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Four teams in contention for World Rugby No.1 rankings' spot

Cameron Woki is one of a breed of French world beaters who downed the All Blacks in November (Photo by Aurelien Meunier/Getty Images)

In a rare weekend in rugby union, four Test teams are in the running to pick up the World Rugby No.1 ranking.

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Depending on how things play out one of South Africa, New Zealand, France and Ireland could end the weekend as the number 1 one side in the world.

The Springboks are a little vulnerable, as they cannot improve their rating with victory over Wales due to the 11.33 rating points between the teams before home weighting is factored in.

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Dan Biggar talks about the ‘no fear’ factor in the Wales team

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Dan Biggar talks about the ‘no fear’ factor in the Wales team

If the Boks draw with Wayne Pivac’s Wales, then the All Blacks or Ireland must win by more than 15 points to assume the top rank. With that said, defeat for Jacques Nienaber’s men means that a smaller margin of victory will be sufficient for New Zealand or Ireland. The men in green will be the higher ranked of the two nations if they avoid defeat in New Zealand.

Ireland have only occupied top spot for two weeks – in September 2019 – since the rankings were introduced in October 2003.

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South Africa will drop to third in defeat if in tandem with a France victory in Japan and win for either New Zealand or Ireland. They could theretically even drop to fourth if the margin of defeat is more than 15 points and NZ and Ireland draw.

The All Blacks could also facce a tumble. Ian Foster’s side can drop to their lowest ever ranking of fourth if they lose and France win.

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If South Africa win, New Zealand will still gain one place with victory regardless of France’s result in Japan. Fabien Galthie’s France can top the rankings for the first time if they win, South Africa lose and it is a draw at Eden Park.

Australia will climb above England with victory in the opening test in Perth. Eddie Jones’ men can only improve on fifth place if they win by more than 15 points and France lose to Japan by the same margin.

Japan will climb above a beaten Wales into ninth if they beat France. The Brave Blossoms could climb another place to eighth if they win by more than 15 points, Wales are beaten and Scotland lose by the same margin in Argentina.

Les Bleus will fall two places to fourth if they lose to Jamie Joseph’s side. They could drop another place if the margin of defeat for them and Australia against England is more than 15 points.

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Meanwhile Wales will climb above a beaten Scotland if they can defeat South Africa in Pretoria. Gregor Townsend’s side could fall as low as 10th depending on margin of defeat and the results in South Africa and Japan.

In the Pacific Nations Cup, Fiji cannot improve their rating with victory over Tonga due to the 8.9 rating points between them before home weighting is factored in. Vern Cotter has named nine Fijian Drua players in the starting line-up, four of whom make their debuts in second-row Isoa Nasilasila, flanker Rusiate Nasova, winger Vinaya Habosi and centre Kalaveti Ravouvou, and a Tokyo Olympic gold medallist in winger Jiuta Wainiqolo.

Italy will climb above Samoa if they beat Romania with Manu Samoa’s match with Australia A in the World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup not counting towards the rankings. Romania welcome back their 128-test veteran Florin Vlaicu, who last played for the Oaks in March 2021. Victor Leon makes his Romania debut, having previously played seven tests for Moldova.

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1 Comment
G
Graeme 899 days ago

Who cares about rankings?

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M
Mzilikazi 14 minutes ago
Does the next Wallabies coach have to be an Australian?

Great read on a fascinating topic, Nick. Thanks as always.


My gut feel is that Joe Schmidt won't carry on through to the next RWC. He is at the stage, and age, in his life , that a further two years in a very high pressure coaching job would not be a good thing for either himself or his family. The fact that he remains based in Taupo seems a significant pointer, I would have thought. I believe he has a round trip of 12 hrs driving just to get on a plane to Australia.


Amongst the many good things Joe Schmidt has achieved to this point is that the WB's are now a more enticing prospect to coach going forward.


Tbh, the only Australian coach I would see stepping up and developing the WB's further would be Les Kiss. He has far more in his CV than any other Australian. He now has 23 years of coaching Union,starting with a defence role with the Boks, then back to Australia with the Waratahs. Overseas again for nine years in Ireland, which included 5 years as defence coach with the national team, during which he was interim head coach for two games, both wins. His last years in Ireland were with Ulster, even then a team beginning a decline. So that spell was his least successful. Finally the spell with London Irish, where I felt Kiss was doing very well, till the club collapsed financially.


Of the other Australian options, Dan McKellar has a lot to prove post the year with Leicester. Stephen Larkham has not, in my view, yet shown outstanding qualities as a coach. Nether man has anything close to Kiss's experience. Some may see this as being harsh on both men, ignoring good work they have done. But is how I see it.


Looking outside Australia, I would see Vern Cotter as a strong possibility, if interested. His time with Scotland was outstanding. Ronan O'Gara, I would think, might well be another possibility, though he has no international experience. Jake White ? Maybe .

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