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McCaw was an automatic selection after injury, but Sam Cane is not

(Photo by Dave Rowland/Getty Images)

The All Blacks’ loose forward jigsaw puzzle is already doing my head in, so one can only imagine how it is exercising the minds of Ian Foster and John Plumtree as they contemplate another stretch of five tests in five weeks.

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The arrival of Sam Cane and Shannon Frizell in the USA bolsters the back-row depth but also serves to muddy the waters as the All Blacks seek answers as to who might be their best loose trio.

As captain designate at the start of the season until he needed pectoral and shoulder surgery, and coming off one of his best seasons in black (2020), Cane would have counted as an automatic selection. There would have been, all things being equal, room for both him and Ardie Savea in any starting XV.

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But how times have changed in 6-7 months. Cane joins the group with just 57 minutes for the King Country Rams under his belt. He is a senior leader but does he really need to wear the captain’s armband in the big tests later in the tour, Ireland and France, in particular?

That pre-supposes that he will swiftly get up to test rugby speed again and that he shoots to the top of the openside flanker ranks, no given with Savea and Dalton Papali’i as proven options in that No 7 jersey.

Richie McCaw was always an automatic selection coming back from injury, but Cane is not automatic.

Sam Whitelock can slot in as captain as if to the manor born, as we saw in July and August. That said, Cane is more than capable of forcing his way in by the France test on November 20. The man himself is expecting no preferential treatment on the basis of his 2020 body of work in black.

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Just where Cane fits in will depend on the loose forward mix, and perhaps how many lineout options they opt for – two in the loosies is desirable – not to mention the opposition.

Wales, even not quite at full strength, Ireland and France will be the major internationals on this tour.

At first glance, the eight loose forwards – hell, the 1976 team to South Africa, the last time the All Blacks have been away for three continuous months, included just six loosies for their 24 matches – appear to be overloaded with blindside flankers, now that Frizell has joined the mix.

Below’s numbers show the versatility and options with the player’s preferred jersey number listed first.

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Hoskins Sotutu: 8, 6
Ardie Savea: 7, 8
Luke Jacobson: 6, 8, 7
Sam Cane: 7, 8, 6
Dalton Papali’i: 7, 6, 8
Ethan Blackadder: 6, 7, 8
Akira Ioane: 6, 8
Shannon Frizell: 6, 8, 5

Hoskins Sotutu appeared to have badly dropped off the pace, but rallied with a strong outing in the second Pumas test. The consistent Luke Jacobson has performed with panache and vigour whenever given a chance, and now appeals as a solid lineout option at two.

Papali’i has not played in five weeks, and is not yet a certainty in the starting pack, but is well equipped to win ball in the air and on the ground.

Ethan Blackadder is the wildcard, possessed of a big engine and heart and, while best in the No 6 jersey, as opposed to the openside, is now putting serious heat on Akira Ioane after a big Rugby Championship.

I have already been on record saying that Ioane needs to start at least three of these northern tests to again put his case as the best No 6 in the land. His growing reputation as an international class player took a hit against the Boks, but he is worth persevering with.

Frizell is the closest to the Jerome Kaino prototype that is spoken of in reverential tones. The Highlander was the best No 6 in Super Rugby, but his court case has ruled him out of the Rugby Championship. He has ground to make up.

If pushed to name the starting loosies by the France test, how about: Savea, Cane (not as captain) and Ioane with Jacobson in the No 20 jersey?

I can feel that headache coming on again…

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4 Comments
B
Ban1080 1158 days ago

Should Sam Cane be rehabbing on an All Blacks tour? He should have played out the NPC season. I guess he can see that it's looking like a few other horses in the race for 7 jersey at the next world cup are getting ahead of him and he can't afford not to be on the tour. Could prove to be one of the weirdest and shortest ABs captain's innings.

B
Brett 1159 days ago

Jack of all trades master of none has shown up over the last few games.some players went missing rushing cane into the mix will not help he should have stayed home to rehab, there are other players doing the job better than him

G
G 1160 days ago

Ioane is ok for non Boks and Northern teams - he was blown out the park by the boks.

A better balanced trio would be blackadder/Cane/Jacobson (2 excellent line out options and fetchers for the breakdown) with Savea (can cover 7-8) and Frizzell (can cover 6 and lock) in the bench

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JW 6 hours ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

I rated Lowe well enough to be an AB. Remember we were picking the likes of George Bridge above such players so theres no disputing a lot of bad decisions have been made by those last two coaches. Does a team like the ABs need a finicky winger who you have to adapt and change a lot of your style with to get benefit from? No, not really. But he still would have been a basic improvement on players like even Savea at the tail of his career, Bridge, and could even have converted into the answer of replacing Beauden at the back. Instead we persisted with NMS, Naholo, Havili, Reece, all players we would have cared even less about losing and all because Rieko had Lowe's number 11 jersey nailed down.


He was of course only 23 when he decided to leave, it was back in the beggining of the period they had started retaining players (from 2018 onwards I think, they came out saying theyre going to be more aggressive at some point). So he might, all of them, only just missed out.


The main point that Ed made is that situations like Lowe's, Aki's, JGP's, aren't going to happen in future. That's a bit of a "NZ" only problem, because those players need to reach such a high standard to be chosen by the All Blacks, were as a country like Ireland wants them a lot earlier like that. This is basically the 'ready in 3 years' concept Ireland relied on, versus the '5 years and they've left' concept' were that player is now ready to be chosen by the All Blacks (given a contract to play Super, ala SBW, and hopefully Manu).


The 'mercenary' thing that will take longer to expire, and which I was referring to, is the grandparents rule. The new kids coming through now aren't going to have as many gp born overseas, so the amount of players that can leave with a prospect of International rugby offer are going to drop dramatically at some point. All these kiwi fellas playing for a PI, is going to stop sadly.


The new era problem that will replace those old concerns is now French and Japanese clubs (doing the same as NRL teams have done for decades by) picking kids out of school. The problem here is not so much a national identity one, than it is a farm system where 9 in 10 players are left with nothing. A stunted education and no support in a foreign country (well they'll get kicked out of those countries were they don't in Australia).


It's the same sort of situation were NZ would be the big guy, but there weren't many downsides with it. The only one I can think was brought up but a poster on this site, I can't recall who it was, but he seemed to know a lot of kids coming from the Islands weren't really given the capability to fly back home during school xms holidays etc. That is probably something that should be fixed by the union. Otherwise getting someone like Fakatava over here for his last year of school definitely results in NZ being able to pick the cherries off the top but it also allows that player to develop and be able to represent Tonga and under age and possibly even later in his career. Where as a kid being taken from NZ is arguably going to be worse off in every respect other than perhaps money. Not going to develop as a person, not going to develop as a player as much, so I have a lotof sympathy for NZs case that I don't include them in that group but I certainly see where you're coming from and it encourages other countries to think they can do the same while not realising they're making a much worse experience/situation.

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