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The Future of Rugby: New Zealand U23

(Photo by Kai Schwoerer/Getty Images)

We have arrived at the penultimate article in our “Future of Rugby” series, with our attentions now turning to New Zealand and their U23 options, as the All Blacks look to bounce back from a disappointing Rugby World Cup and re-establish themselves as the premier rugby nation in the world.

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As ever, New Zealand does not lack for talent thanks to the fervency of the sport in the country, not to mention the high quality of the nation’s schoolboy and domestic competitions, both of which feed productively into their very successful Super Rugby franchises. There are growing financial challenges and the rise in popularity of competing sports shouldn’t be discounted, but the All Blacks still have a bevvy of gifted young players to choose from.

As with our recent examination of England and all other top eight ranked nations, only players aged 23 or younger on the May 1st 2020 were considered eligible for this selection.

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15. Will Jordan, Crusaders

There are plenty of combinations of players in this back three and at fly-half, though we have opted for the ultra-talented Jordan. The incisive and instinctive full-back should cement the Crusaders’ 15 jersey if he can stay injury-free, and then throw his name into the mix alongside the likes of Damian McKenzie and Beauden Barrett. This just goes to show the potential riches at Ian Foster’s disposal.

14. Sevu Reece, Crusaders

Reece has enjoyed an extremely productive 12 or so months, which culminated in him locking down one of the wing spots for the All Blacks at the recent Rugby World Cup. Competition abounds in the forms of Etene Nanai-Seturo, Leicester Fainga’anuku and Jona Nareki to name but a few, but Reece doesn’t look like he is going anywhere for the time being.

13. Braydon Ennor, Crusaders

As with many of the young guns in the Crusaders back line, Ennor coped well with the transition from age-grade to senior rugby and swiftly played an important role in delivering back-to-back titles for the South Island franchise. His partnerships with Jack Goodhue, Richie Mo’unga and Jordan could soon be at the forefront of the new-look All Blacks, although Quinn Tupaea and Billy Proctor are hovering, too.

12. Tanielu Tele’a, Blues

A powerful ball-carrier and running centre at 12, Tele’a will hope to eventually mirror the role that Ma’a Nonu provided the All Blacks with for so long. The efficient pressure valve that he provides could soon become a valuable commodity for Blues fly-half Barrett, as the pair attempt to rebuild what was once New Zealand’s showpiece franchise. Dallas McLeod will have his eye on this spot, too.

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11. Rieko Ioane, Blues

An honourable mention for Ioane’s Blues teammate Caleb Clarke, who has a bright future waiting for him, though this spot was never going to go anyone else. Ioane took to international rugby exceptionally well as a teenager and already has 24 tries in just 29 games. If he can stay fit and keep performing consistently, Ioane could end up breaking a number of All Blacks records.

10. Jordie Barrett, Hurricanes

We’ve moved Barrett to 10, rather than his more regular spot at full-back, to accommodate Jordan, although this could well be where he ends up, at least in the short-term, for the Hurricanes. The younger Barrett brother’s talents are already well known and are such that he holds off challenges from Tiaan Falcon, Harry Plummer, Brett Cameron, Stephen Perofeta and Rivez Reihana here.

9. Sam Nock, Blues

Ere Enari is showing some promise at the Crusaders, although former age-grade standout Nock just edges this one for us. Nock has a nice all-round skill set to him and could mature into New Zealand’s next starter at the position once Aaron Smith and TJ Perenara have had their time. The partnership that Nock strikes up with Barrett in Auckland could also be key to his progression at the international level.

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1. Ayden Johnstone, Highlanders

There are a lot of talented, albeit relatively untested looseheads currently in New Zealand rugby, such as Harry Allan, Xavier Numia, Pouri Rakete-Stones and Tamaiti Williams. For now, Johnstone has the advantage, with the former U20 standout starting to make the leap at the senior club level with the Highlanders. The competition here could be particularly exciting moving forward.

2. Asafo Aumua, Hurricanes

Another position where New Zealand don’t lack for talent, with the likes of Kianu Kereru-Symes, Brodie McAlister and Bradley Slater all emerging, but if Aumua can fully tap into the potential that he has, this is a no-brainer. His transition to senior rugby hasn’t been as seamless as he would have liked, though if he can sharpen up his play at the set-piece and learn how to use his physicality at this level, he will be as formidable as any hooker in the game.

3. Alex Fidow, Hurricanes

Fidow came through the New Zealand age-grade pathway at the same time as Johnstone and has already begun making his mark with the Hurricanes. Strong in the loose and at the set-piece, Fidow will push hard for international honours over the next season or two and should be a central part of the All Blacks squad come the 2023 Rugby World Cup in France.

4. Quinten Strange, Crusaders

Strange has quietly become an important squad member for the Crusaders in recent seasons, especially when they have had to deal with the losses of Sam Whitelock and Scott Barrett to the All Blacks. Youngsters Taine Plumtree and Tupou Vaa’i might offer higher ceilings moving forward, but there is no guarantee that age-grade promise translates to senior impact, and that’s something that Strange already offers.

5. Isaia Walker-Leawere, Hurricanes

The next incumbent lock for the All Blacks, Walker-Leawere is developing nicely at the Hurricanes and should soon offer a complementary option to Barrett or Brodie Retallick, especially with Whitelock presumably coming towards the end of his international career. A force in the loose and potentially a very adept international lineout option, Walker-Leawere has his work cut out joining that vaunted group of locks, but he has the capability to.

6. Dalton Papalii, Blues

A mention for Hoskins Sotutu and Devan Flanders, both of whom look to have what it takes to eventually play international rugby, though neither has had the impact already that Papalii has. He has had a taste of the All Blacks and did not look out of place, bring plenty of physicality and work rate to the position. There is no urgency for New Zealand to move on with their options on the flank, though Papalii could force their hand.

7. Du’Plessis Kirifi, Hurricanes

Kirifi is the archetypal hard as nails openside flanker and he has had plenty of joy already with the Hurricanes, which is enough to see off the challenge of Sione Havili, a prime breakout contender at the Crusaders. As good as Kirifi has been, though, his immediate international future relies heavily on the prospects of Sam Cane and Ardie Savea, with both looking to have another Rugby World Cup cycle in them.

8. Luke Jacobson, Chiefs

Somewhat of a Swiss Army Knife, you could plug Jacobson into any spot in the All Black back row, task him with any of the traditional loose forward roles, and he will almost certainly give a good account of himself. At eight he would add to the team’s breakdown capabilities, at seven he would provide physicality and at six he would bring skill and carrying ability.

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J
JW 2 hours ago
Does South Africa have a future in European competition?

I rated Lowe well enough to be an AB. Remember we were picking the likes of George Bridge above such players so theres no disputing a lot of bad decisions have been made by those last two coaches. Does a team like the ABs need a finicky winger who you have to adapt and change a lot of your style with to get benefit from? No, not really. But he still would have been a basic improvement on players like even Savea at the tail of his career, Bridge, and could even have converted into the answer of replacing Beauden at the back. Instead we persisted with NMS, Naholo, Havili, Reece, all players we would have cared even less about losing and all because Rieko had Lowe's number 11 jersey nailed down.


He was of course only 23 when he decided to leave, it was back in the beggining of the period they had started retaining players (from 2018 onwards I think, they came out saying theyre going to be more aggressive at some point). So he might, all of them, only just missed out.


The main point that Ed made is that situations like Lowe's, Aki's, JGP's, aren't going to happen in future. That's a bit of a "NZ" only problem, because those players need to reach such a high standard to be chosen by the All Blacks, were as a country like Ireland wants them a lot earlier like that. This is basically the 'ready in 3 years' concept Ireland relied on, versus the '5 years and they've left' concept' were that player is now ready to be chosen by the All Blacks (given a contract to play Super, ala SBW, and hopefully Manu).


The 'mercenary' thing that will take longer to expire, and which I was referring to, is the grandparents rule. The new kids coming through now aren't going to have as many gp born overseas, so the amount of players that can leave with a prospect of International rugby offer are going to drop dramatically at some point. All these kiwi fellas playing for a PI, is going to stop sadly.


The new era problem that will replace those old concerns is now French and Japanese clubs (doing the same as NRL teams have done for decades by) picking kids out of school. The problem here is not so much a national identity one, than it is a farm system where 9 in 10 players are left with nothing. A stunted education and no support in a foreign country (well they'll get kicked out of those countries were they don't in Australia).


It's the same sort of situation were NZ would be the big guy, but there weren't many downsides with it. The only one I can think was brought up but a poster on this site, I can't recall who it was, but he seemed to know a lot of kids coming from the Islands weren't really given the capability to fly back home during school xms holidays etc. That is probably something that should be fixed by the union. Otherwise getting someone like Fakatava over here for his last year of school definitely results in NZ being able to pick the cherries off the top but it also allows that player to develop and be able to represent Tonga and under age and possibly even later in his career. Where as a kid being taken from NZ is arguably going to be worse off in every respect other than perhaps money. Not going to develop as a person, not going to develop as a player as much, so I have a lotof sympathy for NZs case that I don't include them in that group but I certainly see where you're coming from and it encourages other countries to think they can do the same while not realising they're making a much worse experience/situation.

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