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Round two: The Springboks return to regular scheduled programming

Springboks Damian Willemse and Lukhanyo Am. (Photos by Xavier Laine/Getty Images and (Photo by MICHAEL BRADLEY/AFP via Getty Images)

The Springboks start a second chapter as defending world champions in 2024 after claiming a 12-11 win over the 14-man All Blacks in the Rugby World Cup final last November.

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South Africa is now the most successful men’s Rugby World Cup side in history with four titles, and the second-most successful Rugby World Cup team behind the Black Ferns who have six crowns.

From Suzie the waitress to Sam Cane’s red, the tier two quarterfinal opponents in three of the four titles, no nation has been as blessed at the showpiece event. They remain undefeated in the four finals they have featured in.

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The latest win is no doubt the greatest of the four, despite losing to Ireland in pool play, they were able to trump France, England, and New Zealand in three knockout games by one point. The improbable run looked dead multiple times as the team of destiny defied all odds.

Against France in the quarterfinal down 25-19 with 15 minutes remaining the Springboks had a 17 per cent chance based on historical outcomes of winning.

Against England in the semi-final it was even lower than that in single digits, with England ahead by nine points 15-6 heading into the last quarter.

In both games the Springboks rallied with tries that drastically changed the complex of the game and France and England choked, it must be said.

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In the final the Springboks were blessed with early penalties and the fateful red card to Sam Cane, the first of his professional career in 268 games of first class rugby.

In the end it was missed shots at goal from the All Blacks that were the saving grace, allowing South Africa to limp across the finish line. They were effectively on the ropes against a fighter with one arm tied behind his back and were saved by the bell.

Despite inspirational performances from individuals, like Pieter-Steph du Toit, outside of the first three minutes of the second half South Africa never looked like scoring. The closest they got was a Handre Pollard drop goal that was charged down and fell way short.

The All Blacks had all the running and are left to lament their missed opportunities, while the Boks became the second nation to win back-to-back Rugby World Cups.

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Following the 2019 win it didn’t take long to find out who the Springboks really were, swept by the seventh-ranked Wallabies in two Tests on Australian soil in 2021. The artificial aura of the World Cup glow quickly faded as the losses piled up.

They went 16-10 over two seasons once they returned to action. Their record against the other top five nations was porous, heading into 2023 they were 25 per cent against Australia, England, Ireland, France and New Zealand. They failed to win a single Rugby Championship in three years.

They were a competitive top four nation but never the undisputed number one. There was no dominance to speak of.

Now they have a second chance to prove their mettle as world champions after an improbable run, to back up the back-to-back achievement with something of substance.

Head coach Jacques Nienaber has joined Leinster, with Director of Rugby Rassie Erasmus returning as the official head coach again.

First on the menu is Ireland. South Africa has not beaten them since 2016. Losses in 2017, 2022 and 2023 can be avenged when the Irish tour South Africa in July for two Tests.

Only a 2-0 sweep will suffice for the Boks. A loss on home soil to Ireland would detract once again from any claim this Springboks side are unrivalled world beaters.

Ireland are one of the big four, so there is no shame in defeat, but it would contradict any assertion that we have a dominant Bok team in the midst.

The return of the Rugby Championship starts with a bang when the Springboks host the All Blacks for two Tests in South Africa.

There is no better opportunity to show that the World Cup final wasn’t a gift-wrapped present by winning with 15 on 15 in front of the raucous Ellis Park crowd.

Finishing the job in Cape Town with a second win will emphatically prove the Boks are a cut above the All Blacks and go a long way to winning a fifth Rugby Championship/Tri-Nations title.

They would then travel to Australia to face the Wallabies twice, a trip that has haunted South Africa for decades.

The Wallabies have owned the Springboks on Australian soil. For such a proud rugby nation with four Rugby World Cups, the record Down Under is ugly with 13 wins from 43 Tests.

Rugby Australia fired the coach that had a 75 per cent winning record over the back-to-back champions, so 2024 is the perfect time to start repairing the ledger.

The world champion Boks with the super coach Rassie Erasmus cannot lose to the Wallabies who don’t even know who is coaching the side yet.

If they get through that run, the Springboks will be in a position to put together a statement season that they failed to do so after 2019.

The Springboks have four SANZAAR titles in 27 years, equal to their William Webb Ellis haul, a significant underachievement by comparison. For the team that has the most men’s Rugby World Cups, it is a fascinating anomaly.

The Boks seem to value the Rugby World Cup over everything else, to the detriment of everything else.

Which is why 2024 is likely going to be a return to the regular scheduled programming once again.

The famine seems to come after the feast, and what a glorious feast it was.

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Comments

43 Comments
B
Bull Shark 105 days ago

Another piece of sh1t article from Jamie Wall that aged incredibly poorly.


Also weak on facts. Australia before the ABs. Numb nuts.

d
derrick 345 days ago

I was so excited to have an All Blacks Bok’s finals, as I thought the kiwis were like kin and on the same top level, win or lose we would have a good tussle and it didn’t matter as long as we tested where we stood against others of gold standard if the better side won.


I thought it was incredible but wholly expected that you would bounce back from a pre tournament loss to make the final. At the time I thought oh no what have we done, by giving you such motivation to come back.

I watched you improve game by game and just knew and was excited by the fact you could be there in the end.

If it was the other way around I know we would have congratulated you because that’s the feel from the start, we never took it for granted, in 4 years we would try again.


In the UK everyone as neutrals were congratulating and celebrating the boks winning and pointing out how well they did to beat all the best teams week after week. But sadly I have been shocked by the sour grapes from every kiwi even after so long by this kiwi writer. Ok you didn’t disrespect the silver medals like the whinging poms did, but I expected better from the kiwis.


The single most depressing and sad thing about the World Cup Final has been the unexpected whinging response from the kiwis.


The better team won on the day, please get over it and lets do the tussle again sometime but only if the good ole kiwis turn up as men to enjoy the occasion and agree that no -one can be sore losers just celebrate and congratulate the winning team, after all that’s what sportsmanship is all about.


Edit: I just read this quote from France coach Shaun Edwards “Fair play to South Africa. In rugby, you get knocked down and you’ve got to get back up off the floor, shake your opponent’s hand and wish them luck. That’s what you have got to do.”

Now This is what I am talking about Kiwis, come on stand up and be counted. 😀

W
Wayneo 345 days ago

Thanks for another article Ben.


Like they say no publicity is bad publicity.


In this day and age, it’s all about clicks to drive revenue and nobody comes close to Ben in driving revenue straight into the coffers of SA Rugby.

S
Snash 346 days ago

Ben click-bait-king Smith strikes again. Gee no mention of ABs record loss to Boks on eve of RWC23. Was it Suzie? The ref? Jet-lag? Parochialism? Better team lose? W anchor.

L
Luke 346 days ago

Ben thanks for the article. Nothing gets this team performing better than people writing them off. You are their biggest fan and thanks for the continued support : )

Y
YeowNotEven 346 days ago

South Africans only care about winning the World Cup. All other tests are just stepping stones to that.

K
K 346 days ago

“From Suzie the waitress” - a disproven myth; “to Sam Cane’s red” - a red that is in line with every shoulder-on-head red that has come since the new rules were put in place. AB fans went from blaming the ref and defending SBW in 2017 v Lions to blaming the ref and defending Cane… they never learn do they? Even Squidge agreed that this was a clear red.


Oh and that wallabies sweep was after 1.5 years of not even being able to practice together due to covid.


Try again Benny boy.

F
Flankly 346 days ago

Does anyone remember the prognostications about the Boks prior to any of the RWCs that they won? They all sounded like this article, in essence giving the no chance before the tournament followed by reluctant credit when they won.


And did anyone listen to Rassie on the topic of what his big-picture plan was? He said that they started 6 years ago on a plan to win the 2023 RWC. He also said that this was the first step towards capturing the #1 ranking in the longer term, and he said that the 2019 RWC win was a bonus. He and Jacques both said that 2022 was about depth-building, and implicitly not about win rate.


So far he has checked all of the boxes. Two RWC wins in succession, a coherent winning culture, strong systems, and a squad with legit competition in every position. It seems he has also been working on relationships with franchise coaches, and on development pathways, not to mention transformation along the way.


SA is not unbeatable, and there are clearly some very impressive national sides out there. But the Boks are setting a very high bar, with stronger foundations than they have ever had, and a new generation of players coming through. They may or may not retain the #1 spot this year, but they are not going to concede it lightly.


Any of the top 4 sides (SA, NZ, Ireland, France) can beat any of the others on any given day, and England will soon also be a contender in that group. All of them will treat year one of the 4-year cycle as a time to make the bigger adjustments, as they figure out how to peak in 2027. But of all of them, SA is the one that least needs to take risks this year. Over the next 3.5 years Rassie will be able to field a gently changing group with gradually evolving game plans and structures, and no need for a rethink.


If Rassie is allowed to keep to the plan, the Boks will be fine in 2024, and will be a serious contender for RWC 2027.

B
Bob Marler 346 days ago

That’s the cool part of all this. Rassie and co. still have work to do. The Boks can be better. The past 6 years has, seemingly, gone according to the plan. 2020 - 2023 was virtually stated as a period where they’d be building to win the RwC. Building depth. Building an Experienced squad. Taking lessons along the way.


2024, I don’t think this team is going to do anything less than gun for the Ireland series and the RC. No doubt in my mind. With youngsters coming in to the “pressure” of we have to win these. We are the best.


We do need to kick up a gear and become as ruthless about winning as the ABs are. Win everything. We’ve done the back-to-back. Now put the hammer down and shut the critics up. For good.


I can’t wait.

M
MF 346 days ago

This is little more than an embittered smear piece written through a blur of spite and vindictiveness. Whoever the author, they have descended into twitteresque pique using their platform to damn the Boks with faint praise laced with backhanded insults. Citing Suzi, red cards, tier two nations to besmirch the victories is indicative of bankrupt thinking. Can Rugby Pass not find journalists with anything interesting to add?

B
Bob Marler 346 days ago

Yawn.


If SA win 6/6 against Ireland, NZ and the wallabies. It will be because of the ref, home ground advantage, the better team losing on the day or some or other BS conspiracy theory.


If they lose just one of those games, we’ll never hear the end of that loss either. Let alone 2, 3 or heaven forbid all of them.


No matter what the boks do, the most hated team in international rugby can do no right in the eyes of fools like this idiot writer and the haters he panders to.


Which is just how the boks and their fans like it. Being written-off is what we want.


Keep it up Ben and co. Keep it up.

G
GH 346 days ago

Champions know when to win. You can look at any sport. Tennis for example, no use winning more points but losing the match. BMT is something NZ fans and pundits seem to forget. No use winning the small stuff but choking when it matters. Champions know how. The Boks know how.


Greatest RWC team in history. You can take the scraps while we remain the champions.

C
CP 346 days ago

KNATERS

B
BD 346 days ago

Shame, what a pathetic tone to an even worse article. Go cry some more, Kiwis. 4>3 all day.

P
PDV 346 days ago

Quite extraordinary that Rugbypass seems to have asked a writer to do nothing but antagonise SA rugby supporters to up traffic to its site. Have to wonder how Ben feels being used in this way. Not much of a journalism career writing troll pieces.

R
RW 346 days ago

They have let Bin Smut write again. More’s the pity.

K
Kyle 346 days ago

I am a passionate Bok supporter and at times have taken slight exception to Mr Smith's journalistic integrity, however, I am confused by the odd negative comment on this forum, as from my perspective this is a splendid piece of objective writing… with an understandable marginal subjective bias creeping in.

For what it's worth, if Mr Smith should happen to read this; thank you for writing this informative piece that caters for all rugby fans. 🙂

J
JE 346 days ago

This article is a ‘return to regular scheduled programming’

S
Shaylen 346 days ago

Trash talk begins again from ol faithful Bennie Smith. To be honest he aint wrong when he says SA has not dominated outside of world cups. The closest they came was in 2009 and 1998 in regular seasons when they had impressive records. In world cup years they are impressive because they win it. SA needs to improve its record between world cups and they need to win the rugby championship more often. SA rugby has faced its difficulties in the past but they have no excuses to hide behind now. The next 4 years will determine if this team can establish a dynasty outside of world cups

m
mknz 346 days ago

Great achievement by SA in 2023 - all that matters is that you win, and they did just that in three unbelievably huge games in consecutive weeks.


It doesn't take away anything from Ben Smith's points (year-after-year-after-year) that SA have lived a charmed life with RWC draws in 2007 and 2019.


Anyone with the slightest knowledge or understanding of the game knows that their run to the 2007 RWC was a complete and utter farce. This was through no fault of their own - all you can do in sport is play (and beat) who is on front of you. SA did just that in 2007 - and well done to them.


In 2019 they beat one legitimate high quality team - a very good England team on the biggest stage of all. Again - well done to SA, they won when it mattered.

P
PDV 346 days ago

How is playing hosts Japan, who beat Ireland and Scotland, in the quarters and a very tough Wales team in the semis in 2019 ‘charmed’? People seem to forget just how good Japan was at the their own World Cup.

k
karin 346 days ago

They did not win , they BOUGHT the rugby world cup . From Wayne Barnes , who than resigned and ran away . . But karma is coming .

R
Rugby 346 days ago

But Bennie,


Forget 1 point margin, narrative. It is one scoring margin.

In rugby Union you can not score 1 point, even if you did it would be a draw and extra time will be played, and you know what happened in 1995! The Pacific Lions can not drop kick.

You can score 3, 5, 7 and (5+2).

Boks v France and England they fought back then defended their lead.

Boks against The Pacific Lions, the Boks led from start till end. they protected their lead.


tactics, strategy, skill.

B
BD 346 days ago

Your argument is on point. I acknowledge it because Bennie won't appreciate it.


Seriously, how in the blue hell does this guy get paid to bitch for a living?

R
Rugby 346 days ago

But Bennie,


All below in quotes is from - thefacts.nz


Bennie should read as it is from .nz. I think referees are finally catching up with NZ


BTW yet to add the 2 red and 5 yellow cards from 2023 world cup and others from 2023.


"22 INSIGHTS OVER 10 YEARS

TOTAL

RED CARDS opposition 4 - NZ 5

YELLOW CARDS opposition 39 - NZ 60


Red cards:

New Zealand has now received a red card every year for 4 years in a row (2019, 2020, 2021, 2022)

Over the last 10 years, New Zealand has received 5 red cards and opposition teams 4 red cards (including Bismarck du Plessis’ 2 yellows in 2013 that turned into a red)

In 7/8 of those games (88%), if a team gets a red card, they lose:

The exception being when the All Blacks beat Australia 38-21 on September 5th 2021.

NOTE: In the All Blacks vs Australia game on November 7th 2020, Australia also got a red card after New Zealand. Ofa Tu’ungafasi (NZ) was red-carded in the 23rd minute, and then Lachlan Swinton (AU) was red-carded in the 35th minute. Australia won 24-22.


Yellow cards:

Over the last 10 years, the All Blacks have received 54% more yellow cards than their opponents (60 vs 39)

The All Black with the most cards over this period is Kieran Read with 5 yellow cards.

5 All Blacks have received 3 cards over this time:

Ofa Tu’ungafasi (1 red, 2 yellow)

Sonny Bill Williams (1 red, 2 yellow)

Sam Whitelock (3 yellow)

Sam Cane (3 yellow)

Wyatt Crockett (3 yellow)


3 opposition players have received two yellow cards over this period:

Mako Vunipola (England)

Pablo Matera (Argentina)

Bismarck du Plessis (South Africa) who got 2 yellows in the same game, with the latter becoming a red


Total cards

55% of games have had at least one card (72/130)

The All Blacks get a card every two games (0.50 per game)

The All Blacks’ opponents get a card every three games (0.33 per game)

There have been 4 games with 4 cards:

New Zealand (1 red, 2 yellows) vs Ireland (1 yellow) July 9th 2022. Ireland won 23-12.

Australia (1 red, 1 yellow) vs New Zealand (1 red, 1 yellow) November 7th 2020. AU won 24-22.

Argentina (2 yellows) vs New Zealand (2 yellows) October 1st 2017. NZ won 36-10.

New Zealand (2 yellows) vs South Africa (1 red, 1 yellow) September 14th 2013. NZ won 29-15.


All Blacks

Of the All Blacks’ 16 losses over this period:

They got red cards in 4 of them

6 had no cards for either team

3 the opposition got a yellow card

3 the All Blacks got a yellow card.

Of the 6 games where the All Blacks have had 2 yellow cards and the opposition none, the All Blacks have still won 5 of those games and tied the other.

The two facts above support the idea that “red cards lose games, but yellow cards don’t necessarily lose games”

Of the 5 draws over this period:

2 games had no cards

1 game had a yellow each

1 game the ABs got a yellow

1 game the ABs got 2 yellows


Other team stats of interest

IRELAND – In 11 matches vs Ireland over this period, the All Blacks have received 10 cards (1 red, 9 yellows) versus Ireland’s 2 yellows only. In the last 8 games, the ratio is 9 vs 1 card, and the teams have split the games with 4 wins each.

AUSTRALIA – The most cards the All Blacks have had over this period is 18 versus Australia. The teams have played 30 times over the last 10 years, with New Zealand getting 3 red cards (out of their 5 total) and 15 yellow cards. Australia has received 1 red card and 10 yellows in these games.

SCOTLAND – In the last 3 games versus Scotland, New Zealand has got 3 yellow cards and Scotland none.

WALES – In the last 8 games versus Wales, New Zealand has got 4 yellow cards and Wales none.

FRANCE – The All Blacks best discipline against the top tier teams is France, with 3 yellow cards in the last 11 games, compared to France’s 1 red, and 4 yellows.

ITALY – There have been no cards for either team in the last 4 games between New Zealand and Italy.

OTHER team cards vs the All Blacks are very similar tallies overall. Please contact us if you’d like the full data analysis.

Why do the All Blacks get 54% more yellow cards than their opposition?

Is this bad strategy, or does it reflect a “harder” style that pays dividends elsewhere?"

R
Rugby 346 days ago

But Bennie,


The AB’s aka the PACIFIC LIONS had the worst disciplinary record in the 2023 RWC. Don’t blame boks for the red card. Go to RWC stats and read, don’t let facts get in the way of a good story.


2 red and 5 yellow cards from 2023 world cup

R
Rugby 346 days ago

But Bennie book wurm,

In the final the Springboks were blessed with early penalties and the fateful red card to Sam Cane, the first of his professional career in 268 games of first class rugby.

Don’t let facts get in the way of a good story.


From

thefacts.nz

"Over the last 10 years, the All Blacks have received 54% more yellow cards than their opponents (60 vs 39)

The All Black with the most cards over this period is Kieran Read with 5 yellow cards.

5 All Blacks have received 3 cards over this time:

Sam Cane (3 yellow)"

R
Rugby 346 days ago

But Ben,

The AB's, aka the Pacific Lions in their 2023 RWC squad had 8 Non NZ born players. Boks were 100% natural. It was not 15 players v 14 because there were 1 red and 3 yellow cards. Don’t let facts get in the way of a good story.


1. Samisoni Frank Simpson Taukei'aho - Tongatapu, Tonga

2. Nepo Eti Laulala - Moto'otua, Samoa

3. Tyrel Shae Lomax - Canberra, Australia

4. Aniseto Ofa He Moori Tuʻungafasi - Nukuʻalofa, Tonga

5. Leicester Ofa Ki Wales Twickenham Fainga'anuku - Nukuʻalofa, Tonga

6. Emoni Narawa - Suva, Fiji

7. Finlay Turner Christie - Peebles, Scotland

8. Shannon Michael Frizell - Folaha, Tonga


Could have been 9 with Sevuloni Lasei Reece - Nadi, Fiji

H
HU 346 days ago

the objective must be building a (mostly new) RWC-contender team for 2027


sorry to say, but the objective is NOT, proving Ben Smith wrong ….


regardless: as other teams (except France) are also mostly in the re-building, guess, the results for the Boks should be a bit better this time


(P.S.: did Mr. Smith omit the B&I Lions Tour 2021 by accident or on purpose?)

B
BD 346 days ago

We are all still trying to figure out who Bennie is. I was so relieved to see it isn’t the legendary AB's fullback but some little pisser hiding behind a laptop. You should see this guy's pic, seriously.


Great try, Bennie. You're a big boy journo, yes you are, Bennie.

B
Brian 346 days ago

I'll take 4 world cups over 20 sanzaar cups every time thank you

B
BD 346 days ago

Facts.

B
BB 346 days ago

Pretty accurate assessment but the twinge of bitterness is clear in every Smith article on Springboks. Pity.

S
SF 346 days ago

Your writing is bitter as always, but this time I agree with you. The Boks must start winning in between WC's. If for nothing else, to shut you up.

R
Rodrigo 346 days ago

It seems to me that Springboks only unveils their true potential when the thing matters the most: RWC or Lions Tours for example. The rest of the time is just preparation for these two great events where some defeats are accepted based on a greater objective. They played 8 RWCs with 4 wins… 50%. No other nation can match that.

J
Jmann 347 days ago

Actually with an overall win percentage of 84.38% NZ is the most successful RWC team.

G
GH 346 days ago

Wow how the ABs have fallen. Shows when their fans perception of success is based on mediocrity. The Cup is what matters mate. Only one team who won it four times! The GREATEST RWC team in history!

H
HU 346 days ago

here is some more for your consolation:

- more final participation (5) thank any other team

- most tries scored

S
SB 346 days ago

Look at this brain fart…haha if that makes you sleep better at night then yeah go for it

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JW 38 minutes ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

I rated Lowe well enough to be an AB. Remember we were picking the likes of George Bridge above such players so theres no disputing a lot of bad decisions have been made by those last two coaches. Does a team like the ABs need a finicky winger who you have to adapt and change a lot of your style with to get benefit from? No, not really. But he still would have been a basic improvement on players like even Savea at the tail of his career, Bridge, and could even have converted into the answer of replacing Beauden at the back. Instead we persisted with NMS, Naholo, Havili, Reece, all players we would have cared even less about losing and all because Rieko had Lowe's number 11 jersey nailed down.


He was of course only 23 when he decided to leave, it was back in the beggining of the period they had started retaining players (from 2018 onwards I think, they came out saying theyre going to be more aggressive at some point). So he might, all of them, only just missed out.


The main point that Ed made is that situations like Lowe's, Aki's, JGP's, aren't going to happen in future. That's a bit of a "NZ" only problem, because those players need to reach such a high standard to be chosen by the All Blacks, were as a country like Ireland wants them a lot earlier like that. This is basically the 'ready in 3 years' concept Ireland relied on, versus the '5 years and they've left' concept' were that player is now ready to be chosen by the All Blacks (given a contract to play Super, ala SBW, and hopefully Manu).


The 'mercenary' thing that will take longer to expire, and which I was referring to, is the grandparents rule. The new kids coming through now aren't going to have as many gp born overseas, so the amount of players that can leave with a prospect of International rugby offer are going to drop dramatically at some point. All these kiwi fellas playing for a PI, is going to stop sadly.


The new era problem that will replace those old concerns is now French and Japanese clubs (doing the same as NRL teams have done for decades by) picking kids out of school. The problem here is not so much a national identity one, than it is a farm system where 9 in 10 players are left with nothing. A stunted education and no support in a foreign country (well they'll get kicked out of those countries were they don't in Australia).


It's the same sort of situation were NZ would be the big guy, but there weren't many downsides with it. The only one I can think was brought up but a poster on this site, I can't recall who it was, but he seemed to know a lot of kids coming from the Islands weren't really given the capability to fly back home during school xms holidays etc. That is probably something that should be fixed by the union. Otherwise getting someone like Fakatava over here for his last year of school definitely results in NZ being able to pick the cherries off the top but it also allows that player to develop and be able to represent Tonga and under age and possibly even later in his career. Where as a kid being taken from NZ is arguably going to be worse off in every respect other than perhaps money. Not going to develop as a person, not going to develop as a player as much, so I have a lotof sympathy for NZs case that I don't include them in that group but I certainly see where you're coming from and it encourages other countries to think they can do the same while not realising they're making a much worse experience/situation.

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