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How Joe Schmidt's status quo decision could cost the Wallabies

Isaac Kailea and Allan Alaalatoa of the Wallabies celebrate victory during the men's International Test match between Australia Wallabies and Wales at Allianz Stadium on July 06, 2024 in Sydney, Australia. (Photo by Jason McCawley/Getty Images)

Joe Schmidt has called on the cavalry with big name signings and new overseas picks for his last Wallaby squad of 2024, but the propping stocks have received no such boost.

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Schmidt has brought in reinforcements in other troubled positions like second row, flyhalf, and centre but has refrained from bringing-in props to put pressure on his established front row stocks.

This decision, to stick with the status quo at prop, means rapid improvements are required if the Wallabies wish to avoid disaster on their grand slam tour.

This is because strong scrummagers await the Wallabies and although their scrum has been a real strength at times, their strengths must continue to improve as well as fixing their problems.

The last four Tests of the year present the team with an opportunity to bring all their lessons together, to ensure complete performances against the ‘home nations’ England, Ireland, Scotland and Wales.

This goal requires a strong set-piece, and the scrum is a crucial piece to the puzzle.

Starters Taniela Tupou and Angus Bell have successfully anchored the Wallaby scrum for 40-minutes at a time.

The drop off once the pair leaves the field is considerable and Schmidt has foregone the opportunity to shake things up.

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Alongside the starters, Schmidt has selected looseheads Isaac Aedo Kailea and James Slipper, as well as tightheads Allan Alaalatoa and Tom Robertson.

Head-to-Head

Last 5 Meetings

Wins
3
Draws
0
Wins
2
Average Points scored
30
24
First try wins
40%
Home team wins
40%

Kailea has had good form in his rookie Wallaby season, he provides the team with a strong ball running option, a staunch defender, and a decent scrummager.

Kailea had some decent early performances, but he must announce himself on the international stage during this tour because he seems to be the second-strongest loosehead scrummager in the squad.

It’s a big responsibility, resting on youthful shoulders, because apart from the first Bledisloe match, Slipper has struggled at scrum time.

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The young buck has the benefit of being under the tutelage of the ‘Scrum Doctor’ Mike Cron, as well as being able to lean on Slipper, the most capped Wallaby of all time, but all this must show for something in the coming weeks.

While it appears like a big load to put on such young shoulders, who else could Schmidt have turned to?

In the Australia XV team, Tom Lambert and Harry Hoopert are the only loosehead options, should a Wallaby go down.

Lambert is brutally short on game time, having been injured for much of the year, and Hoopert has only had a handful of games for the Western after returning from injury, with none featuring a dominant scrum performance.

The list of unavailable players doesn’t help Schmidt either: Alex Hodgman (family reasons), Harry Johnson-Holmes (Achilles), and Blake Schoupp (shoulder) are all unable to throw their hat in the ring for selection.

The reasons for not selecting Melbourne Rebel turned Queensland Red Matt Gibbon for Wallabies or Australia XV are a mystery, especially considering he had a strong Super campaign.

From an experience aspect, Hodgman is the only domestic player who could truly shift the dial.

Internationally, the clear and obvious choice would have been Exeter Chief and 69-cap Wallaby Scott Sio, who would add experience and strong competition to the young propping stocks.

The depth on the other side of the scrum is equally uncertain.

Despite some fitness issues and what appear to be confidence issues, Tupou has been the premier Wallaby tighthead by a country mile.

His raw power and explosiveness at scrum time has seen the Wallabies be able lean on the scrum in times of need.

The key for Schmidt and Cron on this tour will be to get the best out of Tupou, to fill him with confidence and to get him playing 50 minutes in every Test.

Increased minutes for Tupou is crucial as his deputy, Allan Alaalatoa, has struggled at scrum time since returning from a horror Achilles injury.

Getting 30 minutes of Alaalatoa’s typical high workrate in both defence and attack would serve the Wallabies well, especially if Tupou has taken the initial sting out of oppositions’ scrums in the second stanza.

After Alaalatoa, 31-cap Tom Robertson claims third spot, but he’s critically short on game time having only played a few games for the Force in October.

Again, looking at the Australia XV stocks and the options are thin: Rhys van Nek, Zane Nonggorr, and exciting youngster, Massimo De Lutiis.

Nonggorr is the only Wallaby capped member of the trio with 8-caps to his name, but the 23-year-old is not yet a force at scrum time, few tighthead-props are at this age.

Van Nek lacks unique size like Kailea or Tupou, and De Lutiis is building for Super Rugby.

Therefore, Alaalatoa is charged with large responsibility, for the Wallabies won’t be able to achieve success on their grand slam tour without a scrum that can compete for 80-minutes.

World-class scrummagers like Ireland’s Andrew Porter and Tadgh Furlong, England’s Joe Marler and Dan Cole, and Scotland’s Zander Fagerson and Pierre Schoeman await the Wallabies, and they will expose any weakness presented to them.

The Wallabies have an opportunity to weaponize their scrum with Bell and Tupou, but Cron must get another level out of Kailea and Alaalatoa.

Whereas new additions have seen players relegated in other positions, there is no such pressure being fabricated in the front-row stocks.

Schmidt has elected to stick with the players who carried him throughout the Rugby Championship and therefore, the pressure to push for better performances must come from himself, Cron, and from the props themselves.

The game of rugby is won and lost up front, and you can’t get any further forward than the front row.

Louis Rees-Zammit joins Jim Hamilton for the latest episode of Walk the Talk to discuss his move to the NFL. Watch now on RugbyPass TV

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Comments

5 Comments
O
OJohn 56 days ago

But this is what kiwi coaches in Australia do. They will not put our strongest team on the field for obvious reasons. It's deliberate sabotage.

W
Willie 55 days ago

Go away Sook and find a few props with spines and a smidgeon of endurance.

m
mJ 56 days ago

AAA has struggled to compete for a few years in the scrum so much so the Brumbies rarely would look to compete with him if they knew they were up against any decent props. Now Slipper is struggling as well so doesn’t bode well when both sides are poor. They’re no bomb squad. Kailea is not a strong scrummager either. Showed some promise around the park but he is a long way off in the scrum. A fit Robertson is better in the scrum, not a big ball carrier but his defence is good and he works harder than any other Australian prop. One thing he does well which may not seem much is he’s quick to the tackle and gets the player quick to the ground so when he’s playing he sets up opportunities for pilfers.

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Hellhound 1 hour ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

All you can do is hate on SA. Jealousy makes you nasty and it's never a good look. Those who actually knows rugby is all talking about the depth and standards of the SA players. They don't wear blinders like you. The NH had many years to build the depth and players for multiple competition the SA teams didn't. There will be growing pains. Not least travel issues. The NH teams barely have to travel to play an opponent opposed to the SA teams. That is just one issue. There is many more issues, hence the "growing pains". The CC isn't yet a priority and this is what most people have a problem with. Saying SA is disrespecting that competition which isn't true. SA don't have the funds yet to go big and get the players needed for 3 competitions. It all costs a lot of money. It's over using players and get them injured or prioritising what they can deliver with what are available. To qualify for CC, they need to perform well in the URC, so that is where the main priorities is currently. In time that will change with sponsors coming in fast. They are at a distinct disadvantage currently compared to the rest. Be happy about that, because they already are the best international team. You would have hated it if they kept winning the club competitions like the URC and CC every year too. Don't be such a sourmouth loser. See the complete picture and judge accordingly. There is many factors you aren't even aware of at play that you completely ignore just to sound relevant. Instead of being an positive influence and spread the game and help it grow, we have to read nonsense like this from haters. Just grow up and stop hating on the game. Go watch soccer or something that loves people like you.

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