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Fresh doubts over Leigh Halfpenny after Wales' captain's run

By PA
(Photo by Ian Cook/CameraSport via Getty Images)

The hopes that Leigh Halfpenny has of making a Wales return against New Zealand on Saturday could be dashed by injury. The Scarlets full-back has been suffering from a hamstring strain but was named in the starting line-up by head coach Wayne Pivac. He took an extremely limited part in the ten minutes of the Wales captain’s run at the Principality Stadium that was open to the media on Friday.

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Halfpenny spent time in the corner of the pitch with a member of Wales’ support staff before leaving and walking up the players’ tunnel alone. He has not played Test rugby since suffering serious knee ligament damage in Wales’ victory over Canada 16 months ago.

If he is ruled out of the Autumn Nations Series opener, then Wales look likely to hand Cardiff’s Rhys Priestland or current starting fly-half Gareth Anscombe a role in the number 15 jersey. Priestland, usually a fly-half, has played at full-back for Cardiff this season.

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Should the 35-year-old be promoted from the replacements for a first Test start since Wales faced Georgia in 2017, then uncapped Scarlets fly-half Sam Costelow could provide bench cover. Costelow, 21, participated in the captain’s run as Wales went through their final pre-match session.

Wales will make their latest attempt to defeat the All Blacks, having not achieved it since 1953 and lost 32 successive Tests against them. But Wales can take heart from New Zealand’s patchy form this year, with Ireland (twice), Argentina and South Africa having defeated the All Blacks.

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Pivac has recalled the likes of Ken Owens and Justin Tipuric, who have been long-term injury absentees alongside Halfpenny, with Tipuric taking over as captain from an injured Dan Biggar. Tipuric said: “It is going to be a tough physical game and it will be brutal in areas. We know what they [New Zealand] are going to bring. It’s never a good time to play the All Blacks, let’s be honest. We have got to make sure we put our best foot forward.

“The way New Zealand play and the way we want to play, it should be a fast, running game. New Zealand always finish strongly and that is the one big thing we need to make sure we get right. You can’t switch off otherwise they take advantage of it. In the past, we started well against them and then they pull away in the last 20 minutes. The big thing is whether we can stick it for the full 80 minutes.”

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Pivac, who has already masterminded Wales’ first victory over the Springboks on South African soil this year, added: “The boys are really excited. They created some history (in South Africa) and they want to create some more. We respect them [New Zealand] but we have got to go out there and not fear them. The message in our camp is ‘let’s go out there and put our stamp on the game early’. We have to start well.”

Referee Wayne Barnes will become the second official in rugby union history to control 100 Tests when he takes charge of Saturday’s encounter. He follows Welshman Nigel Owens in reaching that landmark, and the game will start with Barnes blowing the whistle from Wales’ first victory against the All Blacks in 1905.

Scotland’s John Dallas was the man in the middle on that day when Wales defeated New Zealand 3-0 in front of a 40,000 crowd at Cardiff Arms Park. Toby Goodman, an exiled New Zealander currently living in Bath, bought the whistle and accompanying correspondence from Dallas several years ago, and the whistle will be lent to Barnes for kick-off.

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J
JW 53 minutes ago
Why Les Kiss and Stuart Lancaster can lead Australia to glory

It is now 22 years since Michael Lewis published his groundbreaking treatise on winning against the odds

I’ve never bothered looking at it, though I have seen a move with Clint as a scout/producer. I’ve always just figured it was basic stuff for the age of statistics, is that right?

Following the Moneyball credo, the tailor has to cut his cloth to the material available

This is actually a great example of what I’m thinking of. This concept has abosolutely nothing to do with Moneyball, it is simple being able to realise how skillsets tie together and which ones are really revelant.


It sounds to me now like “moneyball” was just a necessity, it was like scienctest needing to come up with some random experiment to make all the other world scholars believe that Earth was round. The American sporting scene is very unique, I can totally imagine one of it’s problems is rich old owners not wanting to move with the times and understand how the game has changed. Some sort of mesiah was needed to convert the faithful.


While I’m at this point in the article I have to say, now the NRL is a sport were one would stand up and pay attention to the moneyball phenom. Like baseball, it’s a sport of hundreds of identical repetitions, and very easy to data point out.

the tailor has to cut his cloth to the material available and look to get ahead of an unfair game in the areas it has always been strong: predictive intelligence and rugby ‘smarts’

Actually while I’m still here, Opta Expected Points analysis is the one new tool I have found interesting in the age of data. Seen how the random plays out as either likely, or unlikely, in the data’s (and algorithms) has actually married very closely to how I saw a lot of contests pan out.


Engaging return article Nick. I wonder, how much of money ball is about strategy as apposed to picks, those young fella’s got ahead originally because they were picking players that played their way right? Often all you here about is in regards to players, quick phase ruck ball, one out or straight up, would be were I’d imagine the best gains are going to be for a data driven leap using an AI model of how to structure your phases. Then moving to tactically for each opposition.

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