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Geordan Murphy hopes retail therapy eases relegation fears

Geordan Murphy, Leicester Tigers head coach. (Photo by David Rogers/Getty Images)

Geordan Murphy has been banned from watching Newcastle’s crunch Gallagher Premiership clash with Gloucester by his wife – and will instead spend the afternoon shopping.

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Leicester secured a losing bonus point in their 23-19 defeat to Harlequins at The Stoop on Friday but it was not enough to guarantee their top-flight survival.

Newcastle cling on for another day at least due to events in south west London and must secure bonus-point wins from the final two rounds to have any hope of escaping relegation.

But Murphy has been told that viewing the Falcons’ visit to Kingsholm on Saturday is off limits due to the tension it would create in the household.

“I’d be happy to watch the Newcastle game,” Leicester’s head coach said.

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“On most Saturdays I’d sit down and watch all of the rugby on the TV with the two young kids if I was allowed.

“But my wife has told me she can’t take it so she’s taking me shopping instead. I’ll probably just follow it on my phone – sneakily!

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“We’re still in control of our destiny. We’ve got a really big game at home to Bath and that’s all I want to focus on.

“I don’t want to worry about Newcastle and their result. I don’t want to wish any ill on them, I wish them the very best of luck.

“We’ve had a really disappointing season but we can finish on a high against Bath. Hopefully we can give the fans something to cheer about which they haven’t had much of this season.”

Tries by Danny Care and Semi Kunatani helped Quins build a comfortable lead that was distorted when Mike Fitzgerald burrowed over almost three minutes into over-time to secure a crucial bonus point.

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It was not a vintage display from Paul Gustard’s men, who remain in top-four contention after ending a five-match losing run in the Premiership.

“Where do I hope to finish? I want to win it. There’s no point entering something without the desire to win it, otherwise I might as well sit back in my armchair,” Quins head of rugby Gustard said.

“We’ve made hard work out of it over the last five weeks. We put ourselves in a great position 10 weeks ago but our recent results haven’t been what we wanted.

“We’ve made it tough which is a shame because to miss out on the top four now would be really disappointing.”

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J
JW 53 minutes ago
Why Les Kiss and Stuart Lancaster can lead Australia to glory

It is now 22 years since Michael Lewis published his groundbreaking treatise on winning against the odds

I’ve never bothered looking at it, though I have seen a move with Clint as a scout/producer. I’ve always just figured it was basic stuff for the age of statistics, is that right?

Following the Moneyball credo, the tailor has to cut his cloth to the material available

This is actually a great example of what I’m thinking of. This concept has abosolutely nothing to do with Moneyball, it is simple being able to realise how skillsets tie together and which ones are really revelant.


It sounds to me now like “moneyball” was just a necessity, it was like scienctest needing to come up with some random experiment to make all the other world scholars believe that Earth was round. The American sporting scene is very unique, I can totally imagine one of it’s problems is rich old owners not wanting to move with the times and understand how the game has changed. Some sort of mesiah was needed to convert the faithful.


While I’m at this point in the article I have to say, now the NRL is a sport were one would stand up and pay attention to the moneyball phenom. Like baseball, it’s a sport of hundreds of identical repetitions, and very easy to data point out.

the tailor has to cut his cloth to the material available and look to get ahead of an unfair game in the areas it has always been strong: predictive intelligence and rugby ‘smarts’

Actually while I’m still here, Opta Expected Points analysis is the one new tool I have found interesting in the age of data. Seen how the random plays out as either likely, or unlikely, in the data’s (and algorithms) has actually married very closely to how I saw a lot of contests pan out.


Engaging return article Nick. I wonder, how much of money ball is about strategy as apposed to picks, those young fella’s got ahead originally because they were picking players that played their way right? Often all you here about is in regards to players, quick phase ruck ball, one out or straight up, would be were I’d imagine the best gains are going to be for a data driven leap using an AI model of how to structure your phases. Then moving to tactically for each opposition.

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