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Ireland believe they can break quarter-final curse against All Blacks

Jonathan Sexton of Ireland reacts during the Steinlager Series match between the New Zealand and Ireland at Sky Stadium in Wellington, New Zealand. (Photo By Brendan Moran/Sportsfile via Getty Images)

The upcoming Rugby World Cup quarterfinal between Ireland and the All Blacks is the stuff of fairytales. It’s a dream matchup for two teams with genuine ambitions of hoisting the Webb Ellis Cup in triumph later this month.

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Ireland are the world’s top-ranked side, and they’re more than deserving of that moniker on the back of their incredible 17 Test unbeaten streak, but they’ll need to create history to progress any further in this competition.

In the nine World Cups, Ireland have made it to the quarterfinals on seven occasions, but they’ve failed to make it through to the final four each and every time.

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But there’s something different about this Ireland team. Spurred on by the thousands of travelling fans in green, the current crop of players are full of belief ahead of a blockbuster quarterfinal.

“We have worked on our mental game for the last four years and put ourselves in different scenarios to prepare for this,” captain Johnny Sexton said.

“Each quarter-final, or where we haven’t got through our pool, have all been different, and it’s a different group again. Each of those groups lost once. It wasn’t the same group losing quarter-finals year after year.

“If it was club rugby it might be different but I don’t think we are carrying much baggage. It is a one-off game and we have got to prepare for now.”

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Standing in their way are the All Blacks – a team who know a thing or two about winning World Cups. With the likes of Aaron Smith and two-time champion Sam Whitelock in their ranks, this team has winning experience on the biggest stage.

Head-to-Head

Last 5 Meetings

Wins
2
Draws
0
Wins
3
Average Points scored
22
25
First try wins
60%
Home team wins
20%

But both of those legends, as well as some others, will don the black jersey for the final time on Saturday if New Zealand fail to deliver at Stade de France.

Ireland captain Johnny Sexton said winning the World Cup is what “you dream of” as a player, but the prospect of knocking the All Blacks out wouldn’t bring about any “personal” satisfaction.

“I haven’t thought once about personally what the game means. It’s all about the team, it’s nothing personal,” Sexton mentioned.

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“I’ve had some great battles against New Zealand over the years, with Ireland and the Lions.  What you learn is every game is as tough as the last. That’s what we’re preparing for, the toughest game we have ever faced, and we are trying to put ourselves in the frame of mind that we are going to be ready for it.”

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3 Comments
T
Turlough 523 days ago

The ‘mental side’ comment by Sexton is important. He said previously that ‘The team that deals with the pressure better will win’. I think that comment may be true and I think Sexton makes that comment out of confidence about how his team will cope

P
Poe 523 days ago

Of course they do. Any news?

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Jenny Rose 26 minutes ago
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Spew_81 1 hour ago
Stat chat: Clear favourite emerges as Sam Cane's All Blacks successor

Agree for Savea to be successful at 7 he will have to remodel his game, again. But he has shown the ability to do that with his move from 7 to 8. Savea will have to focus more on the roles of a 7 e.g. tacking and cleaning out. The benefit will be that Savea can take advantage of running opportunities, in a similar way that Michael Jones used to. How Savea is used e.g. as a primary runner, or as a support runner will come down to the attack coach. But having a 7 who is a genuine running option will provide the All Blacks with another option. That option could be unutilized as a support runner. If put into the gap Savea will be very hard to stop.

 

With Sititi at 8 (the best position to make use of his skills) the key will be who is chosen at 6, ideally someone with bulk and a hard work ethic. S Barrett could fulfil that role. I would choose Finau as he has proven ability to effect very heavy tackles. But it’s an open race at the moment.

 

Agree, taking in account multiple factors in analysis makes the analysis a lot more difficult. There are so many more potential outcomes to take into account. Getting this done in time to meet publishing deadlines would be difficult. I guess it’s up to the readers to speculate on things like that.

 

Papali’I is definitely in the conversation. He is a proven high volume tackler, at times he has shown a very useful running game. Also, at 1.93m/113kg he has the size to cover at 6 and to be used as a jumper in the lineout. With the Blues in a slump, how he performs in the next few games could be a good indicator, if he steps up he could regain a black jersey.

 

Sotutu could be used at 6 or eight. If the trio contained Sotutu I’d put him at 6 as Sititi seems to be a more slightly more elusive runner that is slightly better at setting up others. Sotutu could fit into the trio at 6. A key work on for Sotutu is to lower his tackle height.

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