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'Scotland will definitely be favourites but I think Wales have to win'

Scotland v Wales/ PA

Wales and Scotland will arrive in Cardiff on Saturday in vastly different states of mind after the first round of the Guinness Six Nations delivered misery and joy in equal measure.

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Wayne Pivac’s men suffered a humbling loss to Ireland in Dublin while Gregor Townsend’s enjoyed a memorable Calcutta Cup triumph. Scotland are now on the brink of their best start of the Six Nations era, while Wales are on the brink of their worst in over a decade.

When, where and how to watch the match
The match will kick-off at 14:15 (UK) on Saturday February 12th at the Principality Stadium and will be broadcast live on the BBC in the UK and S4C in Wales, RTÉ in Ireland, Stan Sport in Australia and SuperSport in South Africa.

Head-to-head
Wales have got the better of Scotland on 74 occasions since their first match in 1883, losing 50 times and producing three draws. They have also won eight of their last ten contests, and 17 of their last 20. Scotland, however, won the last time the two sides met in Wales, in an empty Parc y Scarlets in 2020, but have not won in Cardiff since 2002.

Match odds from bet365
bet365 have the handicap on Scotland at +2, with 5/4 odds that Wales win. There are also 20/1 odds that the two sides achieve their fourth draw in their history.

Six Nations Early Payout Offer with bet365*

Single bets paid out as winners, if the team you back goes 15 points ahead – for multiple bets the selection will be marked as a winner.
Only available to new and eligible customers. Bet restrictions and T&Cs apply. 18+ BeGambleAware.org

Prediction
Former captains of Wales and Scotland, Sam Warburton and John Barclay, joined Ugo Monye on the BBC’s Six Nations Rugby this week, where they both looked ahead to the weekend.

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Warburton conceded that Scotland are favourites, but sent a stern message to his compatriots. “Wales can only focus on the next game and Scotland are coming down to Wales in the best place they’ve been in since I can remember,” he said.

“Scotland are favourites, Scotland will definitely be favourites. I think Wales have to win, because I think if they don’t win against Scotland they go to Twickenham in round three, where if they don’t win they could be zero from three. And then they go into play France and they finish off with Italy. They don’t want to go into Italy zero from four. They don’t want to put themselves under that pressure, so huge game next week to beat Scotland.”

While history may not be on Scotland’s side when they arrive at the Principality Stadium, Barclay looked at Scotland’s win at Twickenham last year for the first time since 1983 as a reason why Stuart Hogg and his side will be buoyant. He said: “It’s not been a happy hunting ground, but they hadn’t won at Twickenham until last year. They’ve backed up results and the pressure is on them and I think that is the difference with this Scotland team, they’re backing up results when people are expecting them to win. So huge game for Scotland next week 1oo percent.”

*Odds accurate as of 08/02/22.

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J
JW 2 hours ago
'Passionate reunion of France and New Zealand shows Fabien Galthie is wrong to rest his stars'

Ok, managed to read the full article..

... New Zealand’s has only 14 and the professional season is all over within four months. In France, club governance is the responsibility of an independent organisation [the Ligue Nationale de Rugby or LNR] which is entirely separate from the host union [the Fédération Française de Rugby or FFR]. Down south New Zealand Rugby runs the provincial and the national game.

That is the National Provincial Championship, a competition of 14 representative union based teams run through the SH international window and only semi professional (paid only during it's running). It is run by NZR and goes for two and a half months.


Super Rugby is a competition involving 12 fully professional teams, of which 5 are of New Zealand eligibility, and another joint administered team of Pacific Island eligibility, with NZR involvement. It was a 18 week competition this year, so involved (randomly chosen I believe) extra return fixtures (2 or 3 home and away derbys), and is run by Super Rugby Pacific's own independent Board (or organisation). The teams may or may not be independently run and owned (note, this does not necessarily mean what you think of as 'privately owned').


LNR was setup by FFR and the French Government to administer the professional game in France. In New Zealand, the Players Association and Super Rugby franchises agreed last month to not setup their own governance structure for professional rugby and re-aligned themselves with New Zealand Rugby. They had been proposing to do something like the English model, I'm not sure how closely that would have been aligned to the French system but it did not sound like it would have French union executive representation on it like the LNR does.

In the shaky isles the professional pyramid tapers to a point with the almighty All Blacks. In France the feeling for country is no more important than the sense of fierce local identity spawned at myriad clubs concentrated in the southwest. Progress is achieved by a nonchalant shrug and the wide sweep of nuanced negotiation, rather than driven from the top by a single intense focus.

Yes, it is pretty much a 'representative' selection system at every level, but these union's are having to fight for their existence against the regime that is NZR, and are currently going through their own battle, just as France has recently as I understand it. A single focus, ala the French game, might not be the best outcome for rugby as a whole.


For pure theatre, it is a wonderful article so far. I prefer 'Ntamack New Zealand 2022' though.

The young Crusader still struggles to solve the puzzle posed by the shorter, more compact tight-heads at this level but he had no problem at all with Colombe.

It was interesting to listen to Manny during an interview on Maul or Nothing, he citied that after a bit of banter with the All Black's he no longer wanted one of their jersey's after the game. One of those talks was an eye to eye chat with Tamaiti Williams, there appear to be nothing between the lock and prop, just a lot of give and take. I thought TW angled in and caused Taylor to pop a few times, and that NZ were lucky to be rewarded.

f you have a forward of 6ft 8ins and 145kg, and he is not at all disturbed by a dysfunctional set-piece, you are in business.

He talked about the clarity of the leadership that helped alleviate any need for anxiety at the predicaments unfolding before him. The same cannot be said for New Zealand when they had 5 minutes left to retrieve a match winning penalty, I don't believe. Did the team in black have much of a plan at any point in the game? I don't really call an autonomous 10 vehicle they had as innovative. I think Razor needs to go back to the dealer and get a new game driver on that one.

Vaa’i is no match for his power on the ground. Even in reverse, Meafou is like a tractor motoring backwards in low gear, trampling all in its path.

Vaa'i actually stops him in his tracks. He gets what could have been a dubious 'tackle' on him?

A high-level offence will often try to identify and exploit big forwards who can be slower to reload, and therefore vulnerable to two quick plays run at them consecutively.

Yes he was just standing on his haunches wasn't he? He mentioned that in the interview, saying that not only did you just get up and back into the line to find the opposition was already set and running at you they also hit harder than anything he'd experienced in the Top 14. He was referring to New Zealands ultra-physical, burst-based Super style of course, which he was more than a bit surprised about. I don't blame him for being caught out.


He still sent the obstruction back to the repair yard though!

What wouldn’t the New Zealand rugby public give to see the likes of Mauvaka and Meafou up front..

Common now Nick, don't go there! Meafou showed his Toulouse shirt and promptly got his citizenship, New Zealand can't have him, surely?!?


As I have said before with these subjects, really enjoy your enthusiasm for their contribution on the field and I'd love to see more of their shapes running out for Vern Cotter and the like styled teams.

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