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History suggests Leicester will have the edge over Leinster

Leinster player Sean O' Brien (l) in action during the Heineken Cup Quarter Final match between Leinster and Leicester Tigers at Aviva Stadium on April 9, 2011 in Dublin, Ireland. (Photo by Stu Forster/Getty Images)

EPCR statistics show that the home side’s in this weekend’s Heineken Champions Cup quarter-finals will enjoy a significant advantage over their visitors.

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According to the organisers, of the 100 tournament quarter-final matches to date, 74 per cent have been won by the home club.

It may seem obvious, but the statistic might be why Leinster were so irate at being railroaded into a 28 – 0 loss to Montpellier earlier in the competition, a result that fated the Irish giants to an away quarter-final despite winning every game they played in Europe this season.

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Scaling The French Rugby Pyramid | Zack Henry | Le French Rugby Podcast | EP 27

We’re joined by an Englishman in the Pyrenees as Pau fly half Zack Henry talks us through his journey from Rouen in Federale 1 up through PRO D2 and to the Top 14 via a stint at Leicester in the Premiership. We hear how playing under Steve Borthwick at Tigers wasn’t the right fit, what Gabin Villiere was like back in his days as a back-up scrum half in the French third tier, how dangerous Chouffe socials can be and what happens when you injure your hamstring and are sent to a faith healer rather than a physio! Plus, Johnnie makes a big prediction about who will miss out on the Top 14 play-offs, we discuss Spain being stripped of their place at the World Cup in France next year and we pick our MEATER Moment of the Week…
Use the code FRENCHPOD20 at checkout for 20% off any full price item at Meater.com

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Scaling The French Rugby Pyramid | Zack Henry | Le French Rugby Podcast | EP 27

We’re joined by an Englishman in the Pyrenees as Pau fly half Zack Henry talks us through his journey from Rouen in Federale 1 up through PRO D2 and to the Top 14 via a stint at Leicester in the Premiership. We hear how playing under Steve Borthwick at Tigers wasn’t the right fit, what Gabin Villiere was like back in his days as a back-up scrum half in the French third tier, how dangerous Chouffe socials can be and what happens when you injure your hamstring and are sent to a faith healer rather than a physio! Plus, Johnnie makes a big prediction about who will miss out on the Top 14 play-offs, we discuss Spain being stripped of their place at the World Cup in France next year and we pick our MEATER Moment of the Week…
Use the code FRENCHPOD20 at checkout for 20% off any full price item at Meater.com

They face the in-form Leicester Tigers, this season’s leading side in the Gallagher Premiership, on Saturday. The two sides will be going head-to-head for the fifth time in the knockout stage of the tournament when they clash at Mattioli Woods Welford Road.

It’s currently 2-2 including the 2009 final won by Leinster at BT Murrayfield.

Neither side will lack firepower out wide. Tigers’ will be unleashing the evergreen Chris Ashton, who just this weekend became the Gallagher Premiership’s record try scorer, adding three tries to the record he shared with Tom Varndell.

Leinster, for their part, have their own ballistic missile in the shape of James Lowe, who is the leading try-scorer in this season’s Heineken Champions Cup, with eight tries from four matches.

Considering how well-matched these sides have traditionally been and the fact both are in rare form in their respective leagues, home advantage could be enough to tip the balance in Leicester’s favour.

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Whatever about the new tournament structure this season, it’s certainly thrown up sides’ that can boast vast European pedigrees. There’s a total of 18 European titles between the quarter-finalists. Four clubs – Stade Toulousain (5), Leinster Rugby (4), Leicester Tigers (2) and Munster Rugby (2) – are former tournament winners.

When Munster and Stade Toulousain clash at the Aviva Stadium on Saturday, both clubs will be making a record 19th appearance at the quarter-final stage of the tournament. Munster captain, Peter O’Mahony, has registered the most turnovers with 13 from his five matches.

Munster and Toulouse have met six times in the knockout stage to date – including the famous 2008 final – with Munster ahead 4-2. Munster were winners in 2014 and 2017 at the quarter-final stage, however, Stade Toulousain triumphed 40-33 in the Round of 16 at Thomond Park last season on their way to lifting the trophy.

Sale Sharks are maybe the fish most out of water in the quarters. Alex Sanderson’s side, who face Racing 92 on Sunday, will be looking for a first quarter-final success in their history having lost to Biarritz Olympique in 2006, and to Stade Rochelais last season.

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Montpellier Hérault Rugby are also a little light in European knockout experience. The last time they reached the last eight was 2013.

In fact the matches between Stade Rochelais and Montpellier, and Racing 92 and Sale Sharks, will be the first time the clubs have met in the Heineken Champions Cup.

In the Challenge Cup, the quarter-finalists have 11 European titles between them. Gloucester Rugby (2) and Wasps (1) are former tournament winners, while Edinburgh Rugby, London Irish and RC Toulon have been losing finalists.

Toulon and Saracens are contenders to join the elite group of four clubs – Bath Rugby, Leinster Rugby, Northampton Saints and Wasps – who won have both the Heineken Champions Cup and the EPCR Challenge Cup.

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With the final set for Friday, 27 May in Marseille, the cash rich French side will have extra motivation to make the 70-kilometre journey once again having lost a dramatic 2010 decider to Cardiff Rugby at the Stade Vélodrome in front of a record attendance for an EPCR Challenge Cup final of 48,990.

Edinburgh’s Emiliano Boffelli is this season’s leading scorer with 43 points from four matches, while Santiago Socino of Gloucester is top of the try scoring charts with five also from four matches.

statistics care of the EPCR 

 

 

 

 

 

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J
JW 5 hours ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

I rated Lowe well enough to be an AB. Remember we were picking the likes of George Bridge above such players so theres no disputing a lot of bad decisions have been made by those last two coaches. Does a team like the ABs need a finicky winger who you have to adapt and change a lot of your style with to get benefit from? No, not really. But he still would have been a basic improvement on players like even Savea at the tail of his career, Bridge, and could even have converted into the answer of replacing Beauden at the back. Instead we persisted with NMS, Naholo, Havili, Reece, all players we would have cared even less about losing and all because Rieko had Lowe's number 11 jersey nailed down.


He was of course only 23 when he decided to leave, it was back in the beggining of the period they had started retaining players (from 2018 onwards I think, they came out saying theyre going to be more aggressive at some point). So he might, all of them, only just missed out.


The main point that Ed made is that situations like Lowe's, Aki's, JGP's, aren't going to happen in future. That's a bit of a "NZ" only problem, because those players need to reach such a high standard to be chosen by the All Blacks, were as a country like Ireland wants them a lot earlier like that. This is basically the 'ready in 3 years' concept Ireland relied on, versus the '5 years and they've left' concept' were that player is now ready to be chosen by the All Blacks (given a contract to play Super, ala SBW, and hopefully Manu).


The 'mercenary' thing that will take longer to expire, and which I was referring to, is the grandparents rule. The new kids coming through now aren't going to have as many gp born overseas, so the amount of players that can leave with a prospect of International rugby offer are going to drop dramatically at some point. All these kiwi fellas playing for a PI, is going to stop sadly.


The new era problem that will replace those old concerns is now French and Japanese clubs (doing the same as NRL teams have done for decades by) picking kids out of school. The problem here is not so much a national identity one, than it is a farm system where 9 in 10 players are left with nothing. A stunted education and no support in a foreign country (well they'll get kicked out of those countries were they don't in Australia).


It's the same sort of situation were NZ would be the big guy, but there weren't many downsides with it. The only one I can think was brought up but a poster on this site, I can't recall who it was, but he seemed to know a lot of kids coming from the Islands weren't really given the capability to fly back home during school xms holidays etc. That is probably something that should be fixed by the union. Otherwise getting someone like Fakatava over here for his last year of school definitely results in NZ being able to pick the cherries off the top but it also allows that player to develop and be able to represent Tonga and under age and possibly even later in his career. Where as a kid being taken from NZ is arguably going to be worse off in every respect other than perhaps money. Not going to develop as a person, not going to develop as a player as much, so I have a lotof sympathy for NZs case that I don't include them in that group but I certainly see where you're coming from and it encourages other countries to think they can do the same while not realising they're making a much worse experience/situation.

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