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France no longer favourites with the bookmakers after Ntamack injury

Romain Ntamack of France celebrates his try during the Autumn Nations Series match between France and New Zealand on November 20, 2021 in Paris, France. (Photo by Catherine Steenkeste/Getty Images)

World Cup host nation France have lost the favourites tag with the bookmakers after a devastating double blow losing flyhalf Romain Ntamack and prop Cyril Baillie to injury.

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On the eve of the World Cup the key injuries came in France’s warm-up clash with Scotland where they fielded a near-full strength side.

In a statement, the FFR writes: “Romain Ntamack was hit in the left knee and had to leave the field. Imaging performed this morning diagnosed a ruptured anterior cruciate ligament. Consequently, Romain Ntamack will be forfeited for the World Cup.”

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New Zealand have now firmed as favourites with many betting agencies including at home with the New Zealand TAB at $3.50 as outright winners.

France are second while Ireland are third despite being the world’s number one ranked side.

It is a similar pattern with UK’s Bet365, Betfair, Skybet and Paddy Power all installing New Zealand as favourites.

Malta-based Unibet, BetUK and SportingIndex were the only bookmakers to have New Zealand and France as equal favourites.

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The defending champions South Africa are ranked fourth.

France have two warm-up matches remaining, against Fiji and Australia, and now have to decide whether to rest other stars like Antoine Dupont to avoid catastrophe before the home Rugby World Cup.

New Zealand play just one game against South Africa at Twickenham in two weeks while Ireland have matches against England and Samoa.

 

 

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Comments

21 Comments
J
JS 707 days ago

I dont know the 'real' Test depth of Frances propping stocks but if another front-liner goes down then au revoir France! Cause if you want to nullify Dupont then take away his go-forward and set-piece 'platform'.

P
Pecos 708 days ago

Eeek, RWC favouritism is generally a death knell for ABs.

D
Duncan 707 days ago

A long time ago

G
GF 708 days ago

Ridiculous! France team is chocka will talent. I don't want my team with favorite tag either. Please!

J
Jen 708 days ago

I dunno, the loss of Ntamack doesn’t make me think that France will be any less awesome. Plus I don’t like the bookies talking up the ABs - it’s NZ’s year to waddle into the tourny without too much attention. Nothing to see here.

J
Jmann 709 days ago

Crazy. NZ did it without Carter in 2011 and France are more than capable without Ntamack. If they lost Dupont... that would be cause for worry.

H
HOFer 707 days ago

France have been coming very close to losing to average sides recently (Italy, Australia, Scotland last weekend). NZ in 2011 were never like that. Ntamack matters

C
CV 708 days ago

It's just that Dupont and Ntamack always play together with France and Toulouse, they're a settled combination. Jalibert is up there with the best. Look up his highlights. Highlight is resume in French, just a hint.

R
Ruby 708 days ago

It should be noted that New Zealand beat France 37-17 in 2011 in pool play with Carter, without him in the final they were lucky to win 8-7.


France has depth it's a massive disruption to bring in less experienced players in crucial playmaking roles, even if Dupont comes through unscathed a few more injuries at 10 like the ABs had with Colin Slade and Aaron Cruden in 2011 and it'll be a different story.

C
CO 708 days ago

In 2011 NZ had the world's best loose forward trio and an extremely solid tight five and yet France was the better team in the final and still lost it. If the Allblacks had Carter in the final it would've probably been a more definite victory like 2015. Is France an incredibly solid 8 that with Dupont can carry the replacement first five to world cup victory? To be honest I don't know enough about their forward pack other than they lost their best prop. What I do know is they have a chance at winning the semi with the Irish captain rusty and old or the Springboks without Pollard. The pool match against the Allblacks will be though the true litmus test as the Allblacks will be at full strength and will have every intention of winning it to play the second best team in the opposition pool. If France can win their first pool game then they can win RWC but if they lose then they will not.

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NH 3 hours ago
'The Wallabies need to convert much better - or Melbourne could be much worse'

Nice one as always Brett. I think the stats hide a bit of the dominance the lions had, and they would look alot worse in that first half when the game was more in the balance. You mention it here but I think it hasn’t been talked about enough was the lineout. The few times the wallabies managed to exit their half and get an opportunity to attack in the 1st half, the lineout was lost. This was huge in terms of lions keeping momentum and getting another chance to attack, rather than the wallabies getting their chance and to properly ‘exit’ their half. The other one you touch on re “the will jordan bounce of the ball” - is kick chase/receipt. I thought that the wallabies kicked relatively well (although were beaten in this area - Tom L rubbish penalty kicks for touch!), but our kick receipt and chase wasn’t good enough jorgenson try aside. In the 1st half there was a moment where russell kicked for a 50:22 and potter fumbled it into touch after been caught out of position, lynagh makes a similar kick off 1st phase soon after and keenan is good enough to predict the kick, catch it at his bootlaces and put a kick in. That kick happened to go out on the full but it was a demonstration on the difference in positioning etc. This meant that almost every contested kick that was spilled went the way of the lions, thats no accident, that is a better chase, more urgency, more players in the area. Wallabies need to be better in who fields their kicks getting maxy and wright under most of them and Lynagh under less, and the chase needs to be the responsibility of not just one winger but a whole group of players who pressure not just the catch but the tackle, ruck and following phase.

17 Go to comments
J
JW 3 hours ago
Competing interests and rotated squads: What the 'player welfare summer' is really telling us

Thanks for the further background to player welfare metrics Nick.


Back on the last article I noted that WR is now dedicating a whole section in their six-point business plan to this topic. It also noted that studies indicated 85-90% of workload falls outside of playing. So in respect to your point on the classification of ‘involvements’, needing to include even subs with a low volume of minutes, it actually goes further to the wider group of players that train as if they’re going to be required to start on the weekend. That makes even the 30-35 game borderline pale into insignificance.


No doubt it is one of the main reasons why France has a quota on the number of any one clubs amount of players in their International camps, where they rotate in other clubs players through the week (those not chosen in the 23 on Tues/Wed must be rotated out with players from another club for the remaining weeks prep). The number of ‘invisible’ games against a players season tally or predicted workload suggests the FFRs 25 game limit as more appropriate?


So if we take it at face value that Galthie and the FFR have got it right, only a dozen players from the last 60 international caps should have gone on this tour. More players from the ‘Scotland 23’ than the more recent 23 were eligible.


The only real pertinent question is what do players prefer more, health or money? There are lots of ethical decisions, like for instance whether France could make a market like Australia’s where their biggest rugby codes have yearly broadcast deals of 360 and 225 million euros. They do it by having a 7/8 month season, but ultimately if they don’t want it to change they can just play 11 months in the season instead.

72 Go to comments
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