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Sonny Bill predicts more misery for Wales as ranking humiliation awaits

Warren Gatland, Head Coach of Wales shakes hands with Sonny Bill Williams of New Zealand after their respective last matches following the Rugby World Cup 2019 Bronze Final match between New Zealand and Wales at Tokyo Stadium on November 01, 2019 in Chofu, Tokyo, Japan. (Photo by Michael Steele/Getty Images)

Former All Blacks centre Sonny Bill Williams has flagged more misery for Wales in Round 4 of the Guinness Six Nations – predicting Italy will defeat Warren Gatland’s men in Rome.

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If Italy beats Wales, the Azzurri will become the higher-ranked of the two teams for the first time since February 2013.

A win for Italy will see them climb three places and enter the world’s top 10 for the first time in a decade. Wales will drop out of the top 10 for the first time in defeat and could fall as low as 13th if the Azzurri beat them by a big enough margin. Alternatively, a Welsh victory will result in them climbing above Japan and into ninth place.

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Johnny Sexton is asked if this is the best Scotland side he has ever faced

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Johnny Sexton is asked if this is the best Scotland side he has ever faced

Williams clearly believes the former will happen, writing on Twitter: “Italy to beat wales [sic]. England gets the dub with the young gun Smith having a blinder. Ireland getting that grand slam [sic].”

Indeed Ireland will retain their top spot in the World Rugby rankings if they avoid a defeat against Scotland in the final fixture of the Guinness Six Nations at Murrayfield on Sunday, even if Les Bleus have won the previous day.

If France lose to England by more than 15 points at Twickenham on Saturday, and Ireland beat Scotland by at least the same margin, their lead could be extended to 3.09 points. In such a scenario, New Zealand and South Africa would move up one place, to second and third, with Fabien Galthie’s men falling to fourth.

However, if France beats Steve Borthwick’s side and Ireland loses, then France will replace Ireland as the world’s best team. Ireland cannot drop any lower than second place, but in a best-case scenario, Les Bleus can lead the rankings by 1.40 points.

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England could trade places with Scotland if they beat Les Bleus with any margin of victory or even a draw, as long as Scotland lose at home to Ireland the following day. However, if both England and Scotland win, England will only become the higher-ranked team if their victory is by more than 15 points and Scotland fails to match that margin.

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South Africa is currently ranked fourth and has more than five points than fifth-ranked Scotland. Therefore, even with a maximum of 2.26 points on offer for a home win, Scotland cannot improve on fifth place. Meanwhile, England is guaranteed to retain the sixth place regardless of the result against France.

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J
JW 22 minutes ago
'Passionate reunion of France and New Zealand shows Fabien Galthie is wrong to rest his stars'

Where? I remember saying "unders"? The LNR was formed by the FFR, if I said that in a way that meant the 'pro' side of the game didn't have an equal representation/say as the 'amateur' side (FFR remit) that was not my intent.


But also, as it is the governing body, it also has more responsibility. As long as WR looks at FFR as the running body for rugby in France, that 'power' will remain. If the LNR refuses to govern their clubs use of players to enable a request by FFR (from WR) to ensure it's players are able to compete in International rugby takes place they will simply remove their participation. If the players complain to the France's body, either of their health and safety concerns (through playing too many 'minutes' etc) or that they are not allowed to be part in matches of national interest, my understanding is action can be taken against the LNR like it could be any other body/business. I see where you're coming from now re EPCR and the shake up they gave it, yes, that wasn't meant to be a separate statement to say that FFR can threaten them with EPCR expulsion by itself, simply that it would be a strong repercussion for those teams to be removed (no one would want them after the above).


You keep bringing up these other things I cannot understand why. Again, do you think if the LNR were not acting responsibly they would be able to get away with whatever they want (the attitude of these posters saying "they pay the players")? You may deem what theyre doing currently as being irresponsible but most do not. Countries like New Zealand have not even complained about it because they've never had it different, never got things like windfall TV contracts from France, so they can't complain because theyre not missing out on anything. Sure, if the French kept doing things like withholding million dollar game payments, or causing millions of dollars of devaluation in rights, they these things I'm outlining would be taking place. That's not the case currently however, no one here really cares what the French do. It's upto them to sort themselves out if they're not happy. Now, that said, if they did make it obvious to World Rugby that they were never going to send the French side away (like they possibly did stating their intent to exclude 20 targeted players) in July, well then they would simply be given XV fixtures against tier 2 sides during that window and the FFR would need to do things like the 50/50 revenue split to get big teams visiting in Nov.

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