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Why Springboks are World Cup favourites after ‘statement’ win over All Blacks

Faf de Klerk celebrates the Springboks try. Photo by David Rogers/Getty Images

The in-form Springboks might be worthy of the ‘favourites’ tag ahead of the upcoming Rugby World Cup after recording frighteningly dominant wins over Wales and New Zealand last month.

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South Africa started their preparations for this year’s World Cup with a big win over Eddie Jones’ Wallabies in Pretoria. It was a statement win, but they needed to back it up.

But the Boks took on fierce rivals the All Blacks at Auckland’s Mt Smart Stadium a week later, and the result was never really in doubt. The hosts put on a show as they ran away with a 35-20 win.

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Two wins over Argentina followed, but the Boks looked like a shadow of their former selves – and time was running out.

But fear no more Springboks fans, your rugby heroes have come of age ahead of their Rugby World Cup title defence.  The Boks beat Wales and New Zealand by incredible margins, and will go into their tournament opener full of confidence.

“A month ago I was slamming them when in cold in Mt Smart, they got blitzed in the first 20 minutes, and I asked for a statement performance in Johannesburg against Argentina. They snuck in by one point,” South African scribe Mark Keohane said on Weekend Sport with Jason Pine.

“I wrote a scathing column saying, ‘Come on, give us that statement performance.’

“They went to Cardiff, they won 52-16… Then the All Blacks picked what they could, their best 15 to start, and then Rassie pulled the great one – seven on one, Twickenham.

Head-to-Head

Last 3 Meetings

Wins
3
Draws
0
Wins
0
Average Points scored
25
13
First try wins
100%
Home team wins
33%

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“Looking at that scoreboard, 35-nil after 65 minutes and  I couldn’t believe it. Seven of the nine worst-ever Springbok defeats have come against the old enemy, the All Blacks.

“It was really the statement performance… they go into the World Cup on a high and New Zealand, for me, go in with some serious questions, once again about their forward pack.

“The Springboks, two big statement performances just a the right time.”

The convincing win over Wales was a step in the right direction, but the Boks’ highly anticipated clash with the All Blacks in London was always going to be a defining challenge.

South Africa dominated the territory and possession battle from minute one at Twickenham, but they couldn’t quite turn their pressure into points at first.

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But tries to Siya Kolisi and Kurt-Lee Arendse, and a second yellow card to All Blacks lock Scott Barrett just before the break, opened the floodgates.

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The Boks put on an attacking clinic in the second half, with the All Blacks falling to their worst-ever defeat 35-7.

“In the professional era, it’s right up there because again, the quality of the opposition,” Keohane explained.

“This wasn’t a New Zealand second-string side that played in Dunedin, this was a very good All Blacks side that went out there and just got blitzed.

“It was a great performance. We speak about the traditional South Africa and New Zealand rivalry, in the professional era, it’s coming in blips.

“A lot of people have said it’s a meaningless game, the All Blacks were cold – they haven’t played for four weeks, (but) it was a big, big result for South Africa, and a big, big confidence booster ahead of the World Cup.”

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Comments

25 Comments
J
James 472 days ago

Great performance by the Boks, but the AB were not at their best. I believe the tournament is wide open this year, about the most even it has ever been.

B
B.J. Spratt 474 days ago

No game between New Zealand and South Africa is ever "meaningless"

It's the pinnacle of any All Black or Springbok player's career.

Ahead of all other test matches, with all other nations.

Our forwards have been "average" since 2015.

We just haven't been able to match the ability of that Champion Team who won the 2015 World Rugby Cup.

The problem South Africa has now is "to get back up" to that mental peak, where they could have beaten any team in the world.

It just happened to be the All Blacks.

France or Ireland will be harder.

S
Snash 475 days ago

if Boks win they will take RWC winning record from 43% to 50% (4/8 after being excluded from '87 and '91) leaving the ABs on 33% - the kinda stat that would make Ben Smith go nuts / nuttier ?

G
Gerald 475 days ago

Let the games begin. Tired of all the nonsense and drivel been shared. Bottom line a number of teams can win. For sure the most even and competitive WC probably ever.

G
Glen 475 days ago

Keohane should stop peddling and just admit he made a kak call with all his comments and move on...You're NOT South Africa's messiah sports writer as you so much would like to think...

D
Def Kiwi 475 days ago

AB beat France by roughly 50 points in the lead up of 1999 and 2007. Conversely, they got massacred by the French in Nantes ‘86

TLDR, pre RWC form is irrelevant

P
Pecos 476 days ago

Death knell sounded.

C
Chris 476 days ago

The France game will show if the All Blacks have real forward problems or not. I think they will be much better and surprise everyone and beat the French, only to bow out against an Ireland team that will hit form later into the tournament after losing to South Africa 🇿🇦 I will not be surprised at all if we meet the Irish again in the final.

C
CT 476 days ago

France are favourites,bokkies looking good

S
Scott 476 days ago

It was a fantastic test performance by Springboks and a very poor one by the All Blacks.

However, World Cup history shows the favourites very rarely win the RWC and form in the warm-up tests and even pool matches are poor indicators of performance in the knockout rounds.

It’s all about performance on the day.

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JW 2 hours ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

I rated Lowe well enough to be an AB. Remember we were picking the likes of George Bridge above such players so theres no disputing a lot of bad decisions have been made by those last two coaches. Does a team like the ABs need a finicky winger who you have to adapt and change a lot of your style with to get benefit from? No, not really. But he still would have been a basic improvement on players like even Savea at the tail of his career, Bridge, and could even have converted into the answer of replacing Beauden at the back. Instead we persisted with NMS, Naholo, Havili, Reece, all players we would have cared even less about losing and all because Rieko had Lowe's number 11 jersey nailed down.


He was of course only 23 when he decided to leave, it was back in the beggining of the period they had started retaining players (from 2018 onwards I think, they came out saying theyre going to be more aggressive at some point). So he might, all of them, only just missed out.


The main point that Ed made is that situations like Lowe's, Aki's, JGP's, aren't going to happen in future. That's a bit of a "NZ" only problem, because those players need to reach such a high standard to be chosen by the All Blacks, were as a country like Ireland wants them a lot earlier like that. This is basically the 'ready in 3 years' concept Ireland relied on, versus the '5 years and they've left' concept' were that player is now ready to be chosen by the All Blacks (given a contract to play Super, ala SBW, and hopefully Manu).


The 'mercenary' thing that will take longer to expire, and which I was referring to, is the grandparents rule. The new kids coming through now aren't going to have as many gp born overseas, so the amount of players that can leave with a prospect of International rugby offer are going to drop dramatically at some point. All these kiwi fellas playing for a PI, is going to stop sadly.


The new era problem that will replace those old concerns is now French and Japanese clubs (doing the same as NRL teams have done for decades by) picking kids out of school. The problem here is not so much a national identity one, than it is a farm system where 9 in 10 players are left with nothing. A stunted education and no support in a foreign country (well they'll get kicked out of those countries were they don't in Australia).


It's the same sort of situation were NZ would be the big guy, but there weren't many downsides with it. The only one I can think was brought up but a poster on this site, I can't recall who it was, but he seemed to know a lot of kids coming from the Islands weren't really given the capability to fly back home during school xms holidays etc. That is probably something that should be fixed by the union. Otherwise getting someone like Fakatava over here for his last year of school definitely results in NZ being able to pick the cherries off the top but it also allows that player to develop and be able to represent Tonga and under age and possibly even later in his career. Where as a kid being taken from NZ is arguably going to be worse off in every respect other than perhaps money. Not going to develop as a person, not going to develop as a player as much, so I have a lotof sympathy for NZs case that I don't include them in that group but I certainly see where you're coming from and it encourages other countries to think they can do the same while not realising they're making a much worse experience/situation.

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