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What it will take for the All Blacks to 'starve the Springboks'

Shannon Frizell runs through drills during a New Zealand All Blacks training session at Mt Smart Stadium on June 30, 2023 in Auckland, New Zealand. (Photo by Hannah Peters/Getty Images)

The Rugby World Cup final is upon us and the pundits’ predictions are incredibly tight. Neutral heads are relatively evenly split while of course, the two competing nations are backing their respective teams to lift the Webb Ellis Cup for a record fourth time. History is inevitable in Paris.

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The Springboks’ world-renowned forward pack will come up against a much improved All Blacks unit in the final, and neither side is underestimating the criticality of the contest up front.

It was the set piece that put the Springboks so comfortably in the driver’s seat the last time the two met, a comprehensive and historic 35-7 victory for the reigning world champions.

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WATCH as the All Blacks talk about ‘taking the gas out’ of the Boks bomb squad

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WATCH as the All Blacks talk about ‘taking the gas out’ of the Boks bomb squad

Winning a scrum penalty in the opening minute, the Springboks entered the All Blacks’ 22 and held them there for 20 gruelling minutes, winning numerous penalties and eventually leaving the red zone with seven points and a two-man advantage.

That fixture was two months ago, a long time in international rugby, especially in the Rugby World Cup. Exactly how much has changed in that two-month period will be exposed in what promises to be a blockbuster final for the ages.

“I think the All Blacks win,” James Parsons told the Aotearoa Rugby Pod. “And where? I think it’ll be their defence, but more importantly their discipline.

“I think we know both sides are going to go hard at each other in the collision areas and I think that’ll be an arm-wrestle for the whole 80 (minutes).

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“But, I just think seven penalties on the weekend, they seem to be getting less and less each week. So, I think that discipline will hopefully starve the Springboks of any opportunities to go into the 22 for a maul or chipping away with three points.”

Team Form

Last 5 Games

4
Wins
4
1
Streak
4
20
Tries Scored
25
74
Points Difference
99
3/5
First Try
4/5
0/5
First Points
4/5
4/5
Race To 10 Points
4/5

The improvement in discipline has been stark and played an unmistakable role in New Zealand’s quarter-final win over an Ireland side that had overcome South Africa in the pool stages.

Ireland’s discipline was a tremendous strength entering the tournament, and it was a huge vulnerability for the All Blacks. New Zealand turned that on its head in the first round of the knockout stages.

“Well, the (All Blacks) were the most penalised team and they’ve come into the knockout stages and been very, very clinical around their discipline defensively and it’s been the difference for them so far.

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“A clear, dominant difference in the semi-final. I just think both these sides are so evenly matched across the board and they have their strengths and weaknesses so it’s just how many opportunities you are going to give the opposition that will decide this game.”

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Parsons’ analysis was echoed by his co-panelist, Bryn Hall. The former Super Rugby champion was equally as adamant that discipline would determine the game and also highlighted the importance of matching the Springboks’ imposing bench unit.

“The only thing that will get us in trouble is our discipline,” Hall said.

“We’ve lost Test matches, especially early on, if we give four or five penalties away and they have that scoreboard pressure, being able to tick away, whether that’s (Handre) Pollard or (Manie) Libbok in there, getting the three points, six points and being able to build pressure.

“I think that’s when we feel like we’re under a bit of pressure but we’ve got our discipline right, it seems, in this knockout stage. But, there’ll be plenty of those what-if moments if they don’t get it right.

“Being able to stop that bomb squad in that last 30 minutes will be massive as well. If the game’s close, we’ve shown enough with our bench coming on that we can nullify that, and being able to stop them and try and win set piece penalties or build scoreboard pressure or getting into that 22m zone and go to that lineout maul or building with their forward pack.

“I feel if we get those things right, it’d be a good result for us.”

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33 Comments
G
GailPaste 423 days ago

Springbok fans are some of the most opinionated crybabies going around. Anytime they're beaten, it's the refs fault or someone was cheating or that girl stole my lunch money, which made my team crumble. I don't fully blame them for this mindset as their coach sets a very very poor example. Listen, sometimes the Springboks lose, and sometimes the All Blacks do too. That's sport people. The refs don't have an agenda. If you think they do, it says more about you or your society. The issue is, and I’m going to address the elephant in the room now, saffas egos can't handle the fact that a better rugby team exists outside SA. The AB’s even hold an advantage over them at a number of their own grounds. And it kills them! Don't pretend it doesn't. Saffas, it's just a game! Try to enjoy the occasion, and stop with all the excuses and elocution lessons. Nobody likes a smart arse. Let's hope for an amazing final whatever the outcome. Go the Wallabies!!!

F
Flankly 423 days ago

“What it will take for the All Blacks to 'starve the Springboks'“

That's easy: 1/ cynical breakdown play to stop SA getting fast ruck ball, and 2/ cynical breakdown play to stop SA from getting ruck turnovers.

SA will be hoping for very strict application of the laws.

W
Wal 423 days ago

Please let’s speak the King’s English not that Pidgin stuff the Yanks drawl. Penalties can be counted so it is impossible to have less penalties. Fewer penalties, please!!
Barnes is no friend of the All Blacks. One-third of his All Blacks matches result in the Kiwis coming second. He does not like anyone outside the 6N but he reserves special dislike for the Kiwis.
This RWC will go down in history for all the time-wasting by England, their Celtic colonies and the Bokke. Why don’t they get fit??? Sexton and Farrell could barely walk in the second half of their final meltdowns.
The French will be right behind the Kiwis as they are the only team in the finals attempting to play any rugby. I met a Frenchman in Qibao Carrefoures, (Shanghai), once and he explained to me that the French love the Kiwis, “Because they play like us”.

F
Flankly 423 days ago

A lot will turn on whether or not Barnes allows the usual NZ breakdown obstruction.

B
BMac 424 days ago

The Referee to stop all the time wasting delibrate ploy from South African water carriers and medics running on every scrum…its getting a joke

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JW 6 hours ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

I rated Lowe well enough to be an AB. Remember we were picking the likes of George Bridge above such players so theres no disputing a lot of bad decisions have been made by those last two coaches. Does a team like the ABs need a finicky winger who you have to adapt and change a lot of your style with to get benefit from? No, not really. But he still would have been a basic improvement on players like even Savea at the tail of his career, Bridge, and could even have converted into the answer of replacing Beauden at the back. Instead we persisted with NMS, Naholo, Havili, Reece, all players we would have cared even less about losing and all because Rieko had Lowe's number 11 jersey nailed down.


He was of course only 23 when he decided to leave, it was back in the beggining of the period they had started retaining players (from 2018 onwards I think, they came out saying theyre going to be more aggressive at some point). So he might, all of them, only just missed out.


The main point that Ed made is that situations like Lowe's, Aki's, JGP's, aren't going to happen in future. That's a bit of a "NZ" only problem, because those players need to reach such a high standard to be chosen by the All Blacks, were as a country like Ireland wants them a lot earlier like that. This is basically the 'ready in 3 years' concept Ireland relied on, versus the '5 years and they've left' concept' were that player is now ready to be chosen by the All Blacks (given a contract to play Super, ala SBW, and hopefully Manu).


The 'mercenary' thing that will take longer to expire, and which I was referring to, is the grandparents rule. The new kids coming through now aren't going to have as many gp born overseas, so the amount of players that can leave with a prospect of International rugby offer are going to drop dramatically at some point. All these kiwi fellas playing for a PI, is going to stop sadly.


The new era problem that will replace those old concerns is now French and Japanese clubs (doing the same as NRL teams have done for decades by) picking kids out of school. The problem here is not so much a national identity one, than it is a farm system where 9 in 10 players are left with nothing. A stunted education and no support in a foreign country (well they'll get kicked out of those countries were they don't in Australia).


It's the same sort of situation were NZ would be the big guy, but there weren't many downsides with it. The only one I can think was brought up but a poster on this site, I can't recall who it was, but he seemed to know a lot of kids coming from the Islands weren't really given the capability to fly back home during school xms holidays etc. That is probably something that should be fixed by the union. Otherwise getting someone like Fakatava over here for his last year of school definitely results in NZ being able to pick the cherries off the top but it also allows that player to develop and be able to represent Tonga and under age and possibly even later in his career. Where as a kid being taken from NZ is arguably going to be worse off in every respect other than perhaps money. Not going to develop as a person, not going to develop as a player as much, so I have a lotof sympathy for NZs case that I don't include them in that group but I certainly see where you're coming from and it encourages other countries to think they can do the same while not realising they're making a much worse experience/situation.

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