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The Breakdown: A statistical look at round six of the Rugby Championship

Cheslin Kolbe remains doubtful for Saturday

New Zealand clinched the Rugby Championship last weekend but they must now face South Africa, the only side to have beaten the All Blacks so far.

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A second defeat for Steve Hansen’s men would be unprecedented, although the Springboks boast a strong record in Pretoria going into Saturday’s clash.

In the other fixture on the final weekend of this year’s tournament, Argentina and Australia battle it out to avoid taking the wooden spoon, with the Wallabies potentially making unwanted history.

Australia at least enjoy a strong record when visiting the Pumas.

South Africa v New Zealand

South Africa have the opportunity to record back-to-back wins over New Zealand for the first time since 2009, following on from their 36-34 triumph in Wellington.

But the All Blacks have won on their last three trips to South Africa, while the world champions have not lost two matches in the same Rugby Championship campaign since Argentina joined the competition in 2012.

The Springboks have won 77 per cent of their Test matches at Loftus Versfeld Stadium, but even that impressive record includes just one victory against New Zealand.

Rieko Ioane is the danger man, having scored 20 tries in 19 appearances for the All Blacks. Four of those have come in three games against South Africa.

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The hosts retain a threat from lineouts, however, where Eben Etzebeth (26) has won more than any other player in the tournament.

Continue reading below…
You may also like: Schalk Burger chats Springboks and long injury layoff

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Argentina v Australia

Argentina have the opportunity to win consecutive games against Australia for the first time ever after their shock 23-19 success away from home last month.

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And should the Wallabies – winless in four away games – fail to respond with a victory of their own, they will finish bottom of the Rugby Championship for the first time in its current format.

However, Australia have won on five of their last six trips to face the Pumas and will have the opportunity to improve that record at Ernesto Maltearena Stadium, where the Wallabies have never previously played.

Argentina have won three and lost three of their six matches at the stadium.

The Pumas’ Nicolas Sanchez will hope to round off a fine campaign as the tournament’s top scorer, currently leading the way on 61 points, including four tries.

Watch: Wallaby coach Michael Cheika and flyhalf Bernard Foley ahead of facing Argentina

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H
Hellhound 15 minutes ago
South Africa player ratings | 2024 Autumn Nations Series

There is this thing going around against Siya Kolisi where they don't want him to be known as the best national captain ever, so they strike him down in ratings permanently whenever they can. They want McCaw and reckons he is the best captain ever. I disagree.


Just like they refuse to see SA as the best team and some have even said that should the Boks win a third WC in a row, they will still not be the best team ever. Even if they win every game between now and the WC. That is some serious hate coming SA's way.


Everyone forget how the McCaw AB's intimidated refs, was always on the wrong side, played on the ground etc. Things they would never have gotten away with today. They may have a better win ratio, but SA build depth, not caring about rank inbetween WC's until this year.


They weren't as bad inbetween as people claim, because non e of their losses was big ones and they almost never faced the strongest Bok team outside of the WC, allowing countries like France and Ireland to rise to the top unopposed.


Rassie is still at it, building more depth, getting more young stars into the fold. By the time he leaves (I hope never) he will leave a very strong Bok side for the next 15- 20 years. Not everyone will play for 20 years, but each year Rassie acknowledge the young stars and get them involved and ready for international rugby.


Not everyone will make it to the WC, but those 51/52 players will compete for those spots for the WC. They will deliver their best. The future of the Boks is in very safe hands. The only thing that bothers me is Rassie's health. If he can overcome it, rugby looks dark for the rest of the rugby world. He is already the greatest coach in WR history. By the time he retires, he will be the biggest legend any sport has ever seen

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J
JW 30 minutes ago
'They smelt it': Scott Robertson says Italy sensed All Blacks' vulnerability

No where to be seen OB!


The crosses for me for the year where (from memory);


This was a really hard one to nail down as the first sign of a problem, now that I've asked myself to think about it. I'd say it all started with his decision to not back form and fit players after all the injuries, and/or him picking players for the future, rather ones that could play right now.


First he doesn't replace Perofeta straight away (goes on for months in the team) after injury against England, second he falls back to Beauden Barrett to cover at fullback against Fiji, then he drops Narawa the obvious choice to have started, then he brings in Jordan too soon. That Barret selection (and to a lesser extent Bell's) set the tone for the year.


Then he didn't get the side up for Argentina. They were blown away and didn't look like they expected a fight and were well beaten despite the scoreline in my opinion. Worst performance of the year in the forth game and..


Basically the same problems were persistent, or even exaggerated, after that with the players he did select not given much of an opportunity, with this year having the most number of unused subs I can remember since the amateur days.


What I think I started to realise early on was that he didn't back himself and his team. I think he prepared the players well, don't get me wrong, but I'll credit him with making a conscious choice in tempering his ambition and instead choosing cohesion and to respect (the idea of it being important in himself and his players) experience first and foremost (after two tight games and that 4th game loss). I think he chose wrong in deciding not to be, and back, himself. Hard criticism.


And it played out by preferring Beauden to Dmac on the EOYT (though that may have been a planned move).


I hope I'm right, because going through all the little things of the season and coming up with these bullets, I've got to wonder when I say his last fault is one we have seen at the Crusaders, playing his best players into the ground. What I'm really scared of now is that not wanting a bit of freshness in this last game could be linked with all these other crosses that I want to put down to simple confidence issues. But are they really a sign that he just lacks vision?


Now, that's not to say I haven't seen a lot of positives as well, I just think that for the ABs to go where they want to go he has to fix these crosses. Just have difficult that will be is the question.

23 Go to comments
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LONG READ Gatland defiant but Welsh rugby no nearer escape route with Springboks looming Gatland defiant but Welsh rugby no nearer escape route with Springboks looming
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