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Four potential players to replace Israel Folau at 15 for the Wallabies

Wallabies in huddle. (Photo by Mark Kolbe/Getty Images)

It’s been a whirlwind couple of days for Waratahs and Australia full-back Israel Folau, with the outspoken 30-year-old informed today that his contract is set to be terminated.

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Folau, according to the Rugby Australia (RA) statement, had proved uncontactable over the last 24 hours, following his decision to post an anti-homosexual message on his Instagram account, as well as a post on Twitter which encouraged people to “turn away from their evil ways and repent” in response to Tasmania making gender optional on birth certificates.

This is not the first time Folau has been in trouble for his controversial use of social media to condemn homosexuality and despite signing a lucrative four-year contract back in February, RA have acted swiftly, stating that “in the absence of compelling mitigating factors” his contract will be terminated.

This creates quite the dilemma for Michael Cheika, with Folau having locked down the 15 jersey for the Wallabies in 63 of the 73 tests he has played for them since making the move over from rugby league. With the Rugby World Cup fast approaching, this move is going to require Cheika to rethink his back three.

We take a look at four of the top candidates to fill the void that Folau’s potential imminent firing could create.

Dane Haylett-Petty, Rebels

Haylett-Petty would be the obvious choice, with the versatile back having spent seven tests at full-back in 2018, as Australia experimented with Folau on both the wing and at outside centre. He was impressive in the wins over Argentina and South Africa, but also endured his fair share of struggles, as did the players around him, with the Wallabies producing a poor 2018 in general.

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He had a solid start to the season, helping the Rebels to two wins over the Brumbies and a victory at home to the Highlanders, but he has since been injured, with talented youngster Jack Maddocks and another versatile player in Reece Hodge both impressing in his absence. With Haylett-Petty likely to be out of action until at least the beginning of May with ruptured ligaments in his toe, there’s no guarantee he’ll regain the Rebels 15 jersey, let alone push for the Wallaby one.

The Rebels seem to hold the keys to the 15 jersey, with Reece Hodge and Dane Haylett-Petty both in the mix. (Photo by Daniel Pockett/Getty Images)

Reece Hodge, Rebels

It’s a mark of the journey the Rebels are on at the moment that they have two or three genuine contenders for this spot. Hodge has shone at Super Rugby level in the 15 jersey, although his appearances for the Wallabies have so far come in the midfield or on the wing. He was consistent for Australia at 13 during the Rugby Championship last season, dovetailing nicely with the likes of Matt Toomua and Kurtley Beale at 12.

For Cheika to consider him at 15, he would need to be confident about an alternative at outside centre. If Tevita Kuridrani, Karmichael Hunt or Adam Ashley-Cooper can finish the season strongly, that could give Cheika the flexibility to move Hodge to full-back, should he see the Rebel as the best way to round out his back three. Given his form and ability, not to mention his long-range kicking potency, Hodge would seem to be inked into the XV, it’s just a matter of where.

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It’s worth giving an honourable mention to Maddocks here, too, with the 22-year-old showing his potential in Melbourne, but with Haylett-Petty and Hodge both more likely to shoulder the responsibilities of the 15 jersey at club level, it seems unlikely that he would be involved with Australia as anything other than a wing at this point.

Tom Banks, Brumbies

Banks is a player who has quietly gone about his business in Canberra, offering impressive consistency and level of play in a side that has diminished over the last few seasons. His work rate and perseverance were rewarded last year when he was involved in the matchday 23 on multiple occasions for the Wallabies.

He’s not the flashy counter-attacker that Folau is, nor does he quite have the kicking ability of versatility of Haylett-Petty or Hodge, but he does the basics of being a full-back very competently. He is solid across the board and could be an appealing option if Cheika decides that he thinks Hodge and Haylett-Petty are at their best at other positions.

Kurtley Beale, Waratahs

The Waratah has plenty of experience at 15 in the green and gold, albeit with most of that coming earlier in his career. It seems unlikely that Cheika would want to move Beale from 12, where he has had plenty of success since moving back to Australia from Wasps in the Gallagher Premiership, but he remains a valid option there.

His chemistry with Hodge could be the biggest factor in keeping both he and Hodge in the midfield, although there will certainly be a temptation to bring the physical carrying of Kuridrani or Samu Kerevi into the mix if possible. By opting for Beale at full-back, Cheika would give himself a 15 with unparalleled ability to link play, and step up as a second receiver or to split the back line at the set-piece, should he desire it.

Honourable mentions

As said before, Maddocks is on a very impressive trajectory, albeit probably not seen as an international full-back at this point in time. Isaac Lucas is a bright prospect and someone who will be involved with the U20s this season, but he is one to look at for the role in the next cycle, rather than at the RWC. Toomua and Hunt have shown ability at the position also, but seem much more likely to continue roles in the centres, especially with players like Haylett-Petty and Hodge available to fill the position. That said, Hunt could find himself with a glut of playing time at 15 for the Waratahs now, should RA carry through their threat and fire Folau.

Watch: Folau’s views again court controversy

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J
JW 2 hours ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

I rated Lowe well enough to be an AB. Remember we were picking the likes of George Bridge above such players so theres no disputing a lot of bad decisions have been made by those last two coaches. Does a team like the ABs need a finicky winger who you have to adapt and change a lot of your style with to get benefit from? No, not really. But he still would have been a basic improvement on players like even Savea at the tail of his career, Bridge, and could even have converted into the answer of replacing Beauden at the back. Instead we persisted with NMS, Naholo, Havili, Reece, all players we would have cared even less about losing and all because Rieko had Lowe's number 11 jersey nailed down.


He was of course only 23 when he decided to leave, it was back in the beggining of the period they had started retaining players (from 2018 onwards I think, they came out saying theyre going to be more aggressive at some point). So he might, all of them, only just missed out.


The main point that Ed made is that situations like Lowe's, Aki's, JGP's, aren't going to happen in future. That's a bit of a "NZ" only problem, because those players need to reach such a high standard to be chosen by the All Blacks, were as a country like Ireland wants them a lot earlier like that. This is basically the 'ready in 3 years' concept Ireland relied on, versus the '5 years and they've left' concept' were that player is now ready to be chosen by the All Blacks (given a contract to play Super, ala SBW, and hopefully Manu).


The 'mercenary' thing that will take longer to expire, and which I was referring to, is the grandparents rule. The new kids coming through now aren't going to have as many gp born overseas, so the amount of players that can leave with a prospect of International rugby offer are going to drop dramatically at some point. All these kiwi fellas playing for a PI, is going to stop sadly.


The new era problem that will replace those old concerns is now French and Japanese clubs (doing the same as NRL teams have done for decades by) picking kids out of school. The problem here is not so much a national identity one, than it is a farm system where 9 in 10 players are left with nothing. A stunted education and no support in a foreign country (well they'll get kicked out of those countries were they don't in Australia).


It's the same sort of situation were NZ would be the big guy, but there weren't many downsides with it. The only one I can think was brought up but a poster on this site, I can't recall who it was, but he seemed to know a lot of kids coming from the Islands weren't really given the capability to fly back home during school xms holidays etc. That is probably something that should be fixed by the union. Otherwise getting someone like Fakatava over here for his last year of school definitely results in NZ being able to pick the cherries off the top but it also allows that player to develop and be able to represent Tonga and under age and possibly even later in his career. Where as a kid being taken from NZ is arguably going to be worse off in every respect other than perhaps money. Not going to develop as a person, not going to develop as a player as much, so I have a lotof sympathy for NZs case that I don't include them in that group but I certainly see where you're coming from and it encourages other countries to think they can do the same while not realising they're making a much worse experience/situation.

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