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Scarlets play-off hopes hit by home defeat to Stormers

By PA
(Photo by Ashley Vlotman/Gallo Images/Getty Images)

Scarlets’ hopes of claiming a play-off spot were dealt a significant blow after losing a hard-fought encounter 29-17 to a strong Stormers side.

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The game was in the balance throughout but Stormers had the edge in terms of creation and outscored their hosts by four tries to two.

Ben Loader, Deon Fourie, Andre Hugo-Venter and Leolin Zas scored tries for the South African side with Sacha Feinberg-Mngomezulu kicking a penalty and three conversions.

Ellis Mee and Ioan Nicholas touched down in reply for Scarlets with Ioan Lloyd converting both and adding a penalty, but it was not enough to prevent the Welsh side from suffering a seventh defeat of the season, leaving them 12th in the standings.

After a scrappy start to the match, Stormers took the lead in the 13th minute with a well-constructed try. Full-back Warrick Gelant was heavily involved in the move, which ended with former London Irish player Loader squeezing his way over in the corner.

Within three minutes, Scarlets were further behind when a clean break from Gelant split the home defence to shreds before Wandisile Simelane raced away to create the try for flanker Fourie.

Fourie departed soon after that having been dazed in a heavy collision and Scarlets took advantage when a long pass from Gareth Davies gave Mee a simple touchdown.

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However, on the stroke of half-time, Scarlets were dealt a double blow when first prop Alec Hepburn was sin-binned for a no-arms tackle on Feinberg-Mngomezulu, who got to his feet to knock over the resulting penalty.

Scarlets trailed 15-7 at the interval but despite Hepburn’s absence, they began the second half strongly and a period of pressure was rewarded when Nicholas forced his way over.

Hepburn returned but Stormers put daylight between the teams when Zas sped away to score from a pre-planned line-out move which bemused the opposition.

A simple penalty from Lloyd set up a tense finish but Stormers secured a bonus-point victory when replacement hooker Venter finished off a driving line-out.

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SK 46 minutes ago
Why the Brumbies are still the best team in Australia

It is honestly a disgraceful statistic that the reds have not taken a single 3 pointer this season when you consider statistics its hard to believe that. Lets do the maths quickly, you have a penalty from 40 out thats an 80% chance (conservative) for your kicker to get 3 because its in front. Easy come, easy go, you get those 3 points 80% of the time for 2.4 points on average per kick. Even if you dont nail it you start with territory as now its a 22 drop out so you can bring the ball back again. Now instead of taking an obvious 3 you kick to the corner from 40 out. You get the mall 5m out maybe 10% of the time, you get it 10-15m out maybe 50% of the time and 35% of the time your kicker knocks it between 22-15m out. Now stats show when you get a lineout 5m out you score maybe 50-60%% of the time but if you have an incredible mall and you are top of the pile this stat rises to something like 70-80% of the time take Glasgow and Leinster in URC or the Springboks for example. If you are 10m out your likelihood of scoring drops dramatically. Like 60% becomes 20% for example and this is just to get 5 points mind you, there is a 30-40%% chance you will not even add the 2 to make it a 7 pointer. So which is easier and better for you? Sure the game situation matters. If you are trailing by 15 the 3 may not be wise but the Reds have won 5 of their 8 matches this year and are a good team. They have plenty of chances to take the 3 in situations where its easier and logical to do so than going for the try. They have been involved in 3 games that finished with just 1 score between the sides. There have been plenty of opportunities to take 3 they just don’t care for it. No side in Rugby has ever won anything substantial this way. The Reds would do well to remember that and also remember that they will never usurp the Brumbies while they refuse to add a douse of pragmatism to their flair.

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