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Coronavirus scare could curtail Super Rugby AU plans

Ruan Smith. (Photo by Bradley Kanaris/Getty Images)

Queensland prop Ruan Smith may miss the chance to suit up against his former club Melbourne in Saturday’s Super Rugby AU sudden-death final after being sent for a COVID-19 test.

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Smith played three games for the Rebels before the season shut-down in March but switched to the Reds two weeks ago to join his twin brother JP, and lined up in their win over the Brumbies on Saturday night.

While Ruan can provide the intel on Melbourne, his participation is in doubt as he was excluded from Queensland training after feeling unwell on Monday. He is now waiting for the all-clear.

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Reds prop JP Smith interview – Rebels semifinal

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    Reds prop JP Smith interview – Rebels semifinal

    His brother JP played down the threat of the virus and said Ruan was still feeling the affects of his first competitive hit-out in almost six months.

    “He’s still looking for his lungs on Suncorp Stadium,” JP said on Monday.

    “He’s just a bit sore but he’ll be back tomorrow.

    “He’ll help the boys and help the team as much as he can around that but he has a lot of respect for the Rebels … the Melbourne staff as the team really meant a lot to him.”

    JP Smith is one of the few players left in Australian rugby who has had a taste of Super Rugby finals, part of the Brumbies’ charge to the semi-finals in 2014 and 2015.

    He said he would try to teach his young teammates not to get ahead of themselves, with a grand final spot against the Brumbies on September 19 in Canberra beckoning.

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    The Reds are hoping for as many as 15,000 fans to be allowed into Suncorp on Saturday night.

    “We need to look at it as another game and just enjoy the moment as it doesn’t come very much,” the South African-born prop said.

    “We’re not looking past this week, it’s a grand final for us.”

    The Brumbies complained after the Reds match about the scrummaging technique of Reds tighthead Taniela Tupou but JP said they felt the Wallabies prop was in the clear.

    “As a team, we need to look past that and we’ll just do what we’ve been doing and leave it in the ref’s hands,” he said.

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    “The ref’s got a job to do, we’ve got a job to do.

    “We want to portray a place at the scrum that we do everything right, and we believe we are doing that.”

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    SK 37 minutes ago
    Why the Brumbies are still the best team in Australia

    It is honestly a disgraceful statistic that the reds have not taken a single 3 pointer this season when you consider statistics its hard to believe that. Lets do the maths quickly, you have a penalty from 40 out thats an 80% chance (conservative) for your kicker to get 3 because its in front. Easy come, easy go, you get those 3 points 80% of the time for 2.4 points on average per kick. Even if you dont nail it you start with territory as now its a 22 drop out so you can bring the ball back again. Now instead of taking an obvious 3 you kick to the corner from 40 out. You get the mall 5m out maybe 10% of the time, you get it 10-15m out maybe 50% of the time and 35% of the time your kicker knocks it between 22-15m out. Now stats show when you get a lineout 5m out you score maybe 50-60%% of the time but if you have an incredible mall and you are top of the pile this stat rises to something like 70-80% of the time take Glasgow and Leinster in URC or the Springboks for example. If you are 10m out your likelihood of scoring drops dramatically. Like 60% becomes 20% for example and this is just to get 5 points mind you, there is a 30-40%% chance you will not even add the 2 to make it a 7 pointer. So which is easier and better for you? Sure the game situation matters. If you are trailing by 15 the 3 may not be wise but the Reds have won 5 of their 8 matches this year and are a good team. They have plenty of chances to take the 3 in situations where its easier and logical to do so than going for the try. They have been involved in 3 games that finished with just 1 score between the sides. There have been plenty of opportunities to take 3 they just don’t care for it. No side in Rugby has ever won anything substantial this way. The Reds would do well to remember that and also remember that they will never usurp the Brumbies while they refuse to add a douse of pragmatism to their flair.

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