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Letting the Rebels die would see the Force finally flourish

(Photo by Jason McCawley/Getty Images for the Melbourne Rebels and Paul Kane/Getty Images)

There was once a time in Super Rugby where the expansion franchise Western Force were a promising outfit for Australian rugby.

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Aided by salary cap exemptions which saw the club land high-profile talent in Nathan Sharpe, Drew Mitchell and Matt Giteau in the early years, they bagged next generation stars too in David Pocock and James O’Connor.

Their maiden season in 2006 was tough, wins were hard to come by but they routinely pulled in crowds of over 20,000 at Subiaco Oval. Those numbers with today’s attendance standards would be loved by any club.

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From 2007 to 2009 the Force were a decent outfit finishing mid-table with an overall record of 19-2-18 without making the playoffs.

However, back in those days the regular season actually mattered unlike today’s mickey mouse comp, with four highly contested playoff spots ensuring only the elite teams made it out of 14. The Western Force proved to be a good side with promise, even a winning side.

Once the Melbourne Rebels joined the competition in 2011, the Force suffered.

The flow of talent from east to west dried up as potential signings took the easier option of staying on the east coast and the anonymity of Melbourne. The Force began to slide down the ladder and losing seasons became standard procedure.

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The Rebels never had the local support of the Force and have been a money pit ever since. And they’ve been a bunch of losers to boot. They have never put together anything remotely notable. When push came to shove in 2017, Rugby Australia wanted to save them.

On the flip side, Rugby Australia has nearly done everything to try and kill the Force yet they survived. As far as stress tests go, this is as good as pass mark there is. They keep coming back despite every effort to leave them in the dust.

After the success of the Perth sevens last weekend which saw a sold out crowd on the final day there are suggestions that the event should ‘rotate around the Australian cities’.

We’ve seen what the Super round has been like in Melbourne for two years and it’s been a poorly attended failure. Any other team deserves to host Super round but Melbourne.

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What Perth has shown last weekend is that rugby in multiple formats is viable there, the sevens has been an initial success, and they deserve to keep it and see where it grows.

And while Sydney and Brisbane may offer traditional rugby audiences, Melbourne of all places, needs to stay away from it. Rugby administrators need to say thanks, but no thanks to Victorian government play money.

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Melbourne is a great city, but it’s crowded by other sports and after more than a decade rugby has just not got a decent footing. It’s the epicentre of the AFL universe and has a highly successful rugby league side who actually win titles.

Smart money would say it’s time to cut losses and double down on something likely to flourish. A one-off Test in Melbourne for the Wallabies is all that’s viable currently.

Western Australia by contrast does not have a professional rugby league team to compete with, only two AFL teams which is far less than Melbourne, and has a decent rugby footprint at grass roots, at least much more than Victoria.

The timezone is touted as a detractor but it is the perfect location for Sunday afternoon rugby, potentially giving the Australian east coast and New Zealand a consistent Sunday night game. Super Rugby is largely absent on Sundays giving the NRL and AFL free rein.

If the Western Force had the Melbourne Rebels’ roster this year you’d expect some hype and possibly a near-full HBF Park if they started well. Instead the side will go largely unnoticed in the Victorian capital regardless of what they achieve.

There have been notable success stories from the Rebels from local Victorian players who have made the Wallabies coming through the homegrown pathway. Whilst touching to see, the cost of those few wins has been enormous. If there weren’t any at this point, you’d be stunned.

It’s time to accept that Super Rugby and Melbourne hasn’t worked out, clearly. It’s a battle not worth the money when there are far better, and much-needed, other strategic moves to make to strengthen rugby in Australia.

Letting the Rebels die would see the Force finally flourish. The Force would still need to recruit heavily from the three other rugby states, but culling Melbourne would help. With four teams the talent will consolidate and the Wallabies may well benefit from that concentrated player base.

Australian rugby figures often run circles around their New Zealand counterparts when it comes to business, but this one has proven to be a lame duck venture time and time again.

The opportunity remains to grab market share out west and build on the rugby base there before rugby league, despite the damage done by rugby in the past.

That is surely a wiser venture than the sunk-cost fallacy that is the Rebels.

 

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Comments

7 Comments
D
David 324 days ago

In the best interest, of the ARU ,who are struggling them selves with sponsorship Melbourne should be let go, and only have 4 supersides, How can you compete with the AFL and NRL, where in WA the force have a very strong supporter base

T
Tom 324 days ago

The Force never flourished before the Rebels existed.

C
Cameron 325 days ago

Could not agree more. The Force are also partially privately-funded, so there’s less liability for RA. If RA wants a presence in Melbourne, they should revive the ARC/NRC.

P
Phillip 325 days ago

What business do you have writing such a sensible article about Australian rugby 😄. If RA were to take heed of any of the wisdom here, then maybe it’s got half a shot of making something of itself once again. I would stress though that the Melbourne market is worth maintaining a presence in some way, shape or form. But an SR franchise is probably not what it needs…… Yet.

S
Steve 325 days ago

Good article, this should be the way things go for the Force

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JW 1 hour ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

I rated Lowe well enough to be an AB. Remember we were picking the likes of George Bridge above such players so theres no disputing a lot of bad decisions have been made by those last two coaches. Does a team like the ABs need a finicky winger who you have to adapt and change a lot of your style with to get benefit from? No, not really. But he still would have been a basic improvement on players like even Savea at the tail of his career, Bridge, and could even have converted into the answer of replacing Beauden at the back. Instead we persisted with NMS, Naholo, Havili, Reece, all players we would have cared even less about losing and all because Rieko had Lowe's number 11 jersey nailed down.


He was of course only 23 when he decided to leave, it was back in the beggining of the period they had started retaining players (from 2018 onwards I think, they came out saying theyre going to be more aggressive at some point). So he might, all of them, only just missed out.


The main point that Ed made is that situations like Lowe's, Aki's, JGP's, aren't going to happen in future. That's a bit of a "NZ" only problem, because those players need to reach such a high standard to be chosen by the All Blacks, were as a country like Ireland wants them a lot earlier like that. This is basically the 'ready in 3 years' concept Ireland relied on, versus the '5 years and they've left' concept' were that player is now ready to be chosen by the All Blacks (given a contract to play Super, ala SBW, and hopefully Manu).


The 'mercenary' thing that will take longer to expire, and which I was referring to, is the grandparents rule. The new kids coming through now aren't going to have as many gp born overseas, so the amount of players that can leave with a prospect of International rugby offer are going to drop dramatically at some point. All these kiwi fellas playing for a PI, is going to stop sadly.


The new era problem that will replace those old concerns is now French and Japanese clubs (doing the same as NRL teams have done for decades by) picking kids out of school. The problem here is not so much a national identity one, than it is a farm system where 9 in 10 players are left with nothing. A stunted education and no support in a foreign country (well they'll get kicked out of those countries were they don't in Australia).


It's the same sort of situation were NZ would be the big guy, but there weren't many downsides with it. The only one I can think was brought up but a poster on this site, I can't recall who it was, but he seemed to know a lot of kids coming from the Islands weren't really given the capability to fly back home during school xms holidays etc. That is probably something that should be fixed by the union. Otherwise getting someone like Fakatava over here for his last year of school definitely results in NZ being able to pick the cherries off the top but it also allows that player to develop and be able to represent Tonga and under age and possibly even later in his career. Where as a kid being taken from NZ is arguably going to be worse off in every respect other than perhaps money. Not going to develop as a person, not going to develop as a player as much, so I have a lotof sympathy for NZs case that I don't include them in that group but I certainly see where you're coming from and it encourages other countries to think they can do the same while not realising they're making a much worse experience/situation.

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