Blacks out of necessity, which was probably a little bit too soon despite Tupaea being a top centre prospect through the age grades.

The Chiefs bungled his introduction to Super Rugby by omitting him from their 2019 squad which cost him a year of valuable experience even though he was ready at that time. The Covid-reduced season in 2020 gave him 12 games in his first season, seven of which were starts and they were mostly in the 13 jersey.

By the time of his All Black debut he had 19 Super caps, of which just 13 were starts, and just seven at second five. He didn’t majorly disappoint at international level, he just wasn’t given enough development time to hit the ground running.

This year the 23-year-old is starting to hit his straps with nearly 30 Super Rugby caps in what is now his third season and is probably ready to contribute meaningfully as he enters his prime years as an athlete.

This three-season arc is what the Super teams should be providing for the absolute top prospects coming through, particularly in the backs who peak earlier than forwards and the speed and agility declines earlier on the downside.

If the Super teams were forced to build genuine contenders, instead of the Oprah-inspired ‘you get a playoff spot, you get a playoff spot’ setup, then the incentives might be better aligned with what the national side needs.

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3 Comments
F
Flatcoat 906 days ago

If Barrett plays like he did in the 2nd half v the Crusaders he is in no way in line for the Comp's MVP. His game management and tactical kicking are poor. Erratic acts of individual brilliance do not make up for these deficiencies in his game.

M
MattJH 907 days ago

Well, yeah but if it was only the top 4 making play offs we’d all be moaning about how the last 2-3 rounds were full of meaningless games.
Also, players like Marty banks and Bryn gatland offer experience for the young fullas to learn off.
If the young lads can’t get themselves to a standard above the journeyman then they aren’t test ready anyway. Without the banks and gatlands, you get the Oprah ‘you get a test jersey, you get a test jersey…’

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JW 3 hours ago
'Passionate reunion of France and New Zealand shows Fabien Galthie is wrong to rest his stars'

Ok, managed to read the full article..

... New Zealand’s has only 14 and the professional season is all over within four months. In France, club governance is the responsibility of an independent organisation [the Ligue Nationale de Rugby or LNR] which is entirely separate from the host union [the Fédération Française de Rugby or FFR]. Down south New Zealand Rugby runs the provincial and the national game.

That is the National Provincial Championship, a competition of 14 representative union based teams run through the SH international window and only semi professional (paid only during it's running). It is run by NZR and goes for two and a half months.


Super Rugby is a competition involving 12 fully professional teams, of which 5 are of New Zealand eligibility, and another joint administered team of Pacific Island eligibility, with NZR involvement. It was a 18 week competition this year, so involved (randomly chosen I believe) extra return fixtures (2 or 3 home and away derbys), and is run by Super Rugby Pacific's own independent Board (or organisation). The teams may or may not be independently run and owned (note, this does not necessarily mean what you think of as 'privately owned').


LNR was setup by FFR and the French Government to administer the professional game in France. In New Zealand, the Players Association and Super Rugby franchises agreed last month to not setup their own governance structure for professional rugby and re-aligned themselves with New Zealand Rugby. They had been proposing to do something like the English model, I'm not sure how closely that would have been aligned to the French system but it did not sound like it would have French union executive representation on it like the LNR does.

In the shaky isles the professional pyramid tapers to a point with the almighty All Blacks. In France the feeling for country is no more important than the sense of fierce local identity spawned at myriad clubs concentrated in the southwest. Progress is achieved by a nonchalant shrug and the wide sweep of nuanced negotiation, rather than driven from the top by a single intense focus.

Yes, it is pretty much a 'representative' selection system at every level, but these union's are having to fight for their existence against the regime that is NZR, and are currently going through their own battle, just as France has recently as I understand it. A single focus, ala the French game, might not be the best outcome for rugby as a whole.


For pure theatre, it is a wonderful article so far. I prefer 'Ntamack New Zealand 2022' though.

The young Crusader still struggles to solve the puzzle posed by the shorter, more compact tight-heads at this level but he had no problem at all with Colombe.

It was interesting to listen to Manny during an interview on Maul or Nothing, he citied that after a bit of banter with the All Black's he no longer wanted one of their jersey's after the game. One of those talks was an eye to eye chat with Tamaiti Williams, there appear to be nothing between the lock and prop, just a lot of give and take. I thought TW angled in and caused Taylor to pop a few times, and that NZ were lucky to be rewarded.

f you have a forward of 6ft 8ins and 145kg, and he is not at all disturbed by a dysfunctional set-piece, you are in business.

He talked about the clarity of the leadership that helped alleviate any need for anxiety at the predicaments unfolding before him. The same cannot be said for New Zealand when they had 5 minutes left to retrieve a match winning penalty, I don't believe. Did the team in black have much of a plan at any point in the game? I don't really call an autonomous 10 vehicle they had as innovative. I think Razor needs to go back to the dealer and get a new game driver on that one.

Vaa’i is no match for his power on the ground. Even in reverse, Meafou is like a tractor motoring backwards in low gear, trampling all in its path.

Vaa'i actually stops him in his tracks. He gets what could have been a dubious 'tackle' on him?

A high-level offence will often try to identify and exploit big forwards who can be slower to reload, and therefore vulnerable to two quick plays run at them consecutively.

Yes he was just standing on his haunches wasn't he? He mentioned that in the interview, saying that not only did you just get up and back into the line to find the opposition was already set and running at you they also hit harder than anything he'd experienced in the Top 14. He was referring to New Zealands ultra-physical, burst-based Super style of course, which he was more than a bit surprised about. I don't blame him for being caught out.


He still sent the obstruction back to the repair yard though!

What wouldn’t the New Zealand rugby public give to see the likes of Mauvaka and Meafou up front..

Common now Nick, don't go there! Meafou showed his Toulouse shirt and promptly got his citizenship, New Zealand can't have him, surely?!?


As I have said before with these subjects, really enjoy your enthusiasm for their contribution on the field and I'd love to see more of their shapes running out for Vern Cotter and the like styled teams.

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