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‘It worried me’: The world knows the All Blacks ‘aren’t invincible’ anymore

This might be one of the All Blacks’ darkest days in the Ian Foster era. Following four wins on the bounce, the New Zealanders were blown off the park 35-7 by the Springboks in London.

The rest of the rugby world will believe that the “vulnerable” All Blacks “aren’t invincible” going into the upcoming Rugby World Cup, according to former New Zealand halfback Justin Marshall.

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Playing in front of more than 80,000 people at Twickenham on Friday, and with millions around the world watching on from home, the All Blacks were dominated by rivals South Africa.

New Zealand were beaten in a way that nobody saw coming, and former All Black Justin Marshall later described the defeat as “worrying” ahead of rugby’s showpiece event.

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But the All Blacks, as they’ve shown during an otherwise flawless run under coach Ian Foster in 2023, are “more than capable” of hoisting the Webb Ellis Cup in late October.

“Capability-wise and the way that we can play, I don’t think it’s a big problem,” Marshall said on The Platform.

“The bigger picture is the fact that this side, all of a sudden after one Test match, regardless of how disappointing the performance was, doesn’t become a poor side.

“They are more than capable of winning this Rugby World Cup should they find their feet again. At the moment they shouldn’t be hugely doubting themselves.”

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The All Blacks’ disastrous display against the world champion Springboks saw them fall to their first defeat in five Tests this year.

Points Flow Chart

South Africa win +28
Time in lead
0
Mins in lead
64
0%
% Of Game In Lead
80%
67%
Possession Last 10 min
33%
7
Points Last 10 min
0

New Zealand dominated the Springboks, as well as Los Pumas and the Wallabies, during a sensational Rugby Championship campaign last month. The All Blacks claimed that prestigious trophy, as well as the Freedom and Bledisloe Cups.

But that now infamous Test at Twickenham was a wakeup call that the New Zealanders may have needed before the World Cup. They lost, badly, and the world was watching.

“But I think the problem for them… the rest of the world are watching this game. It was the only game on a Friday night,” Marshall added.

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“Every other international side that are looking at the All Blacks… were watching their performance, but they were watching, more importantly, what was frustrating the All Blacks in not allowing them to play. They were gathering information from it.

“They’re all of a sudden getting confidence that the All Blacks aren’t invincible, they are vulnerable.

“It worried me that there was no counter punch over 80 minutes at all, there was nothing.

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“The South Africans actually put us into our shell that much that it’s encouraging for the rest of the world to go, ‘We can shut this team down.’

“On the other side of the foot though Marty, the All Blacks will be going, ‘Why did that happen to us?’

“Hopefully they’ll be better for it.”

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32 Comments
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GrahamVF 477 days ago

I have been listening over and over to the clip in this thread with Wilson bleating that there was only 33 minutes of ball in play. Let's have a look at something. The AB gave away 17 penalties 11 in the first half. South Africa kicked for touch on each of those. From the time the whistle goes for the penalty ball ion play stops. The kicker has one minute to take the kick but usually it's about 30 seconds. He kicks the ball into touch and the forwards walk to the lineout - another 30 seconds. The hooker gets the call and prepares to throw in. - another 15 seconds. So from the time the whistle goes for the penalty to the time the ball is back in play it is at least 1 minute 15 seconds - multiply that by 17 that's 21and a half minutes. South Africa score five tries. From the time the try is awarded to the time the ball is kicked from the restart - an average of one and a half minutes - that's another seven minutes. So mistakes by the All Blacks (I'm taking the liberty of saying tries come from mistakes) cost 28 minutes of ball in play time. So Mr Wilson - the answer to getting more time for ball in play is don't give away so many penalties and don't leak so many tries.

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Northandsouth 478 days ago

No one thought NZ were unbeatable after four loses to three different teams last year (plus the partial choke draw to a fourth). If anything this loss means NZ aren't prematurely overhyped, and teams are just as focused on the rest of the big three. The ABs SHOULD be worried about maybe not being good enough. Otherwise you're not doing it right and you don't stand up in the dark places.

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Chris 478 days ago

I think we did NZ a massive favour to expose them before the French game. They can fix their forward problems before the France game. Not sure they have the firepower up front though. The French game will be telling.

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Graham 478 days ago

Get rid of Foster as of now ~!!!! We wont be in the final four of the forth coming Rugger World Cup..The guy is simply not up to the new International requirements needed for a highly capable , fully competitive and super charged coach who 'has it all' !

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Olly 478 days ago

I say everyone needs to cool their boots. Now I think this ABs team is not the strongest I have ever seen but that is comparing next to a very high bar. But, these games leading up to the RWC are impacted by the intensity of the training currently going on..some teams are clearly playing highly fatigued. So be careful making judgement on these results as I expect certain teams to ay faster and longer when they adjust the training work load.

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Shaylen 479 days ago

All Blacks will turn up for the world cup, no doubt about it. We all knew this team wasnt the best All Blacks iteration. This has become obvious over the last 4 years. They have enough to win the title though but teams already know what they have to do to beat them.

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Jmann 479 days ago

The significance of that game has been massively overstated.

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Michael 479 days ago

Since 2019 we haven't had a great team. I'd say the 2020-2023 AB's are a 7.5/10 team at best. When certain players don't fire they simply don't know how to play.
With the exception of Ardie Savea, Sam Whitelock, Aaron Smith and possibly Richie Mo'unga (on a good day) I wouldn't include any other current members in the conversation of a World XV.

Sometimes a little bit of introspection is required - can the All Blacks still win the 2023 RWC? Yes.

Will it require something very special to happen? Also yes.

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Eddy 479 days ago

Marshy is direct, not always right but he's spot on here. It's all about strategy and turning up on game day. We were sucker punched on the weekend by a VERY hungry and smart Bok team. Yes we can win the Webb Ellis team. On the day the top 5 have a show. The rest are resting on luck and a less whistle happy ref WE had on weekend 😉😀

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Nickers 479 days ago

The All Blacks myth of invincibility died in 2017. It's only Justin Marshall who thought other teams still "fear" the All Blacks and don't think they can beat them.

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GrahamVF 18 minutes ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

"has SA actually EVER helped to develop another union to maturity like NZ has with Japan," yes - Argentina. You obviously don't know the history of Argentinian rugby. SA were touring there on long development tours in the 1950's

We continued the Junior Bok tours to the Argentine through to the early 70's

My coach at Grey High was Giepie Wentzel who toured Argentine as a fly half. He told me about how every Argentinian rugby club has pictures of Van Heerden and Danie Craven on prominent display. Yes we have developed a nation far more than NZ has done for Japan. And BTW Sa players were playing and coaching in Japan long before the Kiwis arrived. Fourie du Preez and many others were playing there 15 years ago.


"Isaac Van Heerden's reputation as an innovative coach had spread to Argentina, and he was invited to Buenos Aires to help the Pumas prepare for their first visit to South Africa in 1965.[1][2] Despite Argentina faring badly in this tour,[2] it was the start of a long and happy relationship between Van Heerden and the Pumas. Izak van Heerden took leave from his teaching post in Durban, relocated to Argentina, learnt fluent Spanish, and would revolutionise Argentine play in the late 1960s, laying the way open for great players such as Hugo Porta.[1][2] Van Heerden virtually invented the "tight loose" form of play, an area in which the Argentines would come to excel, and which would become a hallmark of their playing style. The Pumas repaid the initial debt, by beating the Junior Springboks at Ellis Park, and emerged as one of the better modern rugby nations, thanks largely to the talents of this Durban schoolmaster.[1]"


After the promise made by Junior Springbok manager JF Louw at the end of a 12-game tour to Argentina in 1959 – ‘I will do everything to ensure we invite you to tour our country’ – there were concerns about the strength of Argentinian rugby. South African Rugby Board president Danie Craven sent coach Izak van Heerden to help the Pumas prepare and they repaid the favour by beating the Junior Springboks at Ellis Park.

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JW 6 hours ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

I rated Lowe well enough to be an AB. Remember we were picking the likes of George Bridge above such players so theres no disputing a lot of bad decisions have been made by those last two coaches. Does a team like the ABs need a finicky winger who you have to adapt and change a lot of your style with to get benefit from? No, not really. But he still would have been a basic improvement on players like even Savea at the tail of his career, Bridge, and could even have converted into the answer of replacing Beauden at the back. Instead we persisted with NMS, Naholo, Havili, Reece, all players we would have cared even less about losing and all because Rieko had Lowe's number 11 jersey nailed down.


He was of course only 23 when he decided to leave, it was back in the beggining of the period they had started retaining players (from 2018 onwards I think, they came out saying theyre going to be more aggressive at some point). So he might, all of them, only just missed out.


The main point that Ed made is that situations like Lowe's, Aki's, JGP's, aren't going to happen in future. That's a bit of a "NZ" only problem, because those players need to reach such a high standard to be chosen by the All Blacks, were as a country like Ireland wants them a lot earlier like that. This is basically the 'ready in 3 years' concept Ireland relied on, versus the '5 years and they've left' concept' were that player is now ready to be chosen by the All Blacks (given a contract to play Super, ala SBW, and hopefully Manu).


The 'mercenary' thing that will take longer to expire, and which I was referring to, is the grandparents rule. The new kids coming through now aren't going to have as many gp born overseas, so the amount of players that can leave with a prospect of International rugby offer are going to drop dramatically at some point. All these kiwi fellas playing for a PI, is going to stop sadly.


The new era problem that will replace those old concerns is now French and Japanese clubs (doing the same as NRL teams have done for decades by) picking kids out of school. The problem here is not so much a national identity one, than it is a farm system where 9 in 10 players are left with nothing. A stunted education and no support in a foreign country (well they'll get kicked out of those countries were they don't in Australia).


It's the same sort of situation were NZ would be the big guy, but there weren't many downsides with it. The only one I can think was brought up but a poster on this site, I can't recall who it was, but he seemed to know a lot of kids coming from the Islands weren't really given the capability to fly back home during school xms holidays etc. That is probably something that should be fixed by the union. Otherwise getting someone like Fakatava over here for his last year of school definitely results in NZ being able to pick the cherries off the top but it also allows that player to develop and be able to represent Tonga and under age and possibly even later in his career. Where as a kid being taken from NZ is arguably going to be worse off in every respect other than perhaps money. Not going to develop as a person, not going to develop as a player as much, so I have a lotof sympathy for NZs case that I don't include them in that group but I certainly see where you're coming from and it encourages other countries to think they can do the same while not realising they're making a much worse experience/situation.

147 Go to comments
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