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'It's definitely the most inexperienced squad Wales have had for a long time'

Johnny Sexton/ PA

Ireland and Wales kick off the 2022 Guinness Six Nations this Saturday, as the reigning champions travel to Dublin to take on an Ireland side that are brimming in confidence following a hugely impressive autumn campaign.

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It will be a clash of two fly-half captains, as Ireland’s skipper Jonathan Sexton locks horns with fellow British & Irish Lion Dan Biggar, who will be leading his country for the first time. This is a clash that is greatly anticipated by everyone except referee Jaco Peyper, who will get an earful for 80 minutes.

When, where and how to watch the match
The match will kick-off at 14:15 (UK) on Saturday February 5th at the Aviva Stadium and will be broadcast live on ITV and S4C in the UK, RTÉ in Ireland, Stan Sport in Australia and SuperSport in South Africa.

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Head-to-head
Wales currently lead the head-to-head battle with Ireland since their first contest in 1882, registering 70 wins to Ireland’s 55, with seven draws. But Ireland just shade their opponents over their last ten encounters, winning five with one draw. It is ten years as well since Wales last won a Six Nations match at the Aviva Stadium.

Match odds from bet365
bet365 have the handicap on Ireland at +14, with 1/3 odds that they win both halves. There are also 6/1 odds that Wales come out victorious.

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Prediction

Former Wales captain Sam Warburton downplayed Wales’ chances both against Ireland and in the Championship as a whole on BT Sport’s Rugby Tonight this week, citing the injuries in the Wales camp as an area of concern. Then again, he does not rule out the possibility of another surprise triumph like last year.

“I do think it’s probably, and I mean this with the least disrespect to any of the players picked, it’s probably one of the weaker Six Nations squads I’ve seen for a long time because of the lack of leaders,” the two-time Six Nations winner said.

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“But I’ve seen it coming. I thought after the World Cup there would be a big changing of the guard and there hasn’t been a whole lot. Then I thought after the [British & Irish] Lions tour there would be an even bigger changing of the guard and it’s only really been forced through injury because a lot of the guys who are older, you hit 30 years of age if you can play 20 games a year, that’s great. But a lot of these boys are getting injured for big chunks of the season.

“But in a way I think it forces Wales’ hand so they have to pick some younger guys. They’ve had to put faith in [Louis] Rees-Zammit because the likes of George North are not available. They’ve got to give these boys a go. So I think it’s a little bit of a blessing in disguise. Of course you want all your big hitters out for the Six Nations but with a World Cup looming 18 months away.

“But also the priority is the here and now and Wales have got the best squad they possibly can, but there’s going to come a time where there’s going to be a big generation of players from the Welsh squad who are going to move on, and that’s going to happen in the next 24 months maximum. So guys have to get trialled out now, and that’s what we don’t really know. It’s definitely the most inexperienced squad Wales have had for a long time but only time will tell. But as we stand right now, Wales aren’t a title favourite in most people’s eyes. But one red card, as we saw last year, and everything can change. So it will be really interesting to see what happens there.”

*Odds accurate as of 02/02/22.

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J
JW 2 hours ago
'Passionate reunion of France and New Zealand shows Fabien Galthie is wrong to rest his stars'

Ok, managed to read the full article..

... New Zealand’s has only 14 and the professional season is all over within four months. In France, club governance is the responsibility of an independent organisation [the Ligue Nationale de Rugby or LNR] which is entirely separate from the host union [the Fédération Française de Rugby or FFR]. Down south New Zealand Rugby runs the provincial and the national game.

That is the National Provincial Championship, a competition of 14 representative union based teams run through the SH international window and only semi professional (paid only during it's running). It is run by NZR and goes for two and a half months.


Super Rugby is a competition involving 12 fully professional teams, of which 5 are of New Zealand eligibility, and another joint administered team of Pacific Island eligibility, with NZR involvement. It was a 18 week competition this year, so involved (randomly chosen I believe) extra return fixtures (2 or 3 home and away derbys), and is run by Super Rugby Pacific's own independent Board (or organisation). The teams may or may not be independently run and owned (note, this does not necessarily mean what you think of as 'privately owned').


LNR was setup by FFR and the French Government to administer the professional game in France. In New Zealand, the Players Association and Super Rugby franchises agreed last month to not setup their own governance structure for professional rugby and re-aligned themselves with New Zealand Rugby. They had been proposing to do something like the English model, I'm not sure how closely that would have been aligned to the French system but it did not sound like it would have French union executive representation on it like the LNR does.

In the shaky isles the professional pyramid tapers to a point with the almighty All Blacks. In France the feeling for country is no more important than the sense of fierce local identity spawned at myriad clubs concentrated in the southwest. Progress is achieved by a nonchalant shrug and the wide sweep of nuanced negotiation, rather than driven from the top by a single intense focus.

Yes, it is pretty much a 'representative' selection system at every level, but these union's are having to fight for their existence against the regime that is NZR, and are currently going through their own battle, just as France has recently as I understand it. A single focus, ala the French game, might not be the best outcome for rugby as a whole.


For pure theatre, it is a wonderful article so far. I prefer 'Ntamack New Zealand 2022' though.

The young Crusader still struggles to solve the puzzle posed by the shorter, more compact tight-heads at this level but he had no problem at all with Colombe.

It was interesting to listen to Manny during an interview on Maul or Nothing, he citied that after a bit of banter with the All Black's he no longer wanted one of their jersey's after the game. One of those talks was an eye to eye chat with Tamaiti Williams, there appear to be nothing between the lock and prop, just a lot of give and take. I thought TW angled in and caused Taylor to pop a few times, and that NZ were lucky to be rewarded.

f you have a forward of 6ft 8ins and 145kg, and he is not at all disturbed by a dysfunctional set-piece, you are in business.

He talked about the clarity of the leadership that helped alleviate any need for anxiety at the predicaments unfolding before him. The same cannot be said for New Zealand when they had 5 minutes left to retrieve a match winning penalty, I don't believe. Did the team in black have much of a plan at any point in the game? I don't really call an autonomous 10 vehicle they had as innovative. I think Razor needs to go back to the dealer and get a new game driver on that one.

Vaa’i is no match for his power on the ground. Even in reverse, Meafou is like a tractor motoring backwards in low gear, trampling all in its path.

Vaa'i actually stops him in his tracks. He gets what could have been a dubious 'tackle' on him?

A high-level offence will often try to identify and exploit big forwards who can be slower to reload, and therefore vulnerable to two quick plays run at them consecutively.

Yes he was just standing on his haunches wasn't he? He mentioned that in the interview, saying that not only did you just get up and back into the line to find the opposition was already set and running at you they also hit harder than anything he'd experienced in the Top 14. He was referring to New Zealands ultra-physical, burst-based Super style of course, which he was more than a bit surprised about. I don't blame him for being caught out.


He still sent the obstruction back to the repair yard though!

What wouldn’t the New Zealand rugby public give to see the likes of Mauvaka and Meafou up front..

Common now Nick, don't go there! Meafou showed his Toulouse shirt and promptly got his citizenship, New Zealand can't have him, surely?!?


As I have said before with these subjects, really enjoy your enthusiasm for their contribution on the field and I'd love to see more of their shapes running out for Vern Cotter and the like styled teams.

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