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Caleb Clarke expected to make decision between Olympics or All Blacks and Blues this week

(Photo by Anthony Au-Yeung/Getty Images)

Caleb Clarke will decide this week whether he will commit himself to this year’s Tokyo Olympics or stay with the Blues in Super Rugby Trans-Tasman and then for the All Blacks throughout the July test series.

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The Blues will kickstart their Super Rugby Trans-Tasman campaign against the Rebels in Melbourne next Saturday, but whether Clarke partakes in that fixture, or in the competition as a whole, remains to be seen.

Speaking to Stuff last week, the 22-year-old wing said he will spend the coming days deciding whether it’s in his best interests to play the Australian franchises over the next month-and-a-bit, or push for a place in the All Blacks Sevens squad to chase an Olympic gold medal in Japan.

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“I’ll just take this week [against the Chiefs] first and then have a look and see what’s after,” Clarke said prior to his side’s 39-19 Super Rugby Aotearoa win over their local rivals at Eden Park on Saturday.

“I’ve got a week in between, so that’s the week when I’ll make that decision on whether to go or stay.”

Clarke was part of the national sevens side at the beginning of last year as he looked to secure a place at the Olympics, which were scheduled to be held between last July and August before COVID-19 forced the postponement of the Games by a year.

His return to the XV-man game was groundbreaking as he took the newly-formed Super Rugby Aotearoa by storm with a series of blockbusting displays for the Blues.

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Clarke was rewarded with a maiden call-up to the All Blacks, and his induction to test rugby was akin to that of a duck taking to water as he drew plenty of plaudits in his debut campaign with the national side, particularly for his efforts in the second Bledisloe Cup test.

Those performances have made him a near-certainty selection for the All Blacks should he make himself available for the mid-year tests against Italy and Fiji, even if his form has been below par this year.

“Personally I feel like I haven’t really got to my full potential, it’s been a lot harder this year, trying to get into these games,” Clarke told Stuff.

“So that’s one side of it, but on the other, the Olympics is a once in a lifetime opportunity, so we’ll see how we go.”

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Should Clarke opt to throw his lot in with the All Blacks Sevens, he would have to abandon his commitments with the Blues and start training with the national sevens squad, who have been confined to makeshift tournaments in New Zealand as a result of global travel restrictions.

Reshaping his body to adhere to the physical demands required of a sevens player would take some time, meaning the Blues may have seen the last of Clarke this year should he pursue Olympic glory.

The All Blacks, however, would still be able to select Clarke for the Rugby Championship, which is believed to get underway in September.

Despite their win over the Chiefs two days ago, the Blues failed to qualify for this weekend’s Super Rugby Aotearoa final due to losing one more match than their counterparts.

As a result, the Chiefs will play the reigning champion Crusaders in Christchurch on Saturday as they eye their first title in eight years.

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R
RedWarrior 1 hour ago
Three-way race to be number one in World Rugby men's rankings

IF SA and NZ win then its 1,2,3 SA/NZ/IRL Otherwise as you were. This is largely irrelevant beyond bragging rights.


As I have pointed out elsewhere the practical use of the Rankings is to determine the seedings bands for the RWC draw. The draw takes place early 2026 and hopefully the rankings will be taken from then.


Important to be in the top 6, the top 12. (and likely the top 4).

This is because there are now 6 groups in the RWC 2027.

If you are in top 6 you are in Seeding Band 1. That means none of the other top 6 will be in your group.

Seeding Band 2 are teams from 7-12, who will have a top 6 team but no other 7-12 team.

After England's defeat by NZ there is clear water between NZ in 3rd, France in 4th and England in 5th. England are desperate for top4, ill come back and explain why later.

Lets look at Seeding Band 1 and 6th place. If you make 6th, no top 6 team is in your group, you are top dog. If you win your group, you won't be facing a top 6 team in your 1/8th final, you will be facing a weaker team. If you fail to make 6th place you WILL have a top 6 team in your group and if you don't win your group you WILL (probably) meet a top 6 in the 1/8 final. That's massive.


Its Argentina holding 6th now. Assuming England hold 5th, then its a 4 horse race for 6th. Argentina, Scotland, Italy and ...Australia. (ranked 6,7,8,9)

Australia play the Lions in NH summer 2025 they are running out of time to get up to 6th for their own RWC. They MUST make a move now. They must beat Wales and they really must beat Scotland to gain points and take points off them. Could they surprise England or Ireland? England may be the better bet but Schmidt knows Ireland so well having masterminded their downfall in France.

Another one to watch is Italy V Argentina. Italy are ambitious and they will want to start pushing the likes of Argentina. If they win this they are still in the hunt. Well worth a watch either way.


Top4: I think the top 6 will be seeded, all the way through from the draw. If thats the case then the top 4 will be seeded to avoid each other until the semi. Good for more certainty around ticket sales etc. That's a possible reason why England want in there. You're not in there you are hitting a top 4 team in a QF. That's an extra 50:50 match you can do without and avoid by being top 4.


Lets look at what Seeding bands might look like with todays rankings:


Seeding Band 1

IRE/SA/NZ/FRA/ENG/ARG

Seeding Band 2

SCO/ITA/AUS/FIJ/WAL/GEO


Sample Aussie strongest pool opponent and 1/8th final opponent if in top 6

Strongest pool opponent: FIJI

1/8 final opponent GEORGIA

Prognosis: advance to 1/4 and potentially beyond


Sample Aussie strongest pool opponent and 1/8th final opponent if NOT in top 6

Strongest pool opponent: SOUTH AFRICA

1/8 final opponent NEW ZEALAND

Prognosis: You know the prognosis


I am pretty sure this is not lost on Joe Schmidt?


Keep in mind when enjoying the matches.

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