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Los Pumas on the verge of their most successful Rugby Championship

Julian Montoya of Argentina lifts the trophy with teammates after winning during a Rugby Championship match between Argentina Pumas and Australian Wallabies at San Juan del Bicentenario Stadium on August 13, 2022 in San Juan, Argentina. (Photo by Rodrigo Valle/Getty Images)

As the last two rounds fast approach and the 2022 Rugby Championship will be decided over the next four games, everybody is tapping on the calculator app – because…who uses nowadays a real calculator these days?

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Adding and subtracting points trying to understand how this unique Rugby Championship could finish and the different scenarios if offers is an exercise many have done.

The what ifs are matter of conversation in rugby circles.

Consistency, or lack of, has been the tune which means each one of the games to be played is open.

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In Argentina, they certainly believe, and what is even tougher for Michael Cheika’s team, they are expecting their team to win.

There have always been high expectations on Los Pumas when playing at home, but they have perennially been the team that could win but would probably not. Winning was mostly seen under the tilting glass of epic than the result of hard work, development, and growth.

The crowds that will fill the Independiente Stadium, after a very late change, and the non-attending rugby community will be wanting their beloved Pumas to claim another Springbok scalp at home, and, in the process, finish the season having beaten the Wallabies, the All Blacks and South Africa.

This would be the greatest achievement regardless of where they finish in the table. Finish at the top would be a side advantage.

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This possibility is certainly achievable, of course, also depending on whatever happens with the Wallabies and All Blacks.

The Springboks style of play will not endear them to the vociferous crowd, but captain Siya Kolisi has done wonders in Buenos Aires pushing the Boks friendliness, popping at a club match on Saturday, wearing the colours of the team that usually hosts training sessions for visiting test teams in the capital city of the country.

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Both Argentina and South Africa have won four and lost three test-matches this season. Inconsistency, with capital letters, has been the norm in this Rugby Championship which begs the question: what will be offered on Saturday?

Hard to say.

Cheika has been developing a side to compete against the best whilst eyeing the Rugby World Cup now less than a year ahead. So far, they have beaten two of the historically best. South Africa would be a neat addition to that list.

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If they could beat the defending World Champions in his first season, his stakes and presence with the team, already very high, will continue to rise.

This fast-rebuilding process has brought smiles to the team and happy teams are more likely to be victorious.

It is hard to imagine a smiling Springbok team after a South African newspaper broke the news that one of them, Elton Jantjies had to return home with team dietician Zeenat Simjee to “attend those personal reports and eliminate distractions to the team’s preparation for the test” as the press release stated.

It was doubtful Jantjies, who has played very little rugby this year, would have been heavily involved in the game against Los Pumas. Yet, these kind of situations for a team can be very distracting.

They will have had almost a week to deal with it, but if anyone benefited from the, let’s say, scandal, it will be Argentina, who have been back at home, happy at training in Casa Puma, their HP Centre on the outskirts of the city.

Playing at home is always special for Los Pumas, more so now that players are no longer based in the country and it is an opportunity to feel the love and support of their fans.

Will Cheika mix and match the team giving players with few minutes under his reign an opportunity to stake their claim? Or better stick to tried and tested?

Tomás Cubelli seems to have lost the battle for number nine at the hands of in-form Gonzalo Bertranou.

When he came on against the All Blacks in Hamilton, veteran first five Benjamín Urdapilleta did some very positive things, albeit in a game whose winner by that stage had already been decided. Who takes the No 10 jersey will explain a lot about Cheika’s mindset.

The tight historical ties with South Africa are big and they not only generated the stage for Los Pumas coming of age in 1965 but have always fought our corner.

This time, there will be no love lost between two sides that are in different stages of development but which are very well positioned to win.

Vélez Sarsfield will provide many answers to players, coaches, fans.

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J
JW 1 hour ago
‘The problem with this year’s Champions Cup? Too many English clubs’

Like I've said before about your idea (actually it might have been something to do with mine, I can't remember), I like that teams will a small sustainable league focus can gain the reward of more consistent CC involvement. I'd really like the most consistent option available.


Thing is, I think rugby can do better than footballs version. I think for instance I wanted everyone in it to think they can win it, where you're talking about trying to make so the worst teams in it are not giving up when they are so far off the pace that we get really bad scorelines (when that and giving up to concentrate on the league is happening together). I know it's not realistic to think those same exact teams are going to be competitive with a different model but I am inclined to think more competitive teams make it in with another modem. It's a catch 22 of course, you want teams to fight to be there next year, but they don't want to be there next year when theres less interest in it because the results are less interesting than league ones. If you ensure the best 20 possible make it somehow (say currently) each year they quickly change focus when things aren't going well enough and again interest dies. Will you're approach gradually work overtime? With the approach of the French league were a top 6 mega rich Premier League type club system might develop, maybe it will? But what of a model like Englands were its fairly competitive top 8 but orders or performances can jump around quite easily one year to the next? If the England sides are strong comparatively to the rest do they still remain in EPCR despite not consistently dominating in their own league?


So I really like that you could have a way to remedy that, but personally I would want my model to not need that crutch. Some of this is the same problem that football has. I really like the landscape in both the URC and Prem, but Ireland with Leinster specifically, and France, are a problem IMO. In football this has turned CL pool stages in to simply cash cow fixtures for the also ran countries teams who just want to have a Real Madrid or ManC to lose to in their pool for that bumper revenue hit. It's always been a comp that had suffered for real interest until the knockouts as well (they might have changed it in recent years?).


You've got some great principles but I'm not sure it's going to deliver on that hard hitting impact right from the start without the best teams playing in it. I think you might need to think about the most minimal requirement/way/performance, a team needs to execute to stay in the Champions Cup as I was having some thougt about that earlier and had some theory I can't remember. First they could get entry by being a losing quarter finalist in the challenge, then putting all their eggs in the Champions pool play bucket in order to never finish last in their pool, all the while showing the same indifference to their league some show to EPCR rugby now, just to remain in champions. You extrapolate that out and is there ever likely to be more change to the champions cup that the bottom four sides rotate out each year for the 4 challenge teams? Are the leagues ever likely to have the sort of 'flux' required to see some variation? Even a good one like Englands.


I'd love to have a table at hand were you can see all the outcomes, and know how likely any of your top 12 teams are going break into Champions rubyg on th back it it are?

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f
fl 4 hours ago
‘The problem with this year’s Champions Cup? Too many English clubs’

"Right, so even if they were the 4 worst teams in Champions Cup, you'd still have them back by default?"

I think (i) this would literally never happen, (ii) it technically couldn't quite happen, given at least 1 team would qualify via the challenge cup, so if the actual worst team in the CC qualified it would have to be because they did really well after being knocked down to the challenge cup.

But the 13th-15th teams could qualify and to be fair I didn't think about this as a possibility. I don't think a team should be able to qualify via the Champions Cup if they finish last in their group.


Overall though I like my idea best because my thinking is, each league should get a few qualification spots, and then the rest of the spots should go to the next best teams who have proven an ability to be competitive in the champions cup. The elite French clubs generally make up the bulk of the semi-final spots, but that doesn't (necessarily) mean that the 5th-8th best French clubs would be competitive in a slimmed down champions cup. The CC is always going to be really great competition from the semis onwards, but the issue is that there are some pretty poor showings in the earlier rounds. Reducing the number of teams would help a little bit, but we could improve things further by (i) ensuring that the on-paper "worst" teams in the competition have a track record of performing well in the CC, and (ii) by incentivising teams to prioritise the competition. Teams that have a chance to win the whole thing will always be incentivised to do that, but my system would incentivise teams with no chance of making the final to at least try to win a few group stage matches.


"I'm afraid to say"

Its christmas time; there's no need to be afraid!

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