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How The Lions Have Created A Blueprint For Beating The All Blacks

Malcolm Marx

The Lions have defeated four of the five New Zealand Super Rugby franchises this season – all except the Hurricanes, who they meet in Saturday’s final. In doing so they have laid out a blueprint for how international test sides could beat the All Blacks, explains Jamie Wall.

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The sold out signs have gone up at Westpac Stadium ahead of the 2016 Super Rugby final, but the people who should be most interested in this game might just be half a world away. If the Lions manage to pull off an upset and defeat the Hurricanes, it won’t just cap off a remarkable turnaround for what was once the worst team in the competition. It will also show Northern Hemisphere coaches the way to beat the All Blacks.

Whatever happens this weekend, you can’t take anything away from what the Lions have achieved in 2016. They scored 81 tries – more than any other team in the competition – on their way to the final, after finishing second overall in the regular season.

What has been their key to success?

In their 13 wins so far this season, the Lions have scored an average of 40 points. This has also been their average score for their four wins over NZ teams. Their commitment to scoring as many points as possible every game has seen them cop a couple of hidings along the way, most notably from the Hurricanes and Highlanders, but it has seen them right more often than not.

Since becoming World Champions in 2011, the All Blacks have only lost three tests and drawn two. Those three losses have seen a combined total of 157 points. There’s really no point trying to keep the score low. When you play the All Blacks you just have to accept you will bleed points – the key is to keep up your commitment to attack as much as possible.

 
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On the road to the final the Lions have managed to give the ball plenty of air regardless of the stakes. Even in their do-or-die quarterfinal Elton Jantjies decided to switch play and throw a risky face ball to set up Courtnall Skosan in the first minute of play.

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The Lions are almost treating every game like a tennis match, accepting they’re going to concede points but simply striking back and trying to put at least two scores between each one their opponents get. This approach of ‘holding serve’ has resulted in their massive success this season.

Time and time again we’ve seen Northern Hemisphere teams try and tackle their way to victory over the All Blacks. They’ve almost always failed miserably. The last Northern Hemishphere side to triumph was England in 2012, when they racked up 38 points.

Admittedly, there’s a quite a gulf between test matches and Super Rugby. But given the Lions’ success against the Blues, Highlanders, Crusaders and Chiefs, it’s hard not to see how their approach wouldn’t translate to the big stage.

Their expansive game plan will face its biggest challenge on Saturday night, when they meet a Hurricanes side who have only conceded one try in their last three games.

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J
JW 5 hours ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

I rated Lowe well enough to be an AB. Remember we were picking the likes of George Bridge above such players so theres no disputing a lot of bad decisions have been made by those last two coaches. Does a team like the ABs need a finicky winger who you have to adapt and change a lot of your style with to get benefit from? No, not really. But he still would have been a basic improvement on players like even Savea at the tail of his career, Bridge, and could even have converted into the answer of replacing Beauden at the back. Instead we persisted with NMS, Naholo, Havili, Reece, all players we would have cared even less about losing and all because Rieko had Lowe's number 11 jersey nailed down.


He was of course only 23 when he decided to leave, it was back in the beggining of the period they had started retaining players (from 2018 onwards I think, they came out saying theyre going to be more aggressive at some point). So he might, all of them, only just missed out.


The main point that Ed made is that situations like Lowe's, Aki's, JGP's, aren't going to happen in future. That's a bit of a "NZ" only problem, because those players need to reach such a high standard to be chosen by the All Blacks, were as a country like Ireland wants them a lot earlier like that. This is basically the 'ready in 3 years' concept Ireland relied on, versus the '5 years and they've left' concept' were that player is now ready to be chosen by the All Blacks (given a contract to play Super, ala SBW, and hopefully Manu).


The 'mercenary' thing that will take longer to expire, and which I was referring to, is the grandparents rule. The new kids coming through now aren't going to have as many gp born overseas, so the amount of players that can leave with a prospect of International rugby offer are going to drop dramatically at some point. All these kiwi fellas playing for a PI, is going to stop sadly.


The new era problem that will replace those old concerns is now French and Japanese clubs (doing the same as NRL teams have done for decades by) picking kids out of school. The problem here is not so much a national identity one, than it is a farm system where 9 in 10 players are left with nothing. A stunted education and no support in a foreign country (well they'll get kicked out of those countries were they don't in Australia).


It's the same sort of situation were NZ would be the big guy, but there weren't many downsides with it. The only one I can think was brought up but a poster on this site, I can't recall who it was, but he seemed to know a lot of kids coming from the Islands weren't really given the capability to fly back home during school xms holidays etc. That is probably something that should be fixed by the union. Otherwise getting someone like Fakatava over here for his last year of school definitely results in NZ being able to pick the cherries off the top but it also allows that player to develop and be able to represent Tonga and under age and possibly even later in his career. Where as a kid being taken from NZ is arguably going to be worse off in every respect other than perhaps money. Not going to develop as a person, not going to develop as a player as much, so I have a lotof sympathy for NZs case that I don't include them in that group but I certainly see where you're coming from and it encourages other countries to think they can do the same while not realising they're making a much worse experience/situation.

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