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Melbourne Rebels unsure if Chiefs game the last hurrah for embattled club

The Rebels' home defeat by the Blues last Friday followed a heavy loss to Crusaders (Photo Asanka Ratnayake/Getty Images)

Melbourne don’t know if Friday’s Super Rugby Pacific clash with the Chiefs will be their last ever home game, but they intend playing like it is to cement a maiden finals berth.

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The future of the cash-strapped club in the competition remains uncertain beyond 2024 as they await a decision from Rugby Australia.

Rebels winger Lachie Anderson said the team hadn’t spoken about the match possibly being their last at AAMI Park, but it was still part of the build-up.

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All Stats and Data

“It probably is the elephant in the room – the uncertainty, we’re dealing with things that no other Super Rugby club is at the moment,” he said.

“We’ve dealt with it for 13 weeks now and it’s no different this week.

“You’re not short of motivation; we realise the opportunity to play at home is massive for us, and we understand what a win would do for us and the program.

“Everyone would like to know (about the future) but I think the staff and players are doing an incredible job of focusing on the rugby and it probably gives us good relief from the external stuff.”

Head-to-Head

Last 5 Meetings

Wins
0
Draws
1
Wins
4
Average Points scored
21
28
First try wins
40%
Home team wins
40%

The Rebels currently sit sixth on the ladder and need a win from their remaining three matches to cement a maiden play-off position.

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They have away matches against the Brumbies (2nd) and Fijian Drua (8th) to come.

They head into the clash with the fourth-placed Chiefs on the back of three losses, most recently losing a tight battle with Queensland.

The Chiefs have won their last three matches and are desperate for another crack at the title after losing the grand final last year to the Crusaders.

Anderson said the team spoke regularly about leaving a legacy as the most successful Rebels team in the club’s history.

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“It’s important  – we as players want to write history here, we want to leave a legacy behind and leave the place in a better position than when we started,” said the 26-year-old, who was part of the sevens team at the Tokyo Olympics.

“We have the opportunity to play finals footy, which no Rebels team have ever done, so that’s what our target is.

“We speak about it a lot, it’s definitely a goal of ours.”

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SK 46 minutes ago
Why the Brumbies are still the best team in Australia

It is honestly a disgraceful statistic that the reds have not taken a single 3 pointer this season when you consider statistics its hard to believe that. Lets do the maths quickly, you have a penalty from 40 out thats an 80% chance (conservative) for your kicker to get 3 because its in front. Easy come, easy go, you get those 3 points 80% of the time for 2.4 points on average per kick. Even if you dont nail it you start with territory as now its a 22 drop out so you can bring the ball back again. Now instead of taking an obvious 3 you kick to the corner from 40 out. You get the mall 5m out maybe 10% of the time, you get it 10-15m out maybe 50% of the time and 35% of the time your kicker knocks it between 22-15m out. Now stats show when you get a lineout 5m out you score maybe 50-60%% of the time but if you have an incredible mall and you are top of the pile this stat rises to something like 70-80% of the time take Glasgow and Leinster in URC or the Springboks for example. If you are 10m out your likelihood of scoring drops dramatically. Like 60% becomes 20% for example and this is just to get 5 points mind you, there is a 30-40%% chance you will not even add the 2 to make it a 7 pointer. So which is easier and better for you? Sure the game situation matters. If you are trailing by 15 the 3 may not be wise but the Reds have won 5 of their 8 matches this year and are a good team. They have plenty of chances to take the 3 in situations where its easier and logical to do so than going for the try. They have been involved in 3 games that finished with just 1 score between the sides. There have been plenty of opportunities to take 3 they just don’t care for it. No side in Rugby has ever won anything substantial this way. The Reds would do well to remember that and also remember that they will never usurp the Brumbies while they refuse to add a douse of pragmatism to their flair.

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