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'If they can't win it at home with this team, they will never win the World Cup'

Antoine Dupont, left, and Romain Ntamack of France during the Guinness Six Nations Rugby Championship match between Ireland and France at the Aviva Stadium in Dublin. (Photo By Seb Daly/Sportsfile via Getty Images)

France are on track to own the “favourites” tag once the Rugby World Cup kicks off in September, an expectation that can either make or break a team.

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The hosts have been growing steadily since the last quadrennial tournament, boasting a physical forward pack and some of the world’s finest backs.

The French were however bested by Ireland in the most recent instalment of the Six Nations tournament and Andy Farrell’s men pose perhaps the greatest threat to France’s World Cup ambitions, being the only side to claim victory over France since 2021.

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Pundits have been largely torn between the two nations when naming the current best side in the world. But, there are no illusions, anything can happen in a World Cup.

Therefore, predicting a World Cup favourite is as difficult as ever and as Dan Carter recently said, “Very rarely do the favourites win the World Cup.”

One Kiwi pundit isn’t convinced about one of the two top options.

“I certainly agree as far as France is concerned,” Commentator Tony Johnson told Rugby Nation. “And you look at how their U20s are going, they are an absolute powerhouse now.

“It shows you how well their setup is working. Their three-tier competition, it’s a very powerful force that they are now. They’re an outstanding team.

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“If they can’t win it at home with this team, they will never win the World Cup. That’s my way of thinking, but you can never underestimate the ability of the French to create drama when you didn’t think there was any, they’re very good at that.

“Ireland, I’m not so sure about Ireland. I mean they’ve beaten the All Blacks two or three times now but they’ve never gone past the quarter-finals, I think that’s a big mental block for them.

“Also, I think they’re very heavily dependent on Johnny Sexton, so what kind of shape and frame of mind he is in on the day is going to be huge. So perhaps not so much Ireland for me but definitely France.”

Related

One of the biggest conversations ahead of the World Cup is about the pools, which have both of the aforementioned potential favourites on the same side of the draw as well as the most recent winners South Africa and New Zealand.

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That opens the door for a team outside those four, on the other side of the draw, to make a deep run at the Webb Ellis trophy.

“My smokey at the moment is the Wallabies,” Johnson added. “Just watch out for them, they’ve got the easy side of the draw and they’re assembling a very powerful team under a guy who’s always proven to be better in the short term rather than the long term in Eddie Jones.”

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Comments

13 Comments
R
Ruby 746 days ago

One of the youngest (if not THE youngest) tier 1 teams, they have a good chance this World Cup and the next at least.

M
Michael Röbbins (academic and writer extraordinair 747 days ago

Trash commentary by NZ “pundits” as usual, stuck in 2011 and have evidently not been watching rugby since 2015, one presumes. Probably can’t pronounce half the French squad either. Not the same French drama as of old, that’s about as dated a caricature as there is. Look to you’re own NZ drama, jack. And Dan Carter is the goat 10, but c’mon, the past three world cups the favorites won twice, which he should know well.

J
JWH 746 days ago

Clearly trying to get a job offer from rugbypass the way you write 😂

N
Nickers 747 days ago

France played exceptionally well against Ireland in the 6 Nations. They threw everything at them, had lots of possession and territory, but could not break down their defence.


Same with Scotland - they played so well but only managed one try against Ireland. I'm sure they would have shredded the ABs backline defence with some of their set plays. It's Ireland's greatest strength that is so underestimated by ABs fans.


Ireland's attack is unimaginative, but extremely well drilled and high precision. Even when Sexton and other key players aren't on the field the system keeps operating.

J
JB 746 days ago

NZ pundits won't respect Ireland until they win it, or at least get past the quarter finals. And that is fair enough. World cups are different and are won the best team at the tournament, not necessarily the best team in the world (John Eales said that).

B
BR2B 747 days ago

The title statement is stupid. Sport isn’t up to odds, and that’s why we all enjoy watching

J
Jmann 747 days ago

Home chokes have only ever been really achieved by Oz and England <twice> ( you can't really count Wales and Japan as they weren't serious contenders). A choke would be hilarious, but they do seem to be in the drivers seat. 20 years of chequebook rugby to pay off at RWC2023!

B
BR2B 747 days ago

Why would it be hilarious ?

R
Roydon 747 days ago

Drivers seat how? The were lucky against Sa who played with 14 men for 41 minutes before France got their red card and that debate able double try that was awarded saved them. Which I think has blown too much smoke up their chimneys.

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S
Soliloquin 1 hour ago
Competing interests and rotated squads: What the 'player welfare summer' is really telling us

I don’t know the financial story behind the changes that were implemented, but I guess clubs started to lose money, Mourad Boudjellal won it all with Toulon, got tired and wanted to invest in football , the French national team was at its lowest with the QF humiliation in 2015 and the FFR needed to transform the model where no French talent could thrive. Interestingly enough, the JIFF rule came in during the 2009/2010 season, so before the Toulon dynasty, but it was only 40% of the players that to be from trained in French academies. But the crops came a few years later, when they passed it at the current level of 70%.

Again, I’m not a huge fan of under 18 players being scouted and signed. I’d rather have French clubs create sub-academies in French territories like Wallis and Futuna, New Caledonia and other places that are culturally closer to RU and geographically closer to rugby lands. Mauvaka, Moefana, Taofifenua bros, Tolofua bros, Falatea - they all came to mainland after starting their rugby adventure back home.

They’re French, they come from economically struggling areas, and rugby can help locally, instead of lumping foreign talents.

And even though many national teams benefit from their players training and playing in France, there are cases where they could avoid trying to get them in the French national team (Tatafu).

In other cases, I feel less shame when the country doesn’t believe in the player like in Meafou’s case.

And there are players that never consider switching to the French national team like Niniashvili, Merckler or even Capuozzo, who is French and doesn’t really speak Italian.

We’ll see with Jacques Willis 🥲


But hey, it’s nothing new to Australia and NZ with PI!

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