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Wales' major blow and 4 other talking points ahead of second Test

By PA
Wales' James Botham catches the ball during the captain's run in Melbourne on July 12, 2024, ahead of the second rugby union Test match against Australia on July 13. (Photo by William WEST / AFP) / --IMAGE RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE - STRICTLY NO COMMERCIAL USE--

Wales will have another chance to try and end their long losing run when they tackle Australia in Melbourne on Saturday.

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A week after Australia took the first Test 25-16, Wales will aim to tie the series and claim a first international scalp since the 2023 World Cup.

Here, the PA news agency looks at some of the key talking points heading into the game.

Wales lurching towards unwanted record

It is 21 years since Wales suffered 10 successive Test match defeats – their worst losing run in 143 years of playing international rugby. But they are moving ever closer to matching that sequence, and it will be nine on the bounce if Australia triumph this weekend. That would represent the longest number of matches without a Test win during head coach Warren Gatland’s association with Wales that began in 2008, ended 11 years later and then resumed ahead of the 2023 Six Nations. Their record against Australia Down Under doesn’t offer hope, either, with 12 defeats in a row and no victory since 1969.

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Wallabies – Joe Schmidt – Presser

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Wallabies – Joe Schmidt – Presser

Aaron Wainwright absence a major blow

Amid Wales’ prolonged struggle, number eight Wainwright has shone like a beacon through one outstanding display after another. He marked his 50th cap in Sydney last weekend by producing a performance that put him head and shoulder above any of his team-mates – then it all went wrong. Wainwright suffered a hamstring injury during the closing minutes, ruling him out of the tour remainder and potentially serious enough to mean several weeks’ sidelined. There can be little doubt that when it rains, it pours for Wales at the moment. Losing Wainwright is a setback from which they might not recover from.

Wales pack lacking experience

Australia captain James Slipper has 135 Test caps – 23 more than the entire Wales pack on Saturday. Their combined total is just 112, including only 35 in the back-row where a reshuffled unit sees Taine Plumtree switched to number eight instead of Wainwright and James Botham starting at blindside flanker. Wales encountered problems at scrum and lineout time during the first Test, which are two areas that will require considerable improvement if they are to have any chance of avoiding a 2-0 series defeat. Australia’s forwards are not the most fearsome in world rugby, and Wales must at least gain parity up-front.

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Can Botham hit Australia for six?

James Botham will hope to follow in the footsteps of his grandfather – cricket great Sir Ian Botham – when he features at AAMI Park. It was 38 years ago, barely a five-minute walk away, at the Melbourne Cricket Ground that Sir Ian played a major role in England retaining the Ashes. The 1986 Boxing Day Test saw him take five first-innings wickets as Australia collapsed to 141 all out, and England went on to win by an innings inside three days, giving them a 2-0 series lead with one game left. James will certainly not lack any inspiration, and maybe it will turn out to be another memorable Botham family day.

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What is next for Wales?

After the Test match business on their Australia tour concludes this weekend, Wales do not play another international team until Fiji arrive at Cardiff’s Principality Stadium in November. That game launches an autumn schedule also featuring Australia and world champions South Africa, before Wales embark on a testing Six Nations campaign which begins against France in Paris. Their Six Nations record across the past three seasons is abysmal – two wins and 13 defeats – and three of their games next season are away from home. In short, things might get a whole lot worse before they start to get any better.

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SK 9 hours ago
What is the future of rugby in 2025?

Set pieces are important and the way teams use them is a great indication of how they play the game. No team is showcasing their revolution more than the Springboks. This year they have mauled less and primarily in the attacking third. Otherwise they have tended to set like they are going to maul and then play around the corner or shove the ball out the back. They arent also hitting the crash ball carrier constantly but instead they are choosing to use their width or a big carrying forward in wider areas. While their maul is varied the scrum is still a blunt instrument winning penalties before the backs have a go. Some teams have chosen to blunt their set piece game for more control. The All Blacks are kicking more penalties and are using their powerful scrum as an attacking tool choosing that set piece as an attacking weapon. Their willingness to maul more and in different positions is also becoming more prominent. The French continue to play conservative rugby off the set piece using their big bruisers frequently. The set piece is used differently by different teams. Different teams play different ways and can be successful regardless. They can win games with little territory and possession or smash teams with plenty of both. The game of rugby is for all types and sizes and thats true in the modern era. I hope that administrators keep it that way and dont go further towards a Rugby League style situation. Some administrators are of the opinion that rugby is too slow and needs to be sped up. Why not rather empower teams to choose how they want to play and create a framework that favours neither size nor agility. That favours neither slow tempo play or rock n roll rugby. Create a game that favour both and challenge teams to execute their plans. If World Rugby can create a game like that then it will be the ultimate winner.

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