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How star Wallaby expects All Blacks to rebound from losses to Springboks

By Finn Morton
New Zealand's lock Tupou Vaa'i celebrates after New Zealand's hooker Codie Taylor (unseen) scored their team's first try during the Rugby Championship Test match between South Africa and New Zealand at the Ellis Park Stadium in Johannesburg on August 31, 2024. (Photo by PHILL MAGAKOE / AFP) (Photo by PHILL MAGAKOE/AFP via Getty Images)

The All Blacks have lost three of their last four Tests – a scenario that history shows is both baffling and unlikely. New Zealand fell to Argentina in a shock defeat at Wellington’s Sky Stadium last month, and they’re later beaten in two Tests away to South Africa.

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That 25 per cent winning record in The Rugby Championship sees the All Blacks occupy third-spot out of four with two rounds to play. Their next opponents, the Wallabies, are the only side below them with a one-from-four record as well.

But beware the New Zealanders when they’re down. On Stan Sport last week, former Wallaby Stephen Hoiles explained the All Blacks’ last two defeats have him a “bit scared’ ahead of this weekend’s Bledisloe Cup Test at Sydney’s Accor Stadium.

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“They’ll take their anger out on us,” is how Hoiles described the reasons for that emotion, and former Test halfback Nick Phipps shared a similar point of view. The All Blacks will be desperate to bounce back and they’ll get their chance against their arch-rivals.

“I think anytime you lose, in particular, you go back-to-back as we faced a couple of weeks ago, you certainly have your tail up and you’re keen to rip in, obviously after a week off too,” Wallabies fullback Tom Wright told reporters on Monday afternoon.

“The brand of footy that they’re playing, they were a whisker away in both games that they lost and I mean that genuinely. There was a part of that game that goes either way, then the winning team obviously ran away with it.

“For them, I think the Bledisloe Cup is just as exciting. I know that rivalry goes deep, us and New Zealand, it always will.

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“We’re expecting them to be up for it for sure.”

But it’s a similar story for the Aussies.

Head-to-Head

Last 5 Meetings

Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
5
Average Points scored
20
36
First try wins
60%
Home team wins
40%

When the All Blacks were touring South Africa, the Wallabies made their way to Argentina for two Rugby Championship Tests of their own. The Aussies looked very good for about one-and-a-half matches, but Test rugby can be brutal as the visitors once again learned.

The Wallabies led 20-3 at one stage just under 10 days ago in Santa Fe but ended up losing 67-27. It was the first time they’ve conceded 50 points in a single half of international rugby, and it’s also the most points the Wallabies have ever conceded in a Test.

“No one hurts more than the playing group and the staff. We win together, we lose together sort of mentality,” Wright reflected.

“For us leading into this week, we know that the 40 minutes that you alluded to there, that was really disappointing last week. It’s something that we’re focused on making amends.

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“Test footy is about that, it’s small margins.

“Being up at half-time and then one or two moments and things happen. We’ve got the same opportunity this week to make those wrongs turn into rights for us which is exciting.”

The Wallabies have announced their squad for the two upcoming Tests against the All Blacks. Queensland Reds duo Hunter Paisami and Fraser McReight are both back in the mix after recovering from injuries.

As for the All Blacks, they’ll be without prop Fletcher Newell for the first Test. Newell suffered a calf injury during the second Test in South Africa. Ethan de Groot and George Bower have been called into the squad.

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Comments

6 Comments
B
B.J. Spratt 2 days ago

The only thing that will destroy rugby in New Zealand is the NZRFU and they have done a pretty good job over the last 10 years.


They haven't adapted to the professional era. They use to sign up promising young players. Those players couldn't play anywhere else in the World for 5 years. I don't know if that is still the case. Control and Power is their DNA.


The ARU are broke and the NZRFU have chosen the path of "The Dance of the Slow Death" with Silverlake.


The All Blacks playing the Wallabies is a hiding to nothing.


Anyone can see the "All Black Brand" is declining, as far as a Dominant Brand is concerned. "Not fit for purpose"


Former International players and astute investors can see a "Huge" business opportunity in Rugby.


Silverlake are an "Investment Business" It won't be long before they see, the business sense of dropping the NZRFU and go with the Player's Association or some other business entity, who is prepared to rival the NZRFU.

I
IT 2 days ago

Schmidt is not controlling the offshore players it's ARU lack of funding. Period. The sooner ARU and NZRU opens the door for overseas players the better the competition. It's simply idiotic this argument that it will destroy the local competition. We need the best professional players playing rugby and they are playing professionally elsewhere, duh.

A
AM 2 days ago

Wallabies will lose because of the scrum and D in the centres. All decisions down to Joe Schmidt not knowing what he’s doing.


We have Sio playing well for Exeter last year and even Ainslei is scrummaging quite well for Lyon. Have them in with Thor and Bell starting and Latu at hooker and the scrum is no where near the problem it’s been. Also send Pone off to France to develop his scrummaging as he’s as good there as AA and Nongoorr who are both weak and a far better runner.


Similar at lock with Skelton, Arnolds, Philip and he’s not developed Amatosero who has bag fulls of potential.


Kerevi and Hodge in the centres with Hodge helping at 15. There are some other guys going around in France that are better than Paisami etc as well.


With them the team looks much better but dopey Joe isn’t picking them or paving the way for them to be involved for at least some tests.

T
Teddy 2 days ago

Get Razors in. Every body wants him in. He'll turn it around.

J
Jacinda 2 days ago

2-0

C
CR 2 days ago

beating the Wallabies is hardly anything to brag about these days unfortunately. NZ will see where they are at when they play Ireland and France.

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J
JW 19 minutes ago
Wallabies' opportunity comes from smaller All Black forwards and unbalanced back row

I'm a bit sad John. I thought we were going to get a nice statistical table on the relative physicality of the two packs or something.


There is a big misconception about New Zealand rugby's lack of size. They do, along with Australia, and the homelands of Pacifika people, have a lot of big rugby players, they just haven't been favoured by the All Blacks, or indeed with the likes of Will Skelton, neither NSW or the Wallabies, either.


A quick jump on all.rugby gives a quick look at last weeks teams

SA -------------------------- NZ

963 kg (120.38 kg) --- Pack weight (average) --- 939 kg (117.38 kg)

31 ans - --- Forwards average age ---- 28 ans

29 ans --- Backs average age --- 28 ans


ARG ------------------------ AUS

922 kg (115.25 kg) --- Pack weight (average) ---- 925 kg (115.63 kg)

28 ans ---- Forwards average age --- 25 ans

26 ans ---- Backs average age --- 26 ans


As you can see here, there might be a trend to say that the Wallabies will get more powerful with age, but you wouldn't think one would suggest a physical edge over the Abs at this point. Indeed, their edge comes from a completely different concept, dynamism. In players like Tupou, Bell, some say Frost, Rob, they have players that can edge their opposites. Taylor and Sami (Aumua hopefully) at hooker, Barrett on a good day, and Ardie (and his heir apparent) can provide it for the All Blacks, but Australia's game should definitely be about tempo and speed of play at their young age LSL seems to be thought of as perhaps a strong foil to that when needed, but I would honestly rate him below Patrick.


So I tihnk the pack is much closer to how you view the backline, so makes for a cohesive plan if Joe can get it right. I think the most telling stat for these two teams (haven't checked this mornigns announcement yet) would be in test caps, and it would be stark if Slipper was told he was no longer needed.


Use that youthful exuberance and try and get them confident. That Argentine side is a great, they put a record score on NZ in not as favourable conditions as well. Theyve just got to take that one on the chin, and like SBW says, come out swining for round 2. Remembering that no matter what, in this sport, this game, theyre going to still be standing by round 12 when the Lions come. There should be no fear here.

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