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Rebels ready to produce in 2018 – Super Rugby 2018 Preview

The Rebels have something to prove in 2018 – the general consensus was that they should have been cut instead of the Force last year.

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We have seen minimal improvement since the Victorian-based franchise joined Super Rugby in 2011, and last year was the worst finishing with a 1-1-13 record. In the AFL-mad state, the Rebels long-term viability doesn’t look strong. The team has received $30 million in funding and loan write-offs, double the amount given to the Force but that cost looks like a bad investment at this stage with little success to show for it.

Now more than ever the Rebels need to step up and deliver and they have never been better placed to do so. The injection of talent following the demise of the Force has changed the make-up of the team remarkably, taking in 12 ex-Force players.

Established Wallaby utility Reece Hodge recently told rugby.com.au of the team’s high ambitions.

“All we’re focused on is round one against the Reds in Melbourne and how we can build over the course of the season to hopefully win a Super Rugby title, we’re not coming into come second or third or fourth or improve on last year, we’re coming to win the thing, so that’s our focus at the moment.

The reality is this side has little in common with last year’s squad.

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The four-year tenure of head coach Tony McGahan has ended. Despite some reasonable seasons in years two (7-9) and three (7-8), seeing the back of McGahan is probably best for the club who will also be without incumbent captain Nic Stirzaker who has been let go in favour of marquee signing Will Genia.

Also arriving from the Force is McGahan’s replacement – young coach Dave Wessels, who orchestrated the turnaround of the Western club in 2017 finishing with the equal best record in Australia and second place in the conference. Wessels appointment could be a winner with so many ex-Force players already familiar with his approach.

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Wessels has promoted Wallaby and ex-Force lock Adam Coleman as club captain, who will lead a young second-row with school leaver Trevor Hosea one to watch if he debuts, will long time Rebel Tom English also shares leadership duties.

While Sean McMahon is the highest profile exit, the backrow stocks still look strong with Colby Fainga’a, Jordy Reid and Japanese international Amanaki Mafi. Ross Haylett-Petty and Richard Hardwick come across from the Force to bolster flanker depth.

Fullback Dane Haylett-Petty will be a big addition, forming a dangerous back three combination with Wallaby wings Sefa Naivalu and Marika Kororibete. He is just the type of fullback that could get the best out of the two speedsters. Young fullback Jack Maddocks is a highly touted prospect that will provide cover.

The Rebels midfielders look promising with a host of Australia’s best young talent on the books. Reece Hodge, Waratahs recruit David Horwitz and Force recruit Billy Meakes provide experience but youngsters Hunter Paisami, Semisi Tupou and Sione Tuipulotu can provide power running and athleticism. Australian Sevens recruit Henry Hutchinson was also a standout schoolboy centre who can cover wing

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Tuipulotu in particular, is ready for a breakout year. The Rebels first ‘home-grown’ player debuted at 19-years old in 2016 and has had three years in the Australian under-20 system. He will turn 21 next week and will hopefully be one of the stars for the Rebels for years.

One of the biggest question marks for the Rebels is over who will play flyhalf. Ex-Force journeyman Jono Lance was penciled in to join the side before joining the Reds at the last minute.

Jackson Garden-Bachop and Ben Volavola have been released leaving youngsters Jack Debreczeni, Jack McGregor and NRC upstart Tayler Adams as potential starters. Debreczeni is the most established of the three, but seemed out-of-favour with former coach McGahan. He signed with Japan side Honda but has made a surprising return to the squad.

This is a stacked side ready to reward Rugby Australia’s unwavering commitment to them, albeit with the helping hand of the Force. The Rebels need to prove that the narrative around ‘four teams being stronger than five’ rings true, with Australia’s talent spread (disproportionally) across the teams.

2018 Predictions

Australian Conference Placing: 3rd

Player of the Year: Amanaki Mafi

Rookie of the Year: Jack McGregor/Tayler Adams

Breakout Player: Sione Tuipulotu

Best Signing: Adam Coleman

Franchise History

 Best finish: Tenth in 2015

Worst finish: Eighteenth in 2017

Squad Movements

In: Jermaine Ainsley (Force), Tayler Adams (NSW Country Eagles), Adam Coleman (Force), Ben Daley (Force), Tetera Faulkner (Force), Will Genia (Stade Français), Richard Hardwick (Force), Dane Haylett-Petty (Force), Ross Haylett-Petty (Force), David Horowitz (Waratahs), Trevor Hosea (Melbourne Rising), Henry Hutchinson (Australia Sevens), Bill Meakes (Force), Hunter Paisami (Rebels), Geoff Parling (Exeter Chiefs), Matt Phillip (Force), Anaru Rangi (Force), Michael Ruru (Force), Sam Talakai (Reds).

Out: Cruz Ah-Nau (Zebre), Steve Cummins (Scarlets), Dominic Day (Saracens), Jack Debreczini (Honda Heat), Murray Douglas (Hurricanes), Harley Fox (Connacht), Jackson Garden-Bachop (Hurricanes), James Hanson (Gloucester), Mitch Inman (Oyonnax), Kentaro Kodama (Wild Knights), Patrick Leafa (Vannes), Tyrel Lomax (Highlanders), Sean McMahon (Sungoliath), Ben Meehan (London Irish), Tim Metcher (Nanaimo Hornets), Will Miller (Waratahs), Dennis Pill-Gaitau (Greater Sydney Rams), Jonah Placid (Toulon), Culum Retallick (Bay of Plenty), Jake Schatz (London Irish), Siliva Siliva (Melbourne Rising), Hugh Sinclair (Sydney Rays), Toby Smith (Hurricanes), Michael Snowden (Released), Nick Stirzaker (Saracens), Ben Volavola (North Harbour).

Squad: Adam Coleman, Alex Toolis, Amanaki Mafi, Anaru Rangi, Ben Daley, Bill Meakes, Colby Fainga’a, Dane Haylett-Petty, David Horwitz, Dominic Shipperley, Esei Ha’angana, Fereti Sa’aga, Geoff Parling, Harrison Goddard, Henry Hutchison, Hunter Paisami, Jack Maddocks, Jack McGregor, Jermaine Ainsley, Jordan Uelese, Jordy Reid, Laurie Weeks, Lopeti Timani, Marika Koroibete, Matt Philip, Michael Ruru, Pama Fou, Reece Hodge, Richard Hardwick, Robert Leota, Ross Haylett-Petty, Sam Jeffries, Sam Talakai, Sefanaia Naivalu, Semisi Tupou, Sione Tuipulotu, Tayler Adams, Tetera Faulkner, Tom English, Tom Moloney, Trevor Hosea, Will Genia.

 

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Oh no, not him again? 2 hours ago
England internationals disagree on final play execution vs All Blacks

Okay, so we blew it big time on Saturday. So rather than repeating what most people have all ready said, what do I want to see from Borthwick going forward?


Let's keep Marcus Smith on the pitch if he's fit and playing well. I was really pleased with his goal kicking. It used to be his weakness. I feel sympathy for George Ford who hadn't kicked all match and then had a kick to win the game. You hear pundits and commentators commend kickers who have come off the bench and pulled that off. Its not easy. If Steve B continues to substitute players with no clear reason then he is going to get criticised.


On paper I thought England would beat NZ if they played to their potential and didn't show NZ too much respect. Okay, the off the ball tackles certainly stopped England scoring tries, but I would have liked to see more smashing over gainlines and less kicking for position. Yes, I also know it's the Springbok endorsed world cup double winning formula but the Kiwi defence isn't the Bok defence, is it. If you have the power to put Smith on the front foot then why muzzle him? I guess what I'm saying is back, yourself. Why give the momentum to a team like NZ? Why feed the beast? Don't give the ball to NZ. Well d'uh.


Our scrum is a long term weakness. If you are going to play Itoje then he needs an ogre next door and a decent front row. Where is our third world class lock? Where are are realible front row bench replacements? The England scrum has been flakey for a while now. It blows hot and cold. Our front five bench is not world class.


On the positive side I love our starting backrow right now. I'd like to see them stick together through to the next world cup.


Anyway, there is always another Saturday.

7 Go to comments
C
CO 2 hours ago
Scott Robertson responds to criticism over All Blacks' handling errors

Robertson is more a manager of coaches than a coach so it comes down to intent of outcomes at a high level. I like his intent, I like the fact his Allblacks are really driving the outcomes however as he's pointed out the high error rates are not test level and their control of the game is driving both wins and losses. England didn't have to play a lot of rugby, they made far fewer mistakes and were extremely unlucky not to win.


In fact the English team were very early in their season and should've been comfortably beaten by an Allblacks team that had played multiple tests together.


Razor has himself recognised that to be the best they'll have to sort out the crisis levels of mistakes that have really increased since the first two tests against England.


Early tackles were a classic example of hyper enthusiasm to not give an inch, that passion that Razor has achieved is going to be formidable once the unforced errors are eliminated.


That's his secret, he's already rebuilt the passion and that's the most important aspect, its inevitable that he'll now eradicate the unforced errors. When that happens a fellow tier one nation is going to get thrashed. I don't think it will be until 2025 though.


The Allblacks will lose both tests against Ireland and France if they play high error rates rugby like they did against England.


To get the unforced errors under control he's going to be needing to handover the number eight role to Sititi and reset expectations of what loose forwards do. Establish a clear distinction with a large, swarthy lineout jumper at six that is a feared runner and dominant tackler and a turnover specialist at seven that is abrasive in contact. He'll then need to build depth behind the three starters and ruthlessly select for that group to be peaking in 2027 in hit Australian conditions on firm, dry grounds.


It's going to help him that Savea is shifting to the worst super rugby franchise where he's going to struggle behind a beaten pack every week.


The under performing loose forward trio is the key driver of the high error rates and unacceptable turn overs due to awol link work. Sititi is looking like he's superman compared to his openside and eight.


At this late stage in the season they shouldn't be operating with just the one outstanding loose forward out of four selected for the English test. That's an abject failure but I think Robertson's sacrificing link quality on purpose to build passion amongst the junior Allblacks as they see the reverential treatment the old warhorses are receiving for their long term hard graft.


It's unfortunately losing test matches and making what should be comfortable wins into nail biters but it's early in the world cup cycle so perhaps it's a sacrifice worth making.


However if this was F1 then Sam Cane would be Riccardo and Ardie would be heading into Perez territory so the loose forwards desperately need revitalisation through a rebuild over the next season to complement the formidable tight five.

28 Go to comments
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