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South Africa left out in the cold for developing 2020 mid-year schedule

(Photo by Adam Pretty/Getty Images)

International rugby will go through the smallest of changes in 2020 with the mid-year Test window relocating from June to July.

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The fixtures themselves are slowly being released, with Americas Rugby News now reporting that Argentina will likely host France and Italy next year.

This latest development could spell bad news for South Africa, with the top four European sides all having fairly packed schedules, if all the rumours are true.

New Zealand Rugby confirmed earlier this year that the All Blacks will host Wales (twice) and Scotland next season.

Australia are expected to unveil their own schedule shortly, which should see the Wallabies play Ireland (twice) and Fiji.

Continue reading below…

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England’s official travel agents have promoted a two-match series between England and the current World Cup hosts, Japan.

Factor in the latest news from ARN, which suggests that France will play two games in Argentina then return home via Japan, and suddenly South Africa’s opposition cupboard is looking incredibly bare.

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Of the Six Nations teams, all six already have matches lined up (confirmed or rumoured) for July. There are a few gaps in the calendar, of course; Ireland, Wales and England will all likely play an extra match.

It would be unusual for any of those sides to travel all the way to South Africa for just one game, however, after already spending two weeks in Australia, New Zealand and Japan, respectively.

Scotland or Italy could be South Africa’s saving grace – they both still have two spots left in their schedule – but it would be a major blow to the World Cup finalists to not host one of the big four Northern Hemisphere sides.

It should also be concerning for Springboks fans that England have confirmed 2020 end-of-year matches against New Zealand, Australia and Argentina – which means that there won’t be a World Cup final rematch next season.

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https://www.instagram.com/p/B4Ltfd4g7JN/

The current holes in the calendar could point to a number of games between tier one and tier two teams, which will come as a great relief to many fans around the world.

There’s been plenty of discussion regarding how the likes of Japan and Fiji can be better integrated into the current Test calendar and it looks like 2020 will kick off with at least a few inter-tier fixtures.

At this stage, at least, it looks like South Africa could be the nation that loses out the most thanks to the changing programme.

Speaking of rumours, it sounds like Dave Rennie coaching the Wallabies from 2020 is a done deal:

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J
JW 3 hours ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

I had a look at the wiki article again, it's all terribly old data (not that I'd see reason for much change in the case of SA).

Number Of Clubs:

1526

Registered+Unregistered Players:

651146

Number of Referees:

3460

Pre-teen Male Players:

320842

Pre-teen Female Player:

4522

Teen Male Player:

199213

Teen Female Player:

4906

Senior Male Player:

113174

Senior Female Player:

8489

Total Male Player:

633229

Total Female Player:

17917


So looking for something new as were more concerned with adults specifically, so I had a look at their EOY Financial Review.

The total number of clubs remains consistent, with a marginal increase of 1% from 1,161 to 1,167. 8.1.

A comparative analysis of verified data for 2022 and 2023 highlights a marginal decline of 1% in the number of female players, declining from 6,801 to 6,723. Additionally, the total number of players demonstrates an 8% decrease, dropping from 96,172 to 88,828.

So 80k+ adult males (down from 113k), but I'm not really sure when youth are involved with SAn clubs, or if that data is for some reason not being referenced/included. 300k male students however (200k in old wiki data).


https://resources.world.rugby/worldrugby/document/2020/07/28/212ed9cf-cd61-4fa3-b9d4-9f0d5fb61116/P56-57-Participation-Map_v3.pdf has France at 250k registered but https://presse-europe1-fr.translate.goog/exclu-europe-1-le-top-10-des-sports-les-plus-pratiques-en-france-en-2022/?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en&_x_tr_pto=wapp has them back up at 300k registered.


The French number likely Students + Club, but everyone collects data different I reckon. In that WR pdf for instance a lot of the major nations have a heavily registered setup, were as a nation like England can penetrate into a lot more schools to run camps and include them in the reach of rugby. For instance the SARU release says only 29% of schools are reached by proper rugby programs, where as the 2million English number would be through a much much higer penetration I'd imagine. Which is thanks to schools having the ability to involve themselves in programs more than anything.


In any case, I don't think you need to be concerned with the numbers, whether they are 300 or 88k, there is obviously a big enough following for their pro scenes already to have enough quality players for a 10/12 team competition. They appear ibgger than France but I don't really by the lower English numbers going around.

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