Northern Edition

Select Edition

Northern Northern
Southern Southern
Global Global
New Zealand New Zealand
France France

How the rankings could change after Rugby Championship openers

Rassie Erasmus, the South Africa director of rugby, holds a tackle bag during the South Africa Springboks training session held at The Lensbury on November 22, 2022 in Teddington, England. (Photo by David Rogers/Getty Images)

The Springboks face off against the Wallabies in their Rugby Championship opener this weekend and while it won’t be at the forefront of either sides’ minds, both teams could improve their official World Rugby rankings.

ADVERTISEMENT

Even with a potential victory, South Africa cannot improve their rating due to the significant 7.17 point difference between the teams before considering home weighting.

Nevertheless, the Boks have an opportunity to surpass their current fourth-place ranking if they secure a win and New Zealand’s All Blacks are defeated by Argentina. Such an outcome would result in a swap between the two sides in the rankings. Additionally, in this scenario, the Wallabies would drop to eighth place, while the Pumas would climb two spots to sixth following their first-ever test victory over the All Blacks on home soil.

Video Spacer
Video Spacer

If Los Pumas manage to achieve a victory margin exceeding 15 points, they would surpass Scotland, climbing to fifth place in the rankings. Conversely, a draw for Australia in Pretoria would propel them two places up to fifth, surpassing Scotland and England.

South Africa, even if beaten by more than 15 points at home, will not drop from their fourth-place ranking, although their advantage over the Wallabies would shrink to a mere 1.17 points.

Looking at other teams, Argentina would remain in the eighth position even in defeat, as their rating points loss would be limited to a maximum of 0.72, still leaving them 1.92 points ahead of Wales.

Ben O’Keeffe will officiate the South Africa versus Australia match, while Angus Gardner will referee the clash between Argentina and New Zealand.

ADVERTISEMENT

Meanwhile, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) achieved their highest-ever ranking position, provisionally climbing two places to 60th, following their remarkable 95-0 victory over Pakistan in the first leg. However, another victory would not result in further improvement, as it would only add 0.17 rating points.

ADVERTISEMENT

Boks Office | Episode 39 | The Investec Champions Cup is back

Argentina v France | HSBC SVNS Hong Kong 2025 | Men's Match Highlights

New Zealand v Australia | HSBC SVNS Hong Kong 2025 | Women's Match Highlights

Tokyo Sungoliath vs Shizuoka BlueRevs | Japan Rugby League One 2024/25 | Full Match Replay

Reds vs Force | Super Rugby W 2025 | Full Match Replay

The Rise of Kenya | The Report

New Zealand in Hong Kong | Brady Rush | Sevens Wonders | Episode 4

The Fixture: How This Rugby Rivalry Has Lasted 59 Years

Trending on RugbyPass

Comments

0 Comments
Be the first to comment...

Join free and tell us what you really think!

Sign up for free
ADVERTISEMENT

Latest Features

Comments on RugbyPass

J
JW 2 hours ago
Why Les Kiss and Stuart Lancaster can lead Australia to glory

It is now 22 years since Michael Lewis published his groundbreaking treatise on winning against the odds

I’ve never bothered looking at it, though I have seen a move with Clint as a scout/producer. I’ve always just figured it was basic stuff for the age of statistics, is that right?

Following the Moneyball credo, the tailor has to cut his cloth to the material available

This is actually a great example of what I’m thinking of. This concept has abosolutely nothing to do with Moneyball, it is simple being able to realise how skillsets tie together and which ones are really revelant.


It sounds to me now like “moneyball” was just a necessity, it was like scienctest needing to come up with some random experiment to make all the other world scholars believe that Earth was round. The American sporting scene is very unique, I can totally imagine one of it’s problems is rich old owners not wanting to move with the times and understand how the game has changed. Some sort of mesiah was needed to convert the faithful.


While I’m at this point in the article I have to say, now the NRL is a sport were one would stand up and pay attention to the moneyball phenom. Like baseball, it’s a sport of hundreds of identical repetitions, and very easy to data point out.

the tailor has to cut his cloth to the material available and look to get ahead of an unfair game in the areas it has always been strong: predictive intelligence and rugby ‘smarts’

Actually while I’m still here, Opta Expected Points analysis is the one new tool I have found interesting in the age of data. Seen how the random plays out as either likely, or unlikely, in the data’s (and algorithms) has actually married very closely to how I saw a lot of contests pan out.


Engaging return article Nick. I wonder, how much of money ball is about strategy as apposed to picks, those young fella’s got ahead originally because they were picking players that played their way right? Often all you here about is in regards to players, quick phase ruck ball, one out or straight up, would be were I’d imagine the best gains are going to be for a data driven leap using an AI model of how to structure your phases. Then moving to tactically for each opposition.

114 Go to comments
TRENDING
TRENDING Blues lose All Black for season ahead of Hurricanes derby Blues lose All Black for season ahead of Canes
Search