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Here's where it gets sticky for Scotland

Scotland's fly-half Finn Russell speaks to the referee during the Pre-World Cup Friendly Rugby Union match between Scotland and France at Murrayfield Stadium in Edinburgh, Scotland, on August 5, 2023. (Photo by Paul ELLIS / AFP) (Photo by PAUL ELLIS/AFP via Getty Images)

It was only a warm-up game. And it was only a heavily rotated France fielding almost none of their heaviest hitters. But by the way Murrayfield shuddered and swayed as Scotland dug in against the final French onslaught, by how Gregor Townsend bellowed with joy in the coaching box as Ben O’Keeffe blew for a Scottish penalty at the death, it could have been a World Cup final.

If ever a match encapsulated the madcap nature of Scottish rugby, it was this one. A team just as capable of shooting the lights out as they are shooting themselves in the foot. A meek first-half showing devoid of possession and cohesion, peppered with sloppy passes, bungled lineouts and average kicking. A second forty with pretty much all the elements that will be needed to escape the most ferocious of World Cup pools in a month’s time.

Scotland cannot play as poorly as they did in the opening half and expect to live with any of the game’s elite, least of all South Africa’s irrepressible power or Ireland’s multi-phase cyanide. Equally, should they deliver the kind of rugby that had France flailing thereafter, they have enough ammunition to challenge either of the beasts they must slay to reach the quarter-finals.

The panache of the second half should not expunge the pallor of the first. After a sprightly opening, which yielded a Finn Russell penalty, Scotland fell into a weird stupor. A kind of funk they seemed incapable of shaking. They could not generate go-forward or gain a territorial foothold. By the interval, they had shipped three tries, lost several lineouts, failed to make a single line break and been dynamited on the floor by an athletic French pack. Of the ruck ball France generated, 86 per cent of it was recycled in under three seconds. The territory figure was 61:39 in the visitors’ favour.

Remember, this was not the France of the Six Nations. The glittering winning machine which swept each of rugby’s major nations aside en route to 19 straight victories. Australia, New Zealand, South Africa, Argentina, Japan and each of the Tier One European opponents were scalped in that time. Only Ireland, on the Grand Slam trail, halted Fabien Galthie’s crashing tsunami. France fielded almost none of their front-liners in Edinburgh. The superhuman Antoine Dupont and Romain Ntamack were not utilised. Baptiste Couilloud, starting in place of Dupont, is probably Galthie’s third-choice scrum-half. The top-tier centres, Jonathan Danty and Gael Fickou, did not feature. Damien Penaud – by common consent, the best wing in the northern hemisphere – was left out. Cyrille Baille, Julien Marchand and Uini Atonio, Galthie’s premier front-row unit, was nowhere to be seen. Charles Ollivon, the back-row talisman, was a spectator. So were the enormous Gregory Alldritt, Anthony Jelonch, another destroyer, galloping lock Thibaud Flament, and points accumulator Thomas Ramos.

In their stead, a much-changed French team, callow in some quarters, took Murrayfield by storm. So much upheaval, so many months since their last international, on the final day of the Six Nations in March, and yet they found gears Scotland could not.

Louis Bielle-Biarrey was the most eye-catching new face, the 20-year-old Bordeaux-Begles flyer helping set up Couilloud for a beautiful opener and slicing Scotland open to bag a second France try on his Test debut. Word is, Bielle-Biarrey has clocked sound barrier-smashing times of over 39kph in training – faster, even, than his illustrious colleague, Penaud. In France, they call him ‘the electric scooter’.

Emilien Gailleton, another 20-year-old in his first international, shimmered too. In a labouring Pau team, Gailleton scored 14 tries in 24 Top 14 matches last season.

With its immense television deal, thriving second tier, JIFF quota system, rampant Under-20s and vibrant public following, French rugby is in the rudest of health. Shiny new products are plopping off their production line by the boxload. Galthie has a vast pool from which to select his World Cup 33, and to carry into the next four-year cycle. Scotland go to France next weekend and will likely face an entirely different, and substantially more
familiar, home side.

Concern now turns from Scotland’s tame start to Zander Fagerson’s jittery future. Disciplinary penance beckons for the tight-head prop after his red card for a dangerous clear-out on Pierre Bourgarit. Fagerson’s charge was not malicious, but in failing to lever Bourgarit legally off the ruck, instead clattering him about the face with a giant arm, he was always doomed.

Fagerson is Scotland’s hardest forward to replace. In every other position in the pack, Townsend has options, bountiful and reliable in most cases. At tight-head, 37-year-old WP Nel is Fagerson’s back-up. Save the genius of Russell, Fagerson is the player Townsend would least like to lose.

And here’s where it gets sticky. For the big man has previous. He was sent off for a similar clear-out against Wales two years ago and Scotland’s players did not exactly take the sanction quietly. While in both cases, Fagerson had no intent to hit the ruck dangerously, it will be hard for him to earn the customarily generous mitigation.

He got four games, reduced from six, for his collision with Wyn Jones. Scotland have two more warm-up matches before their pool opener against the Springboks. These will be  anxious days for Fagerson. His World Cup fate dangles in the balance.

“We just have to hope the judiciary see the same as we see,” Townsend said post-match.

“I’ve seen the incident again and he does adjust his feet [unlike in the previous case against Wales]. There wasn’t much speed, it wasn’t reckless, he just didn’t get under Bourgarit’s chest, which can happen in the 200 ruck clears or whatever happen in the game.

“I hope they see there was nothing reckless in there, nothing out of control, it was just a timing issue in how he couldn’t get under the jackaler.”

Midway through the first half, Townsend was shorn of Ben White. An ankle injury forced the scrum-half to the sidelines. White has cemented his place as Scotland’s premier number nine and any lay-off would be cruel and costly.

Points Flow Chart

Scotland win +4
Time in lead
28
Mins in lead
52
33%
% Of Game In Lead
62%
22%
Possession Last 10 min
78%
3
Points Last 10 min
0

“Ben is much more positive now,” Townsend went on. “It was an area he had an issue with at the beginning of our World Cup camp but he’s been training fully for six weeks. He is off to hospital just to make sure there is nothing in the scan. It might be he struggles to  play this week but hopefully he will be available for the World Cup.”

Such is the fraught business of these matches. A player may fear tournament-scuppering injury more than defeat. But he can make himself undroppable too. Townsend reckons no more than 10 places in his final 33-strong squad are up for grabs, a week-and-a-half before the final cut are confirmed on 16th August. He fielded his strongest-possible XV against the French and none of the incumbents did much to harm their cause.

In fact, Dave Cherry, a second-half replacement, has given Townsend something to think about. Cherry doesn’t have the explosiveness of George Turner or Ewan Ashman on open prairie, but he is arguably Scotland’s finest set-piece hooker. The lineout improved after his introduction. An average of close to five metres per run is decent going too. And he was shrewd enough to squeeze home off the back of a trundling maul for what proved the winning try.

Darcy Graham continued his scintillating return from a long spell on the treatment table. If you were picking a World XV tomorrow, the fearsome little Borderer would be bang in contention. There can be few players anywhere in the world with Graham’s power-to-weight ratio, never mind his bewitching footwork and top-end speed. The gallus streak which courses through so many top athletes forever burns to the fore with Graham. He makes yards he simply should not. He bamboozles tacklers who really ought to bury him. He can run down the darkest of alleyways and find the tiniest chink of light.

Graham, scuttling on to a deft Russell crosskick, sparked the Scottish revival three minutes into the second half. He finished with 83m from his 15 carries – only Brice Dulin ran with the ball more times – beat five Frenchmen and took his incredible try tally to 19 in his past 16 matches for club and country. What a precious asset he will prove in France.

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Scotland Darcy Graham
Darcy Graham celebrates (PA)

Duhan van der Merwe did not score, but did nothing to suggest his mighty impact is waning. The slew of aching French defenders bludgeoned by the juggernaut will attest to that. Blair Kinghorn lanced smartly into the line, seeming more at ease in his old full-back role than in the more recently adopted fly-half berth. The Graham-Kinghorn-Van der Merwe axis looks every inch Townsend’s go-to back-three.

The replacements – especially Cherry and Rory Darge – brought the required levels of energy and grit, five of them emptied off the bench soon after Fagerson’s dismissal.

“We showed much more of who we are in that second half, both in attack and defence,” Townsend said.

Related

“To do it with one fewer player for the majority of the second half is going to be really positive for the players’ level of belief. We know we have got to improve a lot more ahead of next week.”

For Scotland to overturn a 21-3 half-time deficit gives them lungfuls of belief. That they did so with 14 men for 27 of the final 40 minutes was all the more heartening. It was a warm-up game, against weakened opposition, but it didn’t feel like one. It won’t in a week’s time either when Galthie unshackles his big dogs on their own patch. This is how it should be. Maybe this is how it has to be, if Scotland are to pull off the spectacular in September.

The challenges only get tougher from here.

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1 Comment
C
Chris 468 days ago

All this is true.
But as a frenchman, I would like to add that even though it was not the "A" team, the team that played on Saturday played with all the rage they could as Galthier has clearly said that this game should be used for them to prove that they are RWC material and hope to get in the 33.
So I would not be too hard on Scotland, even the A team would have had a difficult time in Murrayfield this Saturday. Hope Fagerson will be available, I would love to see a strong Scottish team this WC (and will watch their opening game in Marseille against SA...... hope it will be a fair contest as an upset would guarantee a brilliant night out !) ;)

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JW 1 hour ago
France outwrestle All Blacks in titanic Test for one-point win

Yeah nar I pretty much agree with that sentiment, wasn't just about the lineout though.


Yeah, I think it's the future of SR, even TRC. Graham above just now posting about how good a night it was with a dbl header of ENGvSA and NZvFrance, and now I don't want to kick SA or Argentina out of TRC but it would be great if in this next of the woods 2 more top teams could come in to create more of these sort of nights (for rugby's appeal). Often Arg and SA and both travel here and you get those games but more often doesn't work out right.


Obviously a long way off but USA and Japan are the obvious two. First thing we need to do is get Eddie Jones kicked out of Japan so they can start improving again and then get a couple of US teams in SRP (even if one its just a US based and augmented Jaguares).


It will start off the whole conferences are crap debate again (which I will continue to argue vehemently against), but imagine a 6 team Pacific conference, Tokyo Sunwolves (drafted from Tokyo JRLO teams), Tokyo All Stars (made up of best remaining foreign players and overseas drafts), ALL Nihon (best of local non Tokyo based talent, inc China/Korea etc, with mainland Japan), a could of West Coast american franchises and perhaps a second self PI driven Hawai'i based team, or Jagaures. So I see a short NFL like 3 or 4 month comp as fitting best, maybe not even a full round, NZvAUSvPAC, all games taking place within a 6hr window. Model for NZ will definitely still require a competitive and funded NPC!


On the Crusaders, I liked last years ending with Grace on the bench (ovbiously form dependent but thats how it ended) and Lio-Willie at 8. I could have Blackadder trying to be a 7 but think balance will be used with him at 6 and Kellow as 7. Scott Barrett is an international 6 sized player. It is just NZ style/model that pushes him into the tight, I reckon he'd be a great loose player, and saders have Strange and Cahill as bigger players (plus that change could draw someone like Darry back). Same with Haig now, hes not grown yet but Barrett hight and been playing 6, now that the Highlanders have only chosen two locks he'll be playing lock, and that is going to change his growth trajectory massively, rather than seeing him grow like an International 6.

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T
Tom 1 hour ago
England player ratings vs South Africa | 2024 Autumn Nations Series

Interesting post. I realise that try was down to Marcus Smith not Slade, this is why I mentioned that England's attack is completely reliant on Smith working miracles. Just wanted to highlight that Slade's little touch was classy and most English players would have cocked it up. Earl has gas, he's very athletic but Underhill is nailed on at 7 in my eyes though. They both need to be on the pitch so we need a tall 6 or 8 to complement them which we have in CCS and potentially Ollie Chessum. We also have young Henry Pollock who may be the 7 by the world cup.


The whole attack needs an overhaul but Richard Wigglesworth our attack coach was a very limited scrum half who excelled at box kicking and had no running game. Spent most of his career with Saracens who mauled, defended and set pieced their way to victory.... Which might have been ok if Felix Jones hadn't quit and been replaced by a guy who coaches Oyonnax who have one of the worst defences in the French 2nd division. I'm not too emotionally invested in England right now because this coaching setup isn't capable of winning anything.


England had no attack when they were winning under Eddie either. They battered teams with huge dominant tackles and won from pressure. The last time England had any creativity in attack was the Stuart Lancaster/Mike Catt era. They played some fantastic attacking rugby but results were mediocre, lots of 2nd place finishes in the 6N although it felt like we were building something special until we got brutally dumped out of our home world cup in the pool stage.

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J
JW 2 hours ago
England player ratings vs South Africa | 2024 Autumn Nations Series

As has been the way all year, and for all England's play I can remember. I missed a lot of the better years under Eddie though.


Lets have a look at the LQB for the last few games... 41% under 3 sec compared to 56% last week, 47% in the game you felt England best in against NZ, and 56 against Ireland.


That was my impression as well. Dunno if that is a lack of good counterattack ball from the D, forward dominance (Post Contact Meters stats reversed yesterday compared to that fast Ireland game), or some Borthwick scheme, but I think that has been highlighted as Englands best point of difference this year with their attack, more particularly how they target using it in certain areas. So depending on how you look at it, not necessarily the individual players.


You seem to be falling into the same trap as NZs supporters when it comes to Damien McKenzie. That play you highlight Slade in wasn't one of those LQB situations from memory, that was all on the brilliance of Smith. Sure, Slade did his job in that situation, but Smith far exceeded his (though I understand it was a move Sleightholme was calling for). But yeah, it's not always going to be on a platter from your 10 and NZ have been missing that Slade line, in your example, more often than not too. When you go back to Furbank and Feyi-Waboso returns you'll have that threat again. Just need to generate that ball, wait for some of these next Gen forwards to come through etc, the props and injured 6 coming back to the bench. I don't think you can put Earl back to 7, unless he spends the next two years speeding up (which might be good for him because he's getting beat by speed like he's not used to not having his own speed to react anymore).

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