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Stormers leapfrog Bulls on URC table after thrilling home win

By PA
Manie Libbok lines up a kick for the Stormers. Photo by Grant Pitcher/Gallo Images/Getty Images

The Stormers hurdled the Bulls in to second place in the BKT United Rugby Championship with a 37-27 success in Cape Town.

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A pulsating first half ended 13-13 with the Bulls twice having been reduced to 14 men and the contest very much in the balance.

But three tries in five second-half minutes turned the tide the way of the Stormers, who have now won 17 consecutive games at home.

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Early Stormers pressure was rewarded with two Manie Libbok penalties inside the opening 10 minutes.

A one-man advantage was added to the six-point lead when Marco van Staden caught Dan du Plessis high and spent 10 minutes on the sidelines.

Hacjivah Dayimani came within inches of scoring and putting the Stormers in full control, but the Bulls held out and handled being a man short extremely well.

Johan Goosen’s long-range penalty halved the deficit as the Bulls rallied.

But the Bulls were reduced to 14 men again when Elrigh Louw collapsed a maul as the Stormers were awarded a penalty try.

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The hosts were opened up by a wonderful Bulls move after 26 minutes.

Harold Vorster punctured the Stormers defence before Goosen kicked to the corner and Nizaam Carr judged the bounce superbly to touch down.

Goosen converted and tied the scores with a straightforward penalty just before the break.

It looked as if the Bulls were getting on top, but Stormers hooker Joseph Dweba powered over following quick line-out ball and Libbok converted.

Moments later, the Stormers produced one of the scores of the season, a stunning counter-attack as Dayimani, Ben-Jason Dixon, Libbok, Damian Willemse and Angelo Davids combined to send centre Suleiman Hartzenberg racing over.

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Libbok added the extras again and then scythed through the Bulls defence before finding Leolin Zas with a long pass.

The wing cut inside several Bulls defenders to secure the bonus point for the Stormers.

Van Staden’s converted close-range try gave the visitors hope, but the excellent Libbok replied with a third penalty for a personal 15-point haul.

Bulls replacement Bismarck du Plessis claimed a consolation score two minutes from time, but the Stormers moved within four points of league leaders Leinster.

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J
JW 2 hours ago
Why Les Kiss and Stuart Lancaster can lead Australia to glory

It is now 22 years since Michael Lewis published his groundbreaking treatise on winning against the odds

I’ve never bothered looking at it, though I have seen a move with Clint as a scout/producer. I’ve always just figured it was basic stuff for the age of statistics, is that right?

Following the Moneyball credo, the tailor has to cut his cloth to the material available

This is actually a great example of what I’m thinking of. This concept has abosolutely nothing to do with Moneyball, it is simple being able to realise how skillsets tie together and which ones are really revelant.


It sounds to me now like “moneyball” was just a necessity, it was like scienctest needing to come up with some random experiment to make all the other world scholars believe that Earth was round. The American sporting scene is very unique, I can totally imagine one of it’s problems is rich old owners not wanting to move with the times and understand how the game has changed. Some sort of mesiah was needed to convert the faithful.


While I’m at this point in the article I have to say, now the NRL is a sport were one would stand up and pay attention to the moneyball phenom. Like baseball, it’s a sport of hundreds of identical repetitions, and very easy to data point out.

the tailor has to cut his cloth to the material available and look to get ahead of an unfair game in the areas it has always been strong: predictive intelligence and rugby ‘smarts’

Actually while I’m still here, Opta Expected Points analysis is the one new tool I have found interesting in the age of data. Seen how the random plays out as either likely, or unlikely, in the data’s (and algorithms) has actually married very closely to how I saw a lot of contests pan out.


Engaging return article Nick. I wonder, how much of money ball is about strategy as apposed to picks, those young fella’s got ahead originally because they were picking players that played their way right? Often all you here about is in regards to players, quick phase ruck ball, one out or straight up, would be were I’d imagine the best gains are going to be for a data driven leap using an AI model of how to structure your phases. Then moving to tactically for each opposition.

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