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How the rankings could change after Rugby Championship openers

Rassie Erasmus, the South Africa director of rugby, holds a tackle bag during the South Africa Springboks training session held at The Lensbury on November 22, 2022 in Teddington, England. (Photo by David Rogers/Getty Images)

The Springboks face off against the Wallabies in their Rugby Championship opener this weekend and while it won’t be at the forefront of either sides’ minds, both teams could improve their official World Rugby rankings.

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Even with a potential victory, South Africa cannot improve their rating due to the significant 7.17 point difference between the teams before considering home weighting.

Nevertheless, the Boks have an opportunity to surpass their current fourth-place ranking if they secure a win and New Zealand’s All Blacks are defeated by Argentina. Such an outcome would result in a swap between the two sides in the rankings. Additionally, in this scenario, the Wallabies would drop to eighth place, while the Pumas would climb two spots to sixth following their first-ever test victory over the All Blacks on home soil.

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If Los Pumas manage to achieve a victory margin exceeding 15 points, they would surpass Scotland, climbing to fifth place in the rankings. Conversely, a draw for Australia in Pretoria would propel them two places up to fifth, surpassing Scotland and England.

South Africa, even if beaten by more than 15 points at home, will not drop from their fourth-place ranking, although their advantage over the Wallabies would shrink to a mere 1.17 points.

Looking at other teams, Argentina would remain in the eighth position even in defeat, as their rating points loss would be limited to a maximum of 0.72, still leaving them 1.92 points ahead of Wales.

Ben O’Keeffe will officiate the South Africa versus Australia match, while Angus Gardner will referee the clash between Argentina and New Zealand.

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Meanwhile, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) achieved their highest-ever ranking position, provisionally climbing two places to 60th, following their remarkable 95-0 victory over Pakistan in the first leg. However, another victory would not result in further improvement, as it would only add 0.17 rating points.

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GrahamVF 1 hour ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

"has SA actually EVER helped to develop another union to maturity like NZ has with Japan," yes - Argentina. You obviously don't know the history of Argentinian rugby. SA were touring there on long development tours in the 1950's

We continued the Junior Bok tours to the Argentine through to the early 70's

My coach at Grey High was Giepie Wentzel who toured Argentine as a fly half. He told me about how every Argentinian rugby club has pictures of Van Heerden and Danie Craven on prominent display. Yes we have developed a nation far more than NZ has done for Japan. And BTW Sa players were playing and coaching in Japan long before the Kiwis arrived. Fourie du Preez and many others were playing there 15 years ago.


"Isaac Van Heerden's reputation as an innovative coach had spread to Argentina, and he was invited to Buenos Aires to help the Pumas prepare for their first visit to South Africa in 1965.[1][2] Despite Argentina faring badly in this tour,[2] it was the start of a long and happy relationship between Van Heerden and the Pumas. Izak van Heerden took leave from his teaching post in Durban, relocated to Argentina, learnt fluent Spanish, and would revolutionise Argentine play in the late 1960s, laying the way open for great players such as Hugo Porta.[1][2] Van Heerden virtually invented the "tight loose" form of play, an area in which the Argentines would come to excel, and which would become a hallmark of their playing style. The Pumas repaid the initial debt, by beating the Junior Springboks at Ellis Park, and emerged as one of the better modern rugby nations, thanks largely to the talents of this Durban schoolmaster.[1]"


After the promise made by Junior Springbok manager JF Louw at the end of a 12-game tour to Argentina in 1959 – ‘I will do everything to ensure we invite you to tour our country’ – there were concerns about the strength of Argentinian rugby. South African Rugby Board president Danie Craven sent coach Izak van Heerden to help the Pumas prepare and they repaid the favour by beating the Junior Springboks at Ellis Park.

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