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Supercomputer predicts six wins for the title-winning South Africa

By Liam Heagney
South Africa celebrate their 2019 Rugby Championship title win (Photo by Marcelo Endelli/Getty Images) (Photo by Marcelo Endelli/Getty Images)

A supercomputer has predicted that South Africa will win their first Rugby Championship title since 2019, winning all six of their matches, while Australia are set to finish last with just a single win. The 2024 tournament kicks off this Saturday with the Wallabies hosting the Springboks in Brisbane followed by the All Blacks entertaining Los Pumas in Wellington. Last year’s competition was halved in length, with teams playing just three matches each due to it being a Rugby World Cup year. 

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However, the Championship has now been restored to its full six matches each schedule and a supercomputer that runs a simulation based on previous and current form has determined that Rassie Erasmus’ side will be crowned champions while Scott Robertson’s New Zealand will only win three of its half-dozen games, losing twice to South Africa and also away to Australia in round five.  

A statement read: “South Africa have been projected to win The Rugby Championship for the first time since 2019, winning all of their six matches, according to the TopOffshoreCasinos Supercomputer. The Springboks are expected to blow away their competition with a favourable draw for Rassie Erasmus’s side, who will face closest contenders New Zealand in Johannesburg and Cape Town.  

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Springbok captain Siya Kolisi on his side’s Rugby Championship opener in Brisbane

Springbok captain Siya Kolisi knows that his team will have to hit the ground running in this year’s Rugby Championship if they want to lift that trophy for the first time since 2019.

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Springbok captain Siya Kolisi on his side’s Rugby Championship opener in Brisbane

Springbok captain Siya Kolisi knows that his team will have to hit the ground running in this year’s Rugby Championship if they want to lift that trophy for the first time since 2019.

“The All Blacks are projected to finish second which includes a slender defeat to Australia in Sydney. Despite picking up five bonus points, the most of any side in The Rugby Championship, it will only be enough to finish behind the Springboks. Despite an impressive win against the All Blacks, Australia will suffer two surprise defeats in Argentina. 

The TopOffshoreCasinos Supercomputer works by analysing a multitude of factors, including previous performances and current form, with the simulation being run 1,000 times. Using these factors, a simulation can determine the final table and the full-time results of each match at The Rugby Championship which includes the likelihood of each team scoring a try per match and defeats by seven points or lower to determine bonus points.”   

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The Rugby Championship Supercomputer via TopOffshoreCasinos 

Team P W D L +/- B Pts 
South Africa 6 6 0 0 70 1 24 
New Zealand 6 3 0 3 34 5 17 
Argentina 6 2 0 5 -69 0 8 
Australia 6 1 0 5 -35 3 7 

Round One: Australia 7-21 South Africa, New Zealand 31-9 Argentina;
Round Two: New Zealand 27-12 Argentina, Australia 12-18 South Africa;
Round Three: South Africa 15-9 New Zealand, Argentina 15-12 Australia;
Round Four: South Africa 21-15 New Zealand, Argentina 21-18 Australia;
Round Five: Australia 17-14 New Zealand, Argentina 6-18 South Africa;
Round Six: New Zealand 24-12 Australia, South Africa 34-8 Argentina.

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Comments

17 Comments
D
DC000 30 days ago

It is a third date comp - like all the SH teams are third rate too.


At least they don't need incompetent refs to get undeserved victories though. A nice change for inferior SH teams.

H
Hellhound 29 days ago

Well if the Boks are "third rate", and they are number one, imagine what their "1st rate" players would do, same with NZ and even the Argentines. I prefer my "3rd rate" Boks😂

J
JB 31 days ago

A super computer also recently suggested a user to add glue to their pizza, and advised another on how many rocks they should eat per day. Welcome to the future.

H
Hellhound 31 days ago

I don't take such things seriously. On the day it is different. The super computer can't predict the weather or injuries nor can it predict human behaviour. The Boks and ABs as usual will go at it hard and it will be close and can go either way.


Unlike other cycles between World Cups where SA focus has been on rebuilding towards the next cup, by mixing and matching new players, Rassie seems to have one intention this year. Win TRC. He is for once keeping with his best team and slip in two or three new players to get that exposure to international rugby and to soak up the experience of those around them. The title to NZ is not a given this year. The Boks is coming out to play and prove a point that they can win between WCs.


This is going to be a great series. The ABs want to prove that they can beat the Boks. We know and the Boks know that they can, and when they are backed into a corner, there isn't a more dangerous team in the world than the ABs. These 2 matches, Boks vs ABs will decide the series. It's going to be like 2 monster trucks doing battle.


Argentina will be dangerous because they have those games where they just upend everything and next time they get slaughtered. It's Argentine rugby for you. The Aussies will be difficult because of their coach and should not be underestimated as they will be much like the Argentines currently, but with Joe Schmidt as the head coach, expect them to be competitive. Nothing is impossible in this series, and I'm just glad for once that the Boks is taking the TRC seriously. I love my Boks, but I will never ever underestimate any AB team.

f
fl 31 days ago

these predictions seem pretty dubious


NZ will win like they win every year. 2nd, 3rd and 4th is most likely to be SA, AUS, ARG, but could be quite close.

H
Hellhound 29 days ago

How wrong was your prediction after the first tests? The Boks result was a given, but not the Argentine win. Wow shocker. The Pumas won't be last. The AB's will have to beat them next week. Then they will have to beat the Boks in SA, a very tough ask, but if any team can do it, it's the ABs although I hope not. All SA have to do is win. No matter by how much. I don't see the Boks lose to the Wallabies. If Argentina keeps playing the way they played this weekend, it's going to be a long (and) short series for the AB's.

G
GrahamVF 29 days ago

Hope you're not a punter mate. Could be a expensive two months. Suggest you pay more attention to the super computer - clearly knows a thing or two more than you do about footy.

B
Bull Shark 30 days ago

Aged well.


Argentina just proved they’re better than England. 6th place coming up.

B
Bull Shark 31 days ago

As predictable as the 6N. Ireland, France. The question is whether England can beat Wales or Italy. I’m not so sure.

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Spew_81 1 hour ago
The All Blacks' backline is to blame for Robertson's unflattering record

Agree they did score four tries last week. But the tries weren't really made by clever play at 10, or incisive runs at 15. Yes, McKenzie and B Barrett did ok. But they didn't run the show. No one in the All Blacks did.


Clarke did well for his two, one of those exploited a player out of position (but still a mint set piece try). The other was a really good piece of broken field running. With very good work done by Lomax and McKenzie.


Of the other two, one was an intercept, the other was due to the - slightly illegal - positioning of Lomax in the maul (all good if you get away with it).


The real issue is that the All Blacks' attack wasn't threatening enough, often enough. They didn't break the Springbok defense up enough for the All Blacks's offloading game to shine. McKenzie and Barrett aren't bad players, but they've probably reached their potential or started to go backwards; maybe McKenzie has more improvements to make at 10, but B Barrett's best playing days are probably behind him, same with Perenara. When the: nine, 10, and 15 aren't on top of their games it's a bit of a stretch to expect champagne rugby.


Apart from changing the rules to get Mo'unga back. They need to develop new players at: nine, 10, and 15. They're got nothing in the cupboard at 10 this year (maybe Plumber - but he's a tradesman, completely untested at test level, and not young). The only other spot is 15.


Agree, I'd like to see Love given a shot at 15. Keep B Barrett on the bench. Jordan at 14. McKenzie at 10 and cover at 9. Start Ratima. Find someone else to lead the haka.


Who would've thought the All Blacks would be short of good loose forwards and wings at the same time?

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