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New Zealand Rugby still have a tightrope to walk with Scott Robertson

Scott Robertson. (Photo by Hannah Peters/Getty Images)

While Scott Roberton’s commitment to the Crusaders’ 2023 Super Rugby Pacific campaign was cause for a sigh of relief for some Kiwi fans, independent rugby pundit Jamie Wall remains sceptical of Robertson’s future in New Zealand.

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Robertson’s name was thrown about in discussions for numerous national coaching roles throughout 2022. First, with the All Blacks‘ early struggles, then with the firing of Wayne Pivac of Wales and Eddie Jones of England. While Foster’s position was confirmed through to the conclusion of the 2023 World Cup, Pivac was promptly replaced by his predecessor in Warren Gatland and Jones’ replacement was eventually confirmed in Steve Borthwick, leaving Robertson to continue his unprecedentedly successful reign as the Crusaders’ mastermind.

2022 being the penultimate season of the World Cup cycle had the majority of Tier One Rugby Unions under pressure to ensure their national side’s chances at the World Cup were maximised by the current coaching staff, and although that major deadline has now passed, focus will shift to succession planning while potential scrutiny over the decisions made will remain ever-present and of course, be dictated by results.

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“I don’t think they (New Zealand Rugby) can ever really sleep easy on Scott Robertson no matter what the situation,” Wall told Brendan Telfar on The Platform. “Because if he is going to stay in New Zealand that’s just another headline every week that they have to deal with as to why he’s not coaching the All Blacks, and we’re going to get it all through Super Rugby because I think we all know that the Crusaders are going to go through and dominate like they usually do.

“There’s going to be questions about how a guy who has that level of success with a team that contains so many All Blacks in it isn’t getting a look in. So, even though they have kind of put a full stop on the narrative last year by putting their support behind Foster through to the end of the World Cup, and then leaving that door open no matter what happens – which is a strange kind of situation that we have – people are still going to talk about it.”

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With six Super Rugby championship titles in six years, there is a sense of inevitability around the Crusaders’ status as tournament favourites. There is also a sense of inevitability, given Robertson’s success with the club, that his name will be brought up with every subpar All Blacks performance.

Wall drew parallels between Robertson’s story and that of his Crusaders predecessors, one of an immensely successful Super Rugby head coach who doesn’t get a shot at the All Blacks’ top job and takes his talents offshore.

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“There’s always going to be a job open for him if he (Robertson) puts his hand up.

“The Wallabies might be in a position where they might want to replace Dave Rennie so there’s always going to be that threat there. If Scott Robertson did decide to jump over the ditch, we’re going to have a situation that you and I both remember pretty well, when Robbie Deans did the same thing and took a lot of goodwill that existed in the New Zealand Rugby community with him over there.

“It didn’t end up being quite the fairy tale that Robbie Deans probably wanted but it is kind of feeling like it’s going to play out in a similar sort of situation. So instead of being the full stop on the story that NZ Rugby wanted around Scott Robertson, we’re going to see more of that conversation keep going as long as he’s there.”

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T
Tom 1 hour ago
What is the future of rugby in 2025?

Briiiiiiiiiiiiiiiistol! Briiiiiiiiiiiiiiiistol! Briiiiiiiiiiiiiiiistol!


It's incredible to see the boys playing like this. Back to the form that saw them finish on top of the regular season and beat Toulon to win the challenge cup. Ibitoye and Ravouvou doing a cracking Piutau/Radradra impression.


It's abundantly clear that Borthwick and Wigglesworth need to transform the England attack and incorporate some of the Bears way. Unfortunately until the Bears are competing in Europe, the old criticisms will still be used.. we failed to fire any punches against La Rochelle and Leinster which goes to show there is still work to do but both those sides are packed full of elite players so it's not the fairest comparison to expect Bristol to compete with them. I feel Bristol are on the way up though and the best is yet to come. Tom Jordan next year is going to be obscene.


Test rugby is obviously a different beast and does Borthwick have enough time with the players to develop the level of skill the Bears plays have? Even if he wanted to? We should definitely be able to see some progress, Scotland have certainly managed it. England aren't going to start throwing the ball around like that but England's attack looks prehistoric by comparison, I hope they take some inspiration from the clarity and freedom of expression shown by the Bears (and Scotland - who keep beating us, by the way!). Bristol have the best attack in the premiership, it'd be mad for England to ignore it because it doesn't fit with the Borthwick and Wigglesworth idea of how test rugby should be played. You gotta use what is available to you. Sadly I think England will try reluctantly to incorporate some of these ideas and end up even more confused and lacking identity than ever. At the moment England have two teams, they have 14 players and Marcus Smith. Marcus sticks out as a sore thumb in a team coached to play in a manner ideologically opposed to the way he plays rugby, does the Bears factor confuse matters further? I just have no confidence in Borthers and Wiggles.


Crazy to see the Prem with more ball in play than SR!

1 Go to comments
J
JW 5 hours ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

In another recent article I tried to argue for a few key concept changes for EPCR which I think could light the game up in the North.


First, I can't remember who pointed out the obvious elephant in the room (a SA'n poster?), it's a terrible time to play rugby in the NH, and especially your pinnacle tournament. It's been terrible watching with seemingly all the games I wanted to watch being in the dark, hardly able to see what was going on. The Aviva was the only stadium I saw that had lights that could handle the miserable rain. If the global appeal is there, they could do a lot better having day games.


They other primary idea I thuoght would benefit EPCR most, was more content. The Prem could do with it and the Top14 could do with something more important than their own league, so they aren't under so much pressure to sell games. The quality over quantity approach.


Trim it down to two 16 team EPCR competitions, and introduce a third for playing amongst the T2 sides, or the bottom clubs in each league should simply be working on being better during the EPCR.


Champions Cup is made up of league best 15 teams, + 1, the Challenge Cup winner. Without a reason not to, I'd distribute it evenly based on each leauge, dividing into thirds and rounded up, 6 URC 5 Top14 4 English. Each winner (all four) is #1 rank and I'd have a seeding round or two for the other 12 to determine their own brackets for 2nd, 3rd, and 4th. I'd then hold a 6 game pool, home and away, with consecutive of each for those games that involve SA'n teams. Preferrably I'd have a regional thing were all SA'n teams were in the same pool but that's a bit complex for this simple idea.


That pool round further finalises the seeding for knockout round of 16. So #1 pool has essentially duked it out for finals seeding already (better venue planning), and to see who they go up against 16, 15,etc etc. Actually I think I might prefer a single pool round for seeding, and introduce the home and away for Ro16, quarters, and semis (stuffs up venue hire). General idea to produce the most competitive matches possible until the random knockout phase, and fix the random lottery of which two teams get ranked higher after pool play, and also keep the system identical for the Challenge Cup so everthing is succinct. Top T2 side promoted from last year to make 16 in Challenge Cup

207 Go to comments
J
JW 10 hours ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

I had a look at the wiki article again, it's all terribly old data (not that I'd see reason for much change in the case of SA).

Number Of Clubs:

1526

Registered+Unregistered Players:

651146

Number of Referees:

3460

Pre-teen Male Players:

320842

Pre-teen Female Player:

4522

Teen Male Player:

199213

Teen Female Player:

4906

Senior Male Player:

113174

Senior Female Player:

8489

Total Male Player:

633229

Total Female Player:

17917


So looking for something new as were more concerned with adults specifically, so I had a look at their EOY Financial Review.

The total number of clubs remains consistent, with a marginal increase of 1% from 1,161 to 1,167. 8.1.

A comparative analysis of verified data for 2022 and 2023 highlights a marginal decline of 1% in the number of female players, declining from 6,801 to 6,723. Additionally, the total number of players demonstrates an 8% decrease, dropping from 96,172 to 88,828.

So 80k+ adult males (down from 113k), but I'm not really sure when youth are involved with SAn clubs, or if that data is for some reason not being referenced/included. 300k male students however (200k in old wiki data).


https://resources.world.rugby/worldrugby/document/2020/07/28/212ed9cf-cd61-4fa3-b9d4-9f0d5fb61116/P56-57-Participation-Map_v3.pdf has France at 250k registered but https://presse-europe1-fr.translate.goog/exclu-europe-1-le-top-10-des-sports-les-plus-pratiques-en-france-en-2022/?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en&_x_tr_pto=wapp has them back up at 300k registered.


The French number likely Students + Club, but everyone collects data different I reckon. In that WR pdf for instance a lot of the major nations have a heavily registered setup, were as a nation like England can penetrate into a lot more schools to run camps and include them in the reach of rugby. For instance the SARU release says only 29% of schools are reached by proper rugby programs, where as the 2million English number would be through a much much higer penetration I'd imagine. Which is thanks to schools having the ability to involve themselves in programs more than anything.


In any case, I don't think you need to be concerned with the numbers, whether they are 300 or 88k, there is obviously a big enough following for their pro scenes already to have enough quality players for a 10/12 team competition. They appear ibgger than France but I don't really by the lower English numbers going around.

207 Go to comments
LONG READ
LONG READ Will Bristol's daredevil 'Bears-ball' deliver the trophy they crave? Will Bristol's daredevil 'Bears-ball' deliver the trophy they crave?
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