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Bulls coaching merry-go-round continues - Super Rugby 2019 Preview

The Super 14 era – 2006 to 2010 – was the pinnacle of the Bulls’ rise to the top of Super Rugby megastardom.

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They won three titles in four years – one of only three teams to have won three titles or more.

It should not come as a surprise that their rise to the top of the totem pole coincided with a settled coaching panel – Heyneke Meyer (from 2004 to 2007, although he had brief stints in 2000 and 2002), with Frans Ludeke (close ally of Meyer) taking over in 2008.

The coaching merry-go-round before that – John Williams (1996), Kitch Christie (1997), Eugene van Wyk (1998/99), Meyer (2000), Phil Pretorius (2001), Meyer (2002) and Rudi Joubert (2003) – was marked by some of the worst Bulls performances in living memory.

From 1996 to 2005 they had a winning success rate of just over 30 percent.

The last few years have seen coaches come-and-go again – Nollis Marais (2016/17) and John Mitchell (2018).

Pote Human, the third coach in the new era of coaching musical chairs will hopefully bring some stability again.

He has been in the Bulls/Blue Bulls set-up for many years – Blue Bulls (2005-2006, head coach), Bulls (2005-2008, forwards coach), UP Tuks (2013 to 2017, head coach), Blue Bulls U21 (2016, head coach).

The last two years he was the forwards coach at the Bulls and Blue Bulls and took over as head coach for the 2018 Currie Cup – finally getting the Super Rugby job for 2019.

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The recruitment of some big-name Springboks – Duane Vermeulen and Schalk Brits – will add the experience that has been missing in recent years.

They will also be invaluable support to captain Lodewyk de Jager.

Other Springboks – like Embrose Papier, Handré Pollard, Rudolph Snyman and Ivan van Zyl – will be key to the team’s hopes of replicating the glory of a decade ago.

The coach, Human, readily admits that a good start is obligatory – with their opening match against arch-rivals the Stormers.

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That is followed by trips to Buenos Aires (to play the Jaguares) and Ellis Park (Lions), before a home game against the Sharks.

If they drop points in the first month, they will quickly slip back into the chasing pack.

2019 Predictions
South African Conference Placing: Second
Player of the Year: Duane Vermeulen
Rookie of the Year: Muller Uys
Super Rugby Placing: Sixth or seventh (losing quarterfinalists)

Squad Movements

In: Schalk Brits (from Saracens), Stedman Gans (Sevens), Cornal Hendricks (free agent), Dylan Sage (Sevens), Paul Schoeman (Cheetahs), Rosko Specman (Sevens), Muller Uys (Western Province), Duane Vermeulen (Toulon).

Out: Shaun Adendorff (to Aurillac), Francois Brummer (Zebre), Ruben van Heerden (Sharks), Pierre Schoeman (Edinburgh), Adriaan Strauss (retired), Dries Swanepoel (Cheetahs), Frans van Wyk (Lions), Jamba Ulengo (released).

Squad – provisional: Cornal Hendricks, Muller Uys, Paul Schoeman, Rosko Specman, Schalk Brits, Andre Warner, Burger Odendaal, Carel du Preez, Conraad van Vuuren, Dayan van der Westhuizen, Divan Rossouw, Duncan Matthews, Dylan Sage, Edgar Marutlulle, Embrose Papier, Franco Naude, Handré Pollard, Hanro Liebenberg, Hendre Stassen, Ivan van Zyl, Jaco Visagie, Jade Stighling, Jannes Kirsten, Jano Venter, Jason Jenkins, Jesse Kriel, Johan Grobbelaar, Johnny Kotze, JT Jackson, Lizo Gqoboka, Lodewyk de Jager, Madot Mabokela, Manie Libbok, Marco van Staden, Marnitz Boshoff, Mathys Basson, Nic De Jager, Nqoba Mxoli, Rudolph Snyman, Roelof Smit, Ruan Steenkamp, Simphiwe Matanzima, Thembelani Boli, Theo Maree, Tim Agaba, Travis Ismaiel, Trevor Nyakane, Warrick Gelant.

History

Best finish: Champions in 2007, 2009 and 2010

Worst finish: Fifteenth in 2017

By Jan de Koning @rugby365

Rugby World Cup City Guides – Fukuoka:

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f
fl 14 minutes ago
‘The problem with this year’s Champions Cup? Too many English clubs’

"fl's idea, if I can speak for him to speed things up, was for it to be semifinalists first, Champions Cup (any that somehow didn't make a league semi), then Challenge's semi finalists (which would most certainly have been outside their league semi's you'd think), then perhaps the quarter finalists of each in the same manner. I don't think he was suggesting whoever next performed best in Europe but didn't make those knockouts (like those round of 16 losers), I doubt that would ever happen."


That's not quite my idea.

For a 20 team champions cup I'd have 4 teams qualify from the previous years champions cup, and 4 from the previous years challenge cup. For a 16 team champions cup I'd have 3 teams qualify from the previous years champions cup, and 1 from the previous years challenge cup.


"The problem I mainly saw with his idea (much the same as you see, that league finish is a better indicator) is that you could have one of the best candidates lose in the quarters to the eventual champions, and so miss out for someone who got an easier ride, and also finished lower in the league, perhaps in their own league, and who you beat everytime."

If teams get a tough draw in the challenge cup quarters, they should have won more pool games and so got better seeding. My system is less about finding the best teams, and more about finding the teams who perform at the highest level in european competition.

54 Go to comments
f
fl 51 minutes ago
‘The problem with this year’s Champions Cup? Too many English clubs’

"Would I'd be think"

Would I'd be think.


"Well that's one starting point for an error in your reasoning. Do you think that in regards to who should have a say in how it's setup in the future as well? Ie you would care what they think or what might be more fair for their teams (not saying your model doesn't allow them a chance)?"

Did you even read what you're replying to? I wasn't arguing for excluding south africa, I was pointing out that the idea of quantifying someone's fractional share of european rugby is entirely nonsensical. You're the one who was trying to do that.


"Yes, I was thinking about an automatic qualifier for a tier 2 side"

What proportion of european rugby are they though? Got to make sure those fractions match up! 😂


"Ultimately what I think would be better for t2 leagues would be a third comp underneath the top two tournemnts where they play a fair chunk of games, like double those two. So half a dozen euro teams along with the 2 SA and bottom bunch of premiership and top14, some Championship and div 2 sides thrown in."

I don't know if Championship sides want to be commuting to Georgia every other week.


"my thought was just to create a middle ground now which can sustain it until that time has come, were I thought yours is more likely to result in the constant change/manipulation it has been victim to"

a middle ground between the current system and a much worse system?

54 Go to comments
f
fl 1 hour ago
‘The problem with this year’s Champions Cup? Too many English clubs’

"Huh? You mean last in their (4 team) pools/regions? My idea was 6/5/4, 6 the max, for guarenteed spots, with a 20 team comp max, so upto 5 WCs (which you'd make/or would be theoretically impossible to go to one league (they'd likely be solely for its participants, say 'Wales', rather than URC specifically. Preferrably). I gave 3 WC ideas for a 18 team comp, so the max URC could have (with a member union or club/team, winning all of the 6N, and Champions and Challenge Cup) would be 9."


That's a lot of words to say that I was right. If (e.g.) Glasgow won the URC and Edinburgh finished 16th, but Scotland won the six nations, Edinburgh would qualify for the Champions Cup under your system.


"And the reason say another URC (for example) member would get the spot over the other team that won the Challenge Cup, would be because they were arguable better if they finished higher in the League."

They would be arguably worse if they didn't win the Challenge Cup.


"It won't diminish desire to win the Challenge Cup, because that team may still be competing for that seed, and if theyre automatic qual anyway, it still might make them treat it more seriously"

This doesn't make sense. Giving more incentives to do well in the Challenge Cup will make people take it more seriously. My system does that and yours doesn't. Under my system, teams will "compete for the seed" by winning the Challenge Cup, under yours they won't. If a team is automatically qualified anyway why on earth would that make them treat it more seriously?


"I'm promoting the idea of a scheme that never needs to be changed again"

So am I. I'm suggesting that places could be allocated according to a UEFA style points sytem, or according to a system where each league gets 1/4 of the spots, and the remaining 1/4 go to the best performing teams from the previous season in european competition.


"Yours will promote outcry as soon as England (or any other participant) fluctates. Were as it's hard to argue about a the basis of an equal share."

Currently there is an equal share, and you are arguing against it. My system would give each side the opportunity to achieve an equal share, but with more places given to sides and leagues that perform well. This wouldn't promote outcry, it would promote teams to take european competition more seriously. Teams that lose out because they did poorly the previous year wouldn't have any grounds to complain, they would be incentivised to try harder this time around.


"This new system should not be based on the assumption of last years results/performances continuing."

That's not the assumption I'm making. I don't think the teams that perform better should be given places in the competition because they will be the best performing teams next year, but because sport should be based on merit, and teams should be rewarded for performing well.


"I'm specifically promoting my idea because I think it will do exactly what you want, increase european rugyb's importance."

how?


"I won't say I've done anything compressive"

Compressive.

54 Go to comments
J
JW 1 hour ago
‘The problem with this year’s Champions Cup? Too many English clubs’

Generally disagree with what? The possibility that they would get whitewashed, or the idea they shouldn't gain access until they're good enough?


I think the first is a fairly irrelevant view, decide on the second and then worry about the first. Personally I'd have had them in a third lvl comp with all the bottom dwellers of the leagues. I liked the idea of those league clubs resting their best players, and so being able to lift their standards in the league, though, so not against the idea that T2 sides go straight into Challenge Cup, but that will be a higher level with smaller comps and I think a bit too much for them (not having followed any of their games/performances mind you).

Because I don't think that having the possibility of a team finishing outside the quarter finals to qualify automatically will be a good idea. I'd rather have a team finishing 5th in their domestic league.

fl's idea, if I can speak for him to speed things up, was for it to be semifinalists first, Champions Cup (any that somehow didn't make a league semi), then Challenge's semi finalists (which would most certainly have been outside their league semi's you'd think), then perhaps the quarter finalists of each in the same manner. I don't think he was suggesting whoever next performed best in Europe but didn't make those knockouts (like those round of 16 losers), I doubt that would ever happen.


The problem I mainly saw with his idea (much the same as you see, that league finish is a better indicator) is that you could have one of the best candidates lose in the quarters to the eventual champions, and so miss out for someone who got an easier ride, and also finished lower in the league, perhaps in their own league, and who you beat everytime.

54 Go to comments
J
JW 1 hour ago
‘The problem with this year’s Champions Cup? Too many English clubs’

Well I was mainly referring to my thinking about the split, which was essentially each /3 rounded up, but reliant on WCs to add buffer.


You may have been going for just a 16 team league ranking cup?


But yes, those were just ideas for how to select WCs, all very arbitrary but I think more interesting in ways than just going down a list (say like fl's) of who is next in line. Indeed in my reply to you I hinted at say the 'URC' WC spot actually being given to the Ireland pool and taken away from the Welsh pool.


It's easy to think that is excluding, and making it even harder on, a poor performing country, but this is all in context of a 18 or 20 team comp where URC (at least to those teams in the URC) got 6 places, which Wales has one side lingering around, and you'd expect should make. Imagine the spice in that 6N game with Italy, or any other of the URC members though! Everyone talks about SA joining the 6N, so not sure it will be a problem, but it would be a fairly minor one imo.


But that's a structure of the leagues were instead of thinking how to get in at the top, I started from the bottom and thought that it best those teams doing qualify for anything. Then I thought the two comps should be identical in structure. So that's were an even split comes in with creating numbers, and the 'UEFA' model you suggest using in some manner, I thought could be used for the WC's (5 in my 20 team comp) instead of those ideas of mine you pointed out.


I see Jones has waded in like his normal self when it comes to SH teams. One thing I really like about his idea is the name change to the two competitions, to Cup and Shield. Oh, and home and away matches.

54 Go to comments
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