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The Autumn Internationals Preview: Scotland

Stuart Hogg

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Scotland Schedule
vs Australia – Saturday November 12, 10:30pm HKT
vs Argentina – Sunday November 20, 1:00am HKT
vs Georgia – Saturday November 26, 10:30pm HKT

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Scotland begin their Autumn campaign with a test against Australia – the side who cruelly denied them a spot in last year’s World Cup semifinals with a very, very controversial last-minute penalty kick – before a couple of tough matches against Argentina and the tricky Georgia.

What to look out for
Scotland, scourge of their fans’ hopes and dreams for so long, traditionally tend to have a strong Autumn.  They have shocked both Australia and South Africa in Novembers past, and were robbed of nearly reached the Rugby World Cup semifinals last year. If history is any guide they will sow seeds of hope in the coming month, only to dash that hope of their loyal supporters against the rocks once the Six Nations rolls round.

Strengths
Their first-choice back three is worthy of attention and the excellent WP Nel has given them something resembling a scrum for the first time in a while.

Weaknesses
Despite improvements under Vern Cotter, Scotland still do not score enough tries. Their defence has a tendency to implode under consistent pressure, and their lineout can sometimes deteriorate to comedy levels.

Coaching situation
Vern Cotter, who famously made his squad kill animals in a summer training camp this year, is basically working out his notice after signing on with Top 14 side Montpellier next season. The impressive Gregor Townsend from Glasgow will replace him. How much this will affect the squad remains to be seen, but given they had already started to look uninspired both in this year’s Six Nations and in their awful tour of Japan, the signs are not encouraging.

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Player to watch
Tommy Seymour. The winger has been in scorching domestic form for Glasgow Warriors this season.

Best chance of an upset
They may have a shout of beating Argentina, but given current rankings this would barely qualify as an upset. More worrying is the tricky fixture against the ever committed Georgians which could end up as entirely the wrong kind of upset for Scotland.

Prediction
Lose to Australia, lose to Argentina, nearly lose to Georgia.

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B
BigGabe 14 minutes ago
'Love him or hate him, Henry Pollock has got the rugby world talking.'

Well, I would disagree with your take that you don’t take the p*** out of the opposition.


Sledging and posturing is very much a part of the game - “four more years”/"just a **** richie mccaw”/any swan dive celebration/English yelling when they win minor penalties/etc etc. Cricket has much the same when a wicket keeper chats in a batsman’s ears, but no one complains about it. Just because we can’t hear what goes on a ruck or maul, or see what goes on, doesn’t mean it doesn’t go on. Sport is emotional. Let’s not pretend that rugby has a history of behaving like absolute gentleman before the final whistle goes off.


The spirit of rugby…now this is an interesting one. What does that mean? 2-3 years ago, the 6-2/7-1 split was against the spirit of rugby, but now it is used by club and country. Does this mean the spirit of rugby can change? In 1974, the Lions had an infamous Call 99. Today, teams are still getting into fights. Other sports don’t do this. Is this the spirit of rugby? I think this phrase is one of those useful ones that means everything and nothing and can be used by both sides of the fence, as well as the fence itself, to justify what they want to see. But perhaps we should not be looking at Pollock, but at ourselves. Are we (you) all not giving a self-described wind up merchant exactly what he wants? I think this conservative group of sports fans needs to realise that just bc they have viewed rugby a certain way for a long time, does not mean that it necessarily needs to be viewed that way for ever and ever amen. That’s gatekeeping and the generations to come don’t like or respect it. As rugby culture breaks into new markets, it needs to constantly adjust.

9 Go to comments
N
Nickers 1 hour ago
USA team in Super Rugby Pacific is not the answer right now, but this is

The question for any expansion is - what is the point?


On one hand talking about expanding for commercial reasons, but then saying younger squad members would play giving big names a rest making it more for development purposes?


The problem with SRP is it serves two masters - fans who want a good competition to watch, but also the national teams in developing players so they can go on to become international players.


The case for maximising young player development:


A major problem NZ and Australia have is at U20s. AR and NZR would be best served by investing in proper U20 super rugby competition that runs in conjunction with Super Rugby, rather than the one-off carnival style thing that happens at the moment. 20 year olds coming out of France and England in particular, but also France are noticeably more developed than the equivalent players from NZ, Australia and even SA.


NZ and Australia probably both have one too many teams in SR. If you’re taking a long term view they are best served by cutting teams from the comp now and improving the quality even more. Although MP have been good this year there is also an argument for cutting them too, and reducing to 8 teams that all play each other home and away in a round robin. It would be a ridiculously strong competition with a lot of depth if all the best players are redistributed.


This in conjunction with a full U20s competition (possibly playing just one round rather than 2) would make NZ and Australia international teams much stronger with a lot more depth.


But that solution would make less money and cost more.


NPC would need to be fully amateur or semi-pro at best in this model. If you cross reference the losses NZR posted today with the costs they have previously published about operating the NPC, you can attribute a huge amount, if not all of the losses, to the NPC. At the moment this is putting way too much money into a failing high performance competition at the expense of development.

12 Go to comments
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