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What Joey Carbery can learn from Ian Madigan's decision to leave Leinster

Ian Madigan of Bristol Rugby

Joey Carbery to Ulster – the Irish rugby media can’t get enough of it.

Last weekend news broke – care of Peter O’Reilly in the Sunday Times – that the IRFU want one of either Carbery or Ross Byrne to move to Ulster to fill the vacant flyhalf spot left by the departing Paddy Jackson. This week former players, pundits and journalists in the Republic have been falling over themselves to recommend otherwise, variously describing Ulster as a ‘basketcase’, ‘rubbish’ and even a bunch of ‘Keystone cops’.

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The speed and venom at which the boot has been stuck into Ulster has verged on the tasteless; it’s been less ‘shoulder to shoulder’ and more ‘boot to bollocks’. Remarkably now, in their desperation for Carbery not to go to Ulster, some are even suggesting Munster as an alternative despite the fact that they have three flyhalves on their books in Keatley, Bleyendaal and Hanrahan.

Dragons head coach Bernard Jackman has been one of the few voices of reason on the matter, pointing out that Ulster – while enduring a rough patch – have a setup that many professional rugby clubs could only dream of.

“There’s been a massive backlash and criticism of where Ulster are at,” Jackman told RTE this week. “But they’re a team who are consistently in the Champions Cup. I don’t think they’ve ever been in the Challenge Cup, and they’re on track to be in the Champions Cup again next year.”

“They’ve got a state-of-the-art training facility, they’ve got a state-of-the-art stadium. They’ve got a passionate fanbase. They’ve got history,” said Jackman, who pointed to the season former Leinster scrumhalf John Cooney is enjoying at the club. “If you were a betting man, you’d say Ulster are going to be in a lot better position in 24 months time or 12 months time than they are now.

And indeed Ulster are actually playing some very decent rugby in fits and starts. According to Opta, Ulster have made 206 clean breaks in the Pro14 this season, more than any other side, with the aforementioned John Cooney making the most of any player with 24.

The focus, understandably, has been on Carbery and not the highly competent Ross Byrne.

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Carbery is the next great hope at flyhalf for Ireland. As legend goes, when former All Blacks coach Graham Henry spent two weeks with Leinster in an advisory capacity, he pointed to the waif-like Carbery and said something to the effect that “that’s your flyhalf for the next 10 years”.

Leinster will be mindful that keeping Ross Byrne and letting Carbery go means that when Sexton is away on international duty they have a safe pair of hands to fall back on. Currently, they lose both Sexton and Carbery during international windows.

There’s something everyone can agree on. Carbery is far too good to be wasted on the bench.

If Carbery was looking for advice he could do worse then calling former Leinster flyhalf cum utility back Ian Madigan. The context in which Madigan made the decision to leave Leinster is eerily similar to the one Carbery finds himself in now. Before leaving Madigan was also playing second fiddle to Sexton and occupied the same 23rd man role in Joe Schmidt’s Ireland setup. Many also deemed the product of Blackrock College too good to sit on the bench.

“When the time came and I decided to move on, it was tough and it was a decision I took a lot of time on and made sure to talk to people that I really trusted and who have given me good advice along the way,” Madigan told RugbyPass in 2017. “At the time I felt the best thing was to challenge myself at a new club.”

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If anything Madigan was probably poising a more genuine threat to Sexton’s position before he left than the 22-year-old Carbery is now. Since then Sexton has solidified his position as Europe’s premier flyhalf and Carbery is very much his apprentice.

Contine reading below…

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Madigan’s chosen path, while lucrative, had its pitfalls too. His year in Bordeaux didn’t pan out and his confidence took a knock as a result. What followed was a reported £500,000 a year deal, three season deal with Bristol.

“When I was weighing up going to Bristol, I knew the club was very ambitious. Not just to get promoted this season but to climb right up the Premiership and to in two years time be a Champions Cup competing side.”

RugbyPass understands that Madigan – with two seasons to run on his contract – has only Bristol Rugby and his inaugural season in the Aviva Premiership in his sights, and in any event, the IRFU simply couldn’t compete with his current wage packet.

A move to Ulster for Carbery represents an opportunity that was not available to Madigan when he left in 2016.

Carbery can play 10 week-in, week-out, presumably enjoy an increased salary and still be available for Irish selection, and all at a club that has first-rate facilities, infrastructure and players around it.

Joey Carbery

The Auckland born Carbery’s loyalty to Leinster is laudable, but at twenty-two, he remains a young man. As a counterpoint, Sexton is about to turn 33 and the 2019 Rugby World Cup in Japan will surely be his last. What’s to say Carbery couldn’t return to Leinster a better player in two to three years time?
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People talk of the danger of moving to a troubled club, but surely there is an inherent danger in languishing on the bench as a utility back, even at a great club like Leinster.

It’s time for Carbery to step into the unknown and detach from the comforting but stifling bosom of Leinster.

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J
JW 12 minutes ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

I rated Lowe well enough to be an AB. Remember we were picking the likes of George Bridge above such players so theres no disputing a lot of bad decisions have been made by those last two coaches. Does a team like the ABs need a finicky winger who you have to adapt and change a lot of your style with to get benefit from? No, not really. But he still would have been a basic improvement on players like even Savea at the tail of his career, Bridge, and could even have converted into the answer of replacing Beauden at the back. Instead we persisted with NMS, Naholo, Havili, Reece, all players we would have cared even less about losing and all because Rieko had Lowe's number 11 jersey nailed down.


He was of course only 23 when he decided to leave, it was back in the beggining of the period they had started retaining players (from 2018 onwards I think, they came out saying theyre going to be more aggressive at some point). So he might, all of them, only just missed out.


The main point that Ed made is that situations like Lowe's, Aki's, JGP's, aren't going to happen in future. That's a bit of a "NZ" only problem, because those players need to reach such a high standard to be chosen by the All Blacks, were as a country like Ireland wants them a lot earlier like that. This is basically the 'ready in 3 years' concept Ireland relied on, versus the '5 years and they've left' concept' were that player is now ready to be chosen by the All Blacks (given a contract to play Super, ala SBW, and hopefully Manu).


The 'mercenary' thing that will take longer to expire, and which I was referring to, is the grandparents rule. The new kids coming through now aren't going to have as many gp born overseas, so the amount of players that can leave with a prospect of International rugby offer are going to drop dramatically at some point. All these kiwi fellas playing for a PI, is going to stop sadly.


The new era problem that will replace those old concerns is now French and Japanese clubs (doing the same as NRL teams have done for decades by) picking kids out of school. The problem here is not so much a national identity one, than it is a farm system where 9 in 10 players are left with nothing. A stunted education and no support in a foreign country (well they'll get kicked out of those countries were they don't in Australia).


It's the same sort of situation were NZ would be the big guy, but there weren't many downsides with it. The only one I can think was brought up but a poster on this site, I can't recall who it was, but he seemed to know a lot of kids coming from the Islands weren't really given the capability to fly back home during school xms holidays etc. That is probably something that should be fixed by the union. Otherwise getting someone like Fakatava over here for his last year of school definitely results in NZ being able to pick the cherries off the top but it also allows that player to develop and be able to represent Tonga and under age and possibly even later in his career. Where as a kid being taken from NZ is arguably going to be worse off in every respect other than perhaps money. Not going to develop as a person, not going to develop as a player as much, so I have a lotof sympathy for NZs case that I don't include them in that group but I certainly see where you're coming from and it encourages other countries to think they can do the same while not realising they're making a much worse experience/situation.

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