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Scotland and Argentina may be be destined for Pools of Death at next World Cup

Adam Hastings. (Photo by Ian MacNicol/Getty Images)

The latest reports out of France suggest that the draw for the 2023 World Cup won’t be delayed despite the significant disruption to the 2020 rugby calendar due to coronavirus, which could throw up some major challenges for the likes of Scotland and Argentina.

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In an interview with French paper L’Équipe, Claude Atcher, the Head of Rugby World Cup France 2023, confirmed that the draw would not be postponed from the planned November 30 date.

The only stipulation Atcher made was that the movements in the rankings due to the already played Six Nations matches won’t be taken into consideration unless the remaining matches from the competition are played, which would mean the draw would be based on the rankings upon the conclusion of last year’s World Cup in Japan.

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That would be disappointing news for the likes of Scotland and Argentina, who were ranked 9th and 10th at the end of the World Cup.

Both sides would be forced into a pool with two teams ranked inside the top eight, which would increase the chances of the two sides failing to progress to the knockout rounds of the competition for the second tournament in a row.

Currently, Scotland have climbed to 8th in the world on the back of their impressive run in the Six Nations which has seen them secure victories against France and Italy as well as coming within one score of both England and Ireland.

Outside of the Six Nations, where they have one game remaining against Wales, Scotland have a tough run of scheduled games in 2020, including two matches against the world champion Springboks (both in South Africa), two against the All Blacks (one in New Zealand) and two fixtures at Murrayfield against Japan and Argentina.

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The challenges aren’t any easier for Scotland’s rivals for a spot in the top eight, however, with Argentina hosting France and Italy, playing in the Rugby Championship and then travelling to Scotland, England and Wales at the end of the year.

Japan, meanwhile, will host England and Wales in July and New Zealand in November, then travel to Scotland and Ireland later in the year.

Seeding based on rankings after World Cup:

Band 1 teams: South Africa, New Zealand, England, Wales
Band 2 teams: Ireland, Australia, France, Japan
Band 3 teams: Scotland, Argentina, Fiji, Italy
Band 4 teams: Africa 1, Europe 1, Oceania 1, Americas 1
Band 5 teams: Oceania 2, Americas 2, Repechage 1, Repechage 2

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fl 9 hours ago
What is the future of rugby in 2025?

Smith generally isn't well connected to his forward pods; doesn't do a great job of distributing to those around him; and has inferior positional and contestable kicking games than Ford and Fin.


When England have had success over the past few years, its been either through (i) defensive rugby backed up with smart tactical kicking or (ii) high possession attacking phase play based on quick ruck ball. George Ford was key to the implementation of (i) in the RWC, and in the 6N win over Wales, and to the implementation of (ii) in the 6N games against Ireland and France. Smith did great at (ii) when running at tired defenders at the end of the Ireland match, but has never successfully implemented that gameplan from the start of a test because he doesn't distribute or support his forwards enough to create consistent fast ball and build attacks over multiple phases. Instead, his introduction to the starting side has resulted in much more playmaking responsibilities being forced onto whoever plays 9. Alex Mitchell copes ok with that, but I think he looks better with a more involved playmaking 10 outside him, and it really isn't a gameplan that works for JVP or Spencer. As a result of that the outside backs and centres have barely touched the ball when Smith has been at 10.


This might not have been too much of a disaster, as England have seemed to be moving slightly towards the sort of attacking gameplan that France played under Labit and Quins play (I think this was especially their approach when they won the league a few years ago - but its still a part of their play now), which is based on kicking to create broken field rugby. This is (i) a sharp departure from the gameplans that have worked for England in the past few seasons; (ii) bears very little relation to the tactical approaches of the non-Quins players in the England team; and (iii) is an absolute disaster for the blitz defence, which is weak in transition. Unsurprisingly, it has coincided with a sharp decline in England's results.

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