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New Zealand rugby braces for winter

Justin Marshall can see the All Blacks go all the way at RWC 2019 even though South Africa are his form team (Photo by Cameron Spencer/Getty Images)

Winter is coming in New Zealand, one of the world strongholds of rugby.

In normal circumstances, that would be celebrated by fans as the season moves into high gear, but with the outbreak of the coronavirus there are mounting concerns that it could be a long winter either without New Zealand’s national sport or a drastically reduced schedule.

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Super Rugby is suspended indefinitely, while three of New Zealand’s five Super Rugby franchises – the Highlanders, Chiefs and Crusaders – have already had to self-isolate after returning from matches overseas.

Even local club rugby, which usually fills playing fields in cities and towns around New Zealand at this time of year, has been suspended.

Just a few weeks ago, if most fans had been asked about the state of New Zealand rugby, they would have said it was in decent shape.

New Zealand may not have won last year’s World Cup as it was expected to do but its teams continue to perform well in Super Rugby, in the World Sevens Series and in other tournaments.

New Zealand Rugby has been working since the suspension of Super Rugby to put together an alternative competition for its teams, both to provide those teams with the possibility of income, to provide its broadcast partners with content and fans with rugby.

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But the dramatic response to the virus in New Zealand makes many of those moves impractical, as public gatherings are limited or banned and non-essential travel is discouraged.

Then there is the danger the virus could be transmitted among players in a contact sport.

New Zealand Rugby chief executive Mark Robinson said his organisation was taking medical advice as it considered alternative competitions.

“Everyone is aligned – first thing first is the safety of people,” Robinson said.

Some New Zealand fans may not be aware that New Zealand’s Super Rugby teams might be in a perilous financial state if the current shutdown continues.

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New Zealand Ru gby may have to dig deep into its financial reserves, even exhaust them, to keep teams well through a long winter.

“We’re working through those scenarios as we speak,” Robinson said in a media call this week.

“There are a number of different scenarios . essentially we’ve got to make this work.

“We own the responsibility for the future financial viability of the game, we know we’ve got some incredibly challenging times and some significant head-winds in front of us but we’re confident we can work through it.”

Robinson was confident Super Rugby itself would weather the storm.

“Super Rugby is a world-class competition and despite some of the feedback early on in the season we’ve seen in recent times the quality of the rugby is outstanding,” he said.

“Absolutely we believe it’s a competition that’s got a future.”

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fl 9 hours ago
What is the future of rugby in 2025?

Smith generally isn't well connected to his forward pods; doesn't do a great job of distributing to those around him; and has inferior positional and contestable kicking games than Ford and Fin.


When England have had success over the past few years, its been either through (i) defensive rugby backed up with smart tactical kicking or (ii) high possession attacking phase play based on quick ruck ball. George Ford was key to the implementation of (i) in the RWC, and in the 6N win over Wales, and to the implementation of (ii) in the 6N games against Ireland and France. Smith did great at (ii) when running at tired defenders at the end of the Ireland match, but has never successfully implemented that gameplan from the start of a test because he doesn't distribute or support his forwards enough to create consistent fast ball and build attacks over multiple phases. Instead, his introduction to the starting side has resulted in much more playmaking responsibilities being forced onto whoever plays 9. Alex Mitchell copes ok with that, but I think he looks better with a more involved playmaking 10 outside him, and it really isn't a gameplan that works for JVP or Spencer. As a result of that the outside backs and centres have barely touched the ball when Smith has been at 10.


This might not have been too much of a disaster, as England have seemed to be moving slightly towards the sort of attacking gameplan that France played under Labit and Quins play (I think this was especially their approach when they won the league a few years ago - but its still a part of their play now), which is based on kicking to create broken field rugby. This is (i) a sharp departure from the gameplans that have worked for England in the past few seasons; (ii) bears very little relation to the tactical approaches of the non-Quins players in the England team; and (iii) is an absolute disaster for the blitz defence, which is weak in transition. Unsurprisingly, it has coincided with a sharp decline in England's results.

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