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Blues preparing for another year without a key piece of the puzzle

Finlay Christie, Patrick Tuipulotu and Beauden Barrett. (Photo by Phil Walter/Getty Images)

It can’t be easy supporting the Blues, knowing that your side is always just one or two personnel away from being at full-strength and nigh unstoppable.

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Following the squad announcement for the 2022 season, Leon MacDonald was quick to affirm that the Blues won’t settle for second best. While this year’s Trans-Tasman title earned the franchise its first silverware since 2003, the magnitude of the success wasn’t quite the same as winning a properly robust competition like the upcoming Super Rugby Pacific.

“We still haven’t won a title with all the teams in it, that’s the key,” MacDonald said. “From start to finish, go through semi-finals and win it, that’s the goal.

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Rieko Ioane is world class.

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Rieko Ioane is world class.

“We’re clear that last year’s title was only half the season; we want to win the full season title. That’s going to be our driver.”

The Blues’ biggest competition will come from the Crusaders and Chiefs, who both finished ahead of the Trans-Tasman champions in the Aotearoa competition. While the Crusaders have managed to entice Argentina talisman Pablo Matera to Christchurch and the Chiefs have Brodie Retallick back on their books as well as former All Black Josh Ioane, both sides have also lost key personnel, including the likes of Tom Sanders, Whetukamokamo Douglas and Damian McKenzie.

The off-season has been similarly balanced for the Blues, with Roger Tuivasa-Sheck arriving from the NRL and the returning Beauden Barrett effectively swapping places with Patrick Tuipulotu, who will spend the season in Japan.

Barrett and Tuivasa-Sheck will undoubtedly add significantly to a backline that’s already bursting at the seams with talent.

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The former will partner new All Black Finlay Christie in the halves while the latter is expected to slot in at No 12 and forge a formidable combination with Rieko Ioane.

That leaves Caleb Clarke, Mark Telea, Bryce Heem and Jacob Ratumaitavuki Kneepkens to fight it out for spots on the wings while Stephen Perofeta’s performances for Taranaki in this year’s NPC means incumbent fullback Zarn Sullivan won’t necessarily have a free ride into the No 15 jersey.

That still leaves experienced or promising talents such as Sam Nock, Harry Plummer, Tanielu Tele’a and AJ Lam to fight it out for spots in the reserves.

And while the backline has likely reached its peak potential for the medium term, at least in terms of raw talent, there’s also plenty to like about the forwards.

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The Blues have four All Blacks prop to pick between, a couple of experienced hooker options (as well as one seriously promising up-and-comer in the form of Soane Vikena) and a smorgasbord of talented loose forwards, including Akira Ioane, Dalton Papalii and Hoskins Sotutu.

It’s Tuipulotu’s one-year absence in the second row that will hurt the Auckland franchise, however, with Gerard Cowley-Tuioti also heading to Japan after finishing up with the Blues. Josh Goodhue is a solid Super Rugby option while Tom Robinson can also slot in if needed, and the recruitment of Luke Romano is a good piece of business from MacDonald – but the fact of the matter is that the Blues’ first-choice pairing from last season who started in the Trans-Tasman final have both flown the coop for 2021.

Ultimately, it means the Blues are still not quite where they’d optimally like to be, personnel-wise – which has been a recurring theme for the team over the past few seasons.

Prior to 2020, the Blues had perpetually been on the lookout for a test-level pivot and despite boasting backline talents such as Sonny Bill Williams, Ma’a Nonu and Ioane, they weren’t able to get the best out of their artillery.

Barrett’s recruitment ahead of the 2020 season was seen as a turning point for the franchise but the Blues’ new recruit missed the formative part of Super Rugby as part of his contract before linking up with the team for the first time ahead of the Aotearoa campaign.

This year, the franchise had to make do without Barrett again, with the playmaker in Japan on sabbatical, and while Otere Black filled the No 10 jersey admirably, the Maori All Blacks pivot is simply not on the same level as the former World Rugby Player of the Year. Caleb Clarke was also absent from the Trans-Tasman portion of the season.

Barrett’s permanent return to Auckland (at least for the next two seasons) means the squad will have arguably the best backline in the competition for 2022 – although the Crusaders may rightly attest that point – but Tuipulotu’s loss means the Blues are still not quite where they need to be, where they have all the pieces needed to really run amok.

It could well be that 2023, the year of the Rugby World Cup, is the season where it all really comes together for the Trans-Tasman champions. For now, however, they do have the cattle to challenge for Super Rugby Pacific glory, even if there are likely to be a few fans daydreaming about what could have been.

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R
RedWarrior 1 hour ago
Three-way race to be number one in World Rugby men's rankings

IF SA and NZ win then its 1,2,3 SA/NZ/IRL Otherwise as you were. This is largely irrelevant beyond bragging rights.


As I have pointed out elsewhere the practical use of the Rankings is to determine the seedings bands for the RWC draw. The draw takes place early 2026 and hopefully the rankings will be taken from then.


Important to be in the top 6, the top 12. (and likely the top 4).

This is because there are now 6 groups in the RWC 2027.

If you are in top 6 you are in Seeding Band 1. That means none of the other top 6 will be in your group.

Seeding Band 2 are teams from 7-12, who will have a top 6 team but no other 7-12 team.

After England's defeat by NZ there is clear water between NZ in 3rd, France in 4th and England in 5th. England are desperate for top4, ill come back and explain why later.

Lets look at Seeding Band 1 and 6th place. If you make 6th, no top 6 team is in your group, you are top dog. If you win your group, you won't be facing a top 6 team in your 1/8th final, you will be facing a weaker team. If you fail to make 6th place you WILL have a top 6 team in your group and if you don't win your group you WILL (probably) meet a top 6 in the 1/8 final. That's massive.


Its Argentina holding 6th now. Assuming England hold 5th, then its a 4 horse race for 6th. Argentina, Scotland, Italy and ...Australia. (ranked 6,7,8,9)

Australia play the Lions in NH summer 2025 they are running out of time to get up to 6th for their own RWC. They MUST make a move now. They must beat Wales and they really must beat Scotland to gain points and take points off them. Could they surprise England or Ireland? England may be the better bet but Schmidt knows Ireland so well having masterminded their downfall in France.

Another one to watch is Italy V Argentina. Italy are ambitious and they will want to start pushing the likes of Argentina. If they win this they are still in the hunt. Well worth a watch either way.


Top4: I think the top 6 will be seeded, all the way through from the draw. If thats the case then the top 4 will be seeded to avoid each other until the semi. Good for more certainty around ticket sales etc. That's a possible reason why England want in there. You're not in there you are hitting a top 4 team in a QF. That's an extra 50:50 match you can do without and avoid by being top 4.


Lets look at what Seeding bands might look like with todays rankings:


Seeding Band 1

IRE/SA/NZ/FRA/ENG/ARG

Seeding Band 2

SCO/ITA/AUS/FIJ/WAL/GEO


Sample Aussie strongest pool opponent and 1/8th final opponent if in top 6

Strongest pool opponent: FIJI

1/8 final opponent GEORGIA

Prognosis: advance to 1/4 and potentially beyond


Sample Aussie strongest pool opponent and 1/8th final opponent if NOT in top 6

Strongest pool opponent: SOUTH AFRICA

1/8 final opponent NEW ZEALAND

Prognosis: You know the prognosis


I am pretty sure this is not lost on Joe Schmidt?


Keep in mind when enjoying the matches.

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