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'A tight contest... it's a one-score game'

(Photo by PA)

Scotland got their Autumn Nations Series campaign off to the perfect start on Saturday with a ten-try victory over Tonga, but greater challenges lie ahead with world number threes Australia visiting Edinburgh this weekend.

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The Wallabies are on a five match winning streak, which includes two victories over the world champions South Africa, and arrive in the United Kingdom in high spirits despite some of their star players pulling out of the tour.

When, where and how to watch the match
The match will kick-off at 14:15 (GMT) on Sunday November 7th at BT Murrayfield and will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime.

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Michael Cheika on his Love of Rugby

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Head-to-head
Since Gregor Townsend took charge of Scotland in 2017, he has faced Australia twice, winning both times, including a win in Sydney. Overall, the Wallabies have won 21 of their encounters though, while Scotland have won 11.

Match odds from bet365
bet365 have the Wallabies as the 8/13 favourites to win this match, and have the handicap on Scotland at +3. There are also 5/1 odds that Scotland win the match with a margin between 1-5 points and 15/4 odds that the Wallabies win by the same margin.

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Prediction
Speaking on the BBC Radio Scotland Rugby Podcast after the win over Tonga, former Scotland scrum-half Rory Lawson emphasised how close the clash with Australia will be, expecting it to be a one-score game.

“We would probably be getting ahead of ourselves if we thought the game next Sunday is going to be anything but a tight contest, whereby it’s a one-score game,” the 31-cap Scot said.

Journalist Tom English also stressed on the podcast that there are plenty of lessons for Scotland to learn from their victory over a depleted Tonga side. He said: “There’s enough problems in there for Scotland defensively for them to walk away from this not with their head in the clouds. They’ll know they’ve got plenty to do ahead of Australia, which will be a proper game.”

*Odds accurate as of 1/11/21.

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J
JW 2 hours ago
'Passionate reunion of France and New Zealand shows Fabien Galthie is wrong to rest his stars'

Ok, managed to read the full article..

... New Zealand’s has only 14 and the professional season is all over within four months. In France, club governance is the responsibility of an independent organisation [the Ligue Nationale de Rugby or LNR] which is entirely separate from the host union [the Fédération Française de Rugby or FFR]. Down south New Zealand Rugby runs the provincial and the national game.

That is the National Provincial Championship, a competition of 14 representative union based teams run through the SH international window and only semi professional (paid only during it's running). It is run by NZR and goes for two and a half months.


Super Rugby is a competition involving 12 fully professional teams, of which 5 are of New Zealand eligibility, and another joint administered team of Pacific Island eligibility, with NZR involvement. It was a 18 week competition this year, so involved (randomly chosen I believe) extra return fixtures (2 or 3 home and away derbys), and is run by Super Rugby Pacific's own independent Board (or organisation). The teams may or may not be independently run and owned (note, this does not necessarily mean what you think of as 'privately owned').


LNR was setup by FFR and the French Government to administer the professional game in France. In New Zealand, the Players Association and Super Rugby franchises agreed last month to not setup their own governance structure for professional rugby and re-aligned themselves with New Zealand Rugby. They had been proposing to do something like the English model, I'm not sure how closely that would have been aligned to the French system but it did not sound like it would have French union executive representation on it like the LNR does.

In the shaky isles the professional pyramid tapers to a point with the almighty All Blacks. In France the feeling for country is no more important than the sense of fierce local identity spawned at myriad clubs concentrated in the southwest. Progress is achieved by a nonchalant shrug and the wide sweep of nuanced negotiation, rather than driven from the top by a single intense focus.

Yes, it is pretty much a 'representative' selection system at every level, but these union's are having to fight for their existence against the regime that is NZR, and are currently going through their own battle, just as France has recently as I understand it. A single focus, ala the French game, might not be the best outcome for rugby as a whole.


For pure theatre, it is a wonderful article so far. I prefer 'Ntamack New Zealand 2022' though.

The young Crusader still struggles to solve the puzzle posed by the shorter, more compact tight-heads at this level but he had no problem at all with Colombe.

It was interesting to listen to Manny during an interview on Maul or Nothing, he citied that after a bit of banter with the All Black's he no longer wanted one of their jersey's after the game. One of those talks was an eye to eye chat with Tamaiti Williams, there appear to be nothing between the lock and prop, just a lot of give and take. I thought TW angled in and caused Taylor to pop a few times, and that NZ were lucky to be rewarded.

f you have a forward of 6ft 8ins and 145kg, and he is not at all disturbed by a dysfunctional set-piece, you are in business.

He talked about the clarity of the leadership that helped alleviate any need for anxiety at the predicaments unfolding before him. The same cannot be said for New Zealand when they had 5 minutes left to retrieve a match winning penalty, I don't believe. Did the team in black have much of a plan at any point in the game? I don't really call an autonomous 10 vehicle they had as innovative. I think Razor needs to go back to the dealer and get a new game driver on that one.

Vaa’i is no match for his power on the ground. Even in reverse, Meafou is like a tractor motoring backwards in low gear, trampling all in its path.

Vaa'i actually stops him in his tracks. He gets what could have been a dubious 'tackle' on him?

A high-level offence will often try to identify and exploit big forwards who can be slower to reload, and therefore vulnerable to two quick plays run at them consecutively.

Yes he was just standing on his haunches wasn't he? He mentioned that in the interview, saying that not only did you just get up and back into the line to find the opposition was already set and running at you they also hit harder than anything he'd experienced in the Top 14. He was referring to New Zealands ultra-physical, burst-based Super style of course, which he was more than a bit surprised about. I don't blame him for being caught out.


He still sent the obstruction back to the repair yard though!

What wouldn’t the New Zealand rugby public give to see the likes of Mauvaka and Meafou up front..

Common now Nick, don't go there! Meafou showed his Toulouse shirt and promptly got his citizenship, New Zealand can't have him, surely?!?


As I have said before with these subjects, really enjoy your enthusiasm for their contribution on the field and I'd love to see more of their shapes running out for Vern Cotter and the like styled teams.

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