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The Brumbies outline where they must improve to beat Chiefs

Samisoni Taukei'aho of the Chiefs charges forward during the Super Rugby Pacific Semi Final match between Chiefs and Brumbies at FMG Stadium Waikato, on June 17, 2023, in Hamilton, New Zealand. (Photo by Hannah Peters/Getty Images)

While a 27-point win over the Rebels looks good on paper, the ACT Brumbies were far from happy with their opening Super Rugby Pacific match and are out to make amends in Melbourne on Sunday.

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The Brumbies will face the Chiefs at AAMI Park as part of Super Round, with all 12 teams in action there over the weekend.

The Chiefs were also first-round winners, exacting some revenge from last year’s grand-final loss to the Crusaders.

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Brumbies skipper Allan Alaalatoa said the scoreline against the Rebels at the same venue had flattered his team and they’d identified areas for improvement.

Among the telling statistics the Canberra team missed 42 tackles and conceded a whopping 20 penalties.

“The score was good and we scored some points off some individual brilliance there with Charlie Cale and and Corey Toole, but there’s definitely plenty to work on and that’s something that we’ve touched on throughout the week,” the injured prop told AAP.

“We’re in for a massive game on Sunday – the Chiefs played really well against the Crusaders and that was a great game – so we’ve spoken about a lot of areas that we need to improve that will be key for us.

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“Penalties have been a massive point for us especially ones that we can control around the ruck area, so we need to make sure we’re better there because that could definitely hurt us this weekend.

“That’s an area we’ve focused for this match and through the season.”

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Playing at No.8, Cale had a breakout Super match scoring two tries including one where the 23-year-old kicked ahead down the sideline and regathered to touch down.

Alaalatoa said he wasn’t surprised by the athleticism of the Dubbo product, who has replaced France-based former Wallaby Pete Samu at the back of the scrum.

“It wasn’t a surprise to me because he’s been delivering that training for the last couple of years and been learning a lot off Pete (Samu) and has been biding his time,” he said.

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“Some of the stuff he does,  he has a skill-set of another back.”

Rupturing his Achilles during a Bledisloe Cup match last July, Alaalatoa has been working his way back to fitness and said he hoped to start running next week, targeting a return to Super Rugby in late April.

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J
JW 2 hours ago
Why Les Kiss and Stuart Lancaster can lead Australia to glory

It is now 22 years since Michael Lewis published his groundbreaking treatise on winning against the odds

I’ve never bothered looking at it, though I have seen a move with Clint as a scout/producer. I’ve always just figured it was basic stuff for the age of statistics, is that right?

Following the Moneyball credo, the tailor has to cut his cloth to the material available

This is actually a great example of what I’m thinking of. This concept has abosolutely nothing to do with Moneyball, it is simple being able to realise how skillsets tie together and which ones are really revelant.


It sounds to me now like “moneyball” was just a necessity, it was like scienctest needing to come up with some random experiment to make all the other world scholars believe that Earth was round. The American sporting scene is very unique, I can totally imagine one of it’s problems is rich old owners not wanting to move with the times and understand how the game has changed. Some sort of mesiah was needed to convert the faithful.


While I’m at this point in the article I have to say, now the NRL is a sport were one would stand up and pay attention to the moneyball phenom. Like baseball, it’s a sport of hundreds of identical repetitions, and very easy to data point out.

the tailor has to cut his cloth to the material available and look to get ahead of an unfair game in the areas it has always been strong: predictive intelligence and rugby ‘smarts’

Actually while I’m still here, Opta Expected Points analysis is the one new tool I have found interesting in the age of data. Seen how the random plays out as either likely, or unlikely, in the data’s (and algorithms) has actually married very closely to how I saw a lot of contests pan out.


Engaging return article Nick. I wonder, how much of money ball is about strategy as apposed to picks, those young fella’s got ahead originally because they were picking players that played their way right? Often all you here about is in regards to players, quick phase ruck ball, one out or straight up, would be were I’d imagine the best gains are going to be for a data driven leap using an AI model of how to structure your phases. Then moving to tactically for each opposition.

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